Stock Markets May 9, 2026 03:47 PM

Morgan Stanley: Hyperscaler results underscore three AI and cloud themes

Analysts point to rising AI workloads, steady migration from on-premise systems, and growing demand for database and analytics services

By Leila Farooq MSFT GOOGL AMZN MDB DDOG

Morgan Stanley analysts identified three consistent takeaways from the most recent earnings reports of the largest cloud providers: accelerating AI-driven workloads, continued enterprise migration to cloud platforms, and expanding demand for database and analytics products. Aggregate growth across Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud accelerated to 39% year-on-year in the first quarter, driven by strong gains at Google Cloud and continued expansions at Azure and AWS. Analysts said these trends are supportive for software vendors that sell into cloud ecosystems, even as stronger cloud growth could lift investor expectations ahead of earnings seasons.

Morgan Stanley: Hyperscaler results underscore three AI and cloud themes
MSFT GOOGL AMZN MDB DDOG

Key Points

  • AI-driven workloads are accelerating and appear to complement, not replace, traditional cloud consumption, supporting broader infrastructure demand across major cloud providers.
  • Enterprise migration from on-premise systems to cloud platforms continues, with rising memory and storage costs cited as an additional catalyst alongside AI adoption.
  • Database and analytics services are experiencing notable growth tied to AI usage, with strong percentage gains reported for Microsoft and Alphabet products; these trends are positive for cloud-focused software vendors.

Morgan Stanley analysts reviewed the latest quarterly results from the leading cloud providers and distilled three primary themes that they say reflect the current state of cloud demand.

Accelerating AI workloads

The analysts observed that adoption of AI applications is contributing to increased cloud consumption rather than replacing existing workloads. Aggregate revenue growth across Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud accelerated for a fourth consecutive quarter, rising to 39% year-on-year in the first quarter from 33% in the prior quarter. Within that group, Google Cloud registered the largest gain, expanding 63% year-on-year. Microsoft Azure grew 39% and Amazon Web Services reported revenue growth of 28%.

Morgan Stanley noted that providers themselves linked AI workload growth to broader infrastructure demand. Amazon described growth in AI workloads as associated with wider infrastructure requirements, while Microsoft reported that customers implementing AI applications were also increasing their consumption of other services across its platform.

Ongoing migration from on-premise systems

The brokerage highlighted continued enterprise movement away from on-premise deployments and toward cloud platforms. Amazon told analysts that, alongside AI adoption, rising memory and storage costs are emerging as an additional incentive for enterprises to migrate workloads to the cloud.

Heightened demand for databases and analytics

Morgan Stanley said database and analytics offerings appear to be benefiting from AI-driven demand. Microsoft’s Cosmos DB business expanded 50% year-on-year, and paid customers for Microsoft Fabric rose 60%. Alphabet reported that usage of BigQuery and Gemini workflows increased more than 30-fold compared with the prior year.

The analysts described these developments as broadly positive for software companies that serve cloud platforms. Morgan Stanley specifically cited Datadog, Snowflake, and MongoDB as software firms positioned to benefit from stronger cloud adoption. At the same time, the brokerage cautioned that accelerating cloud growth could lift investor expectations as corporate earnings season approaches.

Overall, Morgan Stanley’s assessment frames recent hyperscaler results as reinforcing a virtuous cycle: AI-driven workloads boost infrastructure and platform consumption, which in turn supports databases, analytics, and software firms operating in the cloud ecosystem.

Risks

  • Stronger cloud growth could elevate investor expectations ahead of upcoming earnings reports, potentially increasing earnings volatility for software firms and hyperscalers.
  • The analysis reflects provider-reported trends; if AI-driven demand or migration momentum slows, related infrastructure and software revenue growth could moderate.
  • Concentration of growth in specific offerings means that performance for individual cloud services or software products could diverge from aggregate cloud trends reported by providers.

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