Stock Markets March 23, 2026

Freeport Seaffirms Copper Demand Outlook as Geopolitical Fears Weigh on Prices

CEO says electrification and tech-driven demand will remain intact while company seeks U.S. incentives and advances a major Chile expansion filing

By Sofia Navarro FCX
Freeport Seaffirms Copper Demand Outlook as Geopolitical Fears Weigh on Prices
FCX

Freeport-McMoRan's chief executive said the company expects structural demand for copper to hold up despite market volatility tied to the Iran conflict. Speaking at a Houston energy conference, the CEO highlighted growing demand from electrification and the technology sector, noted recent price weakness, and outlined the company's push for greater U.S. support and continued focus on internal growth and a major Chile expansion application.

Key Points

  • Freeport expects secular demand for copper from electrification, data centers and high-tech uses to continue despite short-term market volatility tied to the Iran conflict.
  • The company produced 1.3 billion pounds of copper in the U.S. last year (all sold domestically) and 3.38 billion pounds globally, underscoring its scale in the sector.
  • Freeport is pressing for greater U.S. economic incentives to attract investment and has filed an environmental application for a $7.5 billion expansion at its El Abra mine in Chile.

Freeport-McMoRan remains confident that underlying demand for copper will continue to expand even as the market reacts to uncertainty stemming from the Iran conflict, CEO Kathleen Quirk said on the sidelines of the CERAWeek by S&P Global conference in Houston.

Quirk, who assumed the role of CEO in 2024, described the drivers behind copper consumption as predominantly secular in nature - tied to electrification, data centers and other high-technology applications - and therefore likely to sustain demand over time despite short-term market jitters. Copper, prized for its conductivity and widespread use in motors, computers, batteries and wiring, has earned the nickname "Dr. Copper" for its sensitivity to shifts in global economic activity.

She noted that the artificial intelligence industry in particular is increasing its copper use as it builds out server farms and related facilities, and said discussions between Freeport and customers earlier this month were dominated by the technology sector's requirements for the metal. "I don’t think that’s going to get derailed," she said, summing up the conversations held at the company's Phoenix headquarters.

That confidence comes against a backdrop of lower prices: the red metal has fallen nearly 10% since strikes by the U.S. and Israel on Iran began in late February, a decline Quirk acknowledged while stressing that the market is factoring in uncertainty about global growth. "The market is pricing in some uncertainty about global economic growth, and Dr. Copper is something that affects the perception of global risk," she said, adding that the fundamental forces pushing copper demand are longer term.

Operationally, Freeport said it remains a leading global copper producer. The company produced 1.3 billion pounds (589,670 metric tons) of copper in the United States last year, all of which was sold domestically, and 3.38 billion pounds (1,533,142 metric tons) worldwide.

On policy and strategy, Quirk said Freeport is urging the U.S. federal government to offer more support to the domestic copper industry, arguing that economic incentives would encourage companies to invest in U.S. projects rather than pursue opportunities abroad. She referenced the previous administration's tariff approach, noting that a 50% tariff imposed last July applied to semi-finished copper products while excluding copper inputs such as ores, concentrates and cathodes that Freeport produces. She also said the administration had indicated it might revisit that tariff decision later in the year.

Quirk indicated the company would consider acquisitions if suitable opportunities emerged but emphasized that Freeport's primary emphasis is on its own growth programs, including efforts to leach copper from waste rock. Regarding potential re-entry into the Democratic Republic of Congo - a jurisdiction Freeport exited in 2016 and has said it would like to return to - she said the company has not yet identified an appealing development target. "We’re open to the idea, but there’s not any obvious development opportunity for us to go back," she said.

Freeport is simultaneously advancing a large-scale project in Chile. Last week the company filed an environmental application for a $7.5 billion expansion of its El Abra copper mine. The filing followed Chile's inauguration of right-leaning President Jose Antonio Kast by a matter of days; Quirk described a renewed appetite within the Chilean government to encourage investment. "What’s exciting in Chile is that there is a real desire by the government to encourage investment," she said. "The new president coming in is going to want to advance investment even more."


Context and company stance

Freeport's commentary reflects a view that the long-term structural demand for copper driven by electrification and technology infrastructure will outweigh near-term price reactions to geopolitical events. The company is seeking policy measures in the U.S. to bolster domestic investment, pursuing internal technical initiatives to increase supply from existing assets, and advancing a major expansion proposal in Chile while remaining open to acquisitions that meet its strategic criteria.

What was said about prices and demand

Quirk acknowledged recent price weakness but attributed it to market pricing of global growth risk rather than to a fundamental shift in demand drivers. She underscored the role of the tech sector, including the AI industry, as a growing source of copper consumption for servers and related infrastructure.

Risks

  • Geopolitical tensions tied to the Iran conflict have contributed to nearly a 10% decline in copper prices since late February, creating market volatility that could affect copper-dependent sectors such as construction, electrification projects and technology infrastructure.
  • Policy uncertainty around tariffs - including the 50% tariff on semi-finished copper products imposed last July and the possibility that the administration may revisit that stance later in the year - could influence domestic investment decisions in mining and processing.
  • Freeport has not identified an attractive re-entry opportunity in the Democratic Republic of Congo despite expressing interest; this limits near-term access to certain international development prospects.

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