Stock Markets January 27, 2026

LVMH fourth-quarter revenue tops forecasts as China shows recovery

Sales beat expectations but operating profit and margins were squeezed by currency shifts, tariffs and elevated gold costs

By Derek Hwang
LVMH fourth-quarter revenue tops forecasts as China shows recovery

LVMH reported fourth-quarter sales of 22.7 billion euros, exceeding consensus expectations and signaling a return to growth in China. Despite the top-line beat, 2025 operating profit fell 9% and margins were pressured by currency movements, U.S. tariffs on alcohol exports and record gold prices that raised jewellery import costs.

Key Points

  • LVMH reported fourth-quarter sales of 22.7 billion euros, a 1% like-for-like increase versus expectations of a 0.3% decline.
  • Margins and operating profit were under pressure - 2025 operating profit fell 9% - driven by currency moves, U.S. tariffs on alcohol exports and record gold prices affecting jewellery costs.
  • Signs of recovery in China were visible with domestic sales rising; Chinese shoppers account for almost a third of LVMH’s fashion and leather sales, affecting luxury goods, retail and travel-related spending.

LVMH, the owner of Louis Vuitton and Tiffany, reported quarterly sales of 22.7 billion euros on Jan 27, a result that outpaced analysts' forecasts and reinforced hopes for a gradual recovery in the luxury sector.

The group said total revenue rose 1% on a like-for-like basis versus the same period a year earlier. That performance contrasted with a consensus forecast compiled by Visible Alpha that had pointed to a 0.3% decline. Within LVMH’s portfolio, the fashion and leather division - the largest profit contributor - recorded a 3% revenue decline when adjusted for currency swings, matching market expectations.

Management highlighted a resumption of growth in Asia, with domestic sales in China increasing during the quarter. The company has previously signalled a return to improvement in Chinese demand, and the latest figures appeared to confirm that trajectory.


Pressure on profit and margins

Despite the sales beat, LVMH reported a 9% drop in 2025 operating profit. The group attributed margin deterioration to several factors. Currency moves were a dominant influence, accounting for just over half of the margin decline. Additional headwinds included U.S. tariffs that affected alcohol exports and record-high gold prices that raised the import costs of jewellery.

The combination of these cost pressures and adverse exchange-rate effects reduced profitability even as revenue held up.


Strategic moves in China

Facing a property market crisis and rising local competition in China, LVMH has used its substantial financial resources to bolster its presence across the market. Recent investments include opening a large, ship-shaped Vuitton store in Shanghai and launching a new Dior flagship in Beijing, among other initiatives designed to capture market share as local conditions evolve.

Market participants remain focused on the strength of Chinese consumer demand. As Berenberg analyst Nick Anderson put it, "The Chinese consumer faces a whole ton of headwinds, and that’s one of the big data points we’ll be looking for this quarter." UBS estimates that Chinese shoppers, including tourists abroad, represent almost a third of LVMH’s fashion and leather sales, underscoring why shifts in that market carry significant weight for the group.


Regional performance and investor reaction

LVMH said regional sales in Europe fell 2% last quarter as a weaker U.S. dollar reduced spending by American tourists in Europe. Sales in the United States rose by 1% over the same period, while sales in Asia, including China, increased by 1%. The company also noted the currency conversion rate used: $1 = 0.8365 euros.

Investor sensitivity to Chinese demand is high. At the group’s prior trading update, comments indicating slightly better demand in China helped trigger a rally across luxury stocks that added nearly $80 billion to combined company valuations.


Third-party stock evaluation mention

Separate from the company statement, the article included a description of a stock evaluation service, noting that an AI-based tool reviews companies using more than 100 financial metrics to identify potential investment ideas. That description referenced the tool’s methodology and gave examples of prior winners, while inviting readers to check whether LVMH appears in any of its strategies.

Risks

  • Exchange-rate volatility - currency moves accounted for just over half of LVMH’s margin decline, which could continue to pressure profitability and affect the luxury sector.
  • Policy and trade barriers - U.S. tariffs on alcohol exports have hit margins, illustrating how trade measures can impact companies with significant export volumes in affected categories.
  • Commodity cost risk - record gold prices have increased import costs for jewellery, raising input-cost risk for luxury jewellery makers and suppliers.

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