Stock Markets April 1, 2026

European Equities Rally as Trump Signals U.S. Exit from Iran Conflict; Brent Drops Below $100

Markets climb on comments about an imminent U.S. withdrawal while oil eases after weeks of disruption to the Strait of Hormuz

By Nina Shah
European Equities Rally as Trump Signals U.S. Exit from Iran Conflict; Brent Drops Below $100

European stocks opened sharply higher and Brent crude slipped below $100 a barrel after President Donald Trump said the U.S. would be leaving the conflict in Iran within two to three weeks. Major European indexes jumped in early trading, while energy markets retreated from recent peaks amid continuing geopolitical uncertainties tied to strikes in the Persian Gulf and proposals to reopen the Strait of Hormuz by force.

Key Points

  • Major European indexes opened strongly higher - Stoxx 600 +2.3%, Dax +2.8%, CAC 40 +2.2%, FTSE 100 +1.8% as of 03:17 ET (07:17 GMT).
  • President Trump said the U.S. would be leaving the Iran conflict within two to three weeks and declared the White House objective of eliminating Iran's nuclear threat "attained."
  • Brent crude June futures fell 5.0% to $98.81 a barrel after peaking near $120 during the conflict and trading around $70 before the fighting began in late February.

European equities surged in early trading on Wednesday while Brent crude futures fell back under the $100-a-barrel mark after President Donald Trump told reporters the United States would be exiting the war in Iran within two to three weeks.

By 03:17 ET (07:17 GMT), the pan-European Stoxx 600 had climbed 2.3%, Germany's Dax had risen 2.8%, France's CAC 40 was up 2.2%, and the U.K.'s FTSE 100 had increased 1.8%.

Speaking to reporters in the Oval Office on Tuesday, Trump said the U.S. will be "leaving very soon," and added that the White House goal of eradicating Iran's nuclear threat had been "attained." He said Washington did not need a formal deal to conclude a conflict it started in conjunction with Israel more than a month ago, and he argued it will take "15-20 years" for Tehran to rebuild "what we’ve done to them."

The president's remarks followed a statement from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, who said in a press briefing that the next few days of fighting would be "decisive."

In parallel, reporting has indicated the United Arab Emirates is preparing to assist the U.S. and other allies in unblocking the Strait of Hormuz by force after Iranian attacks struck facilities in the Persian Gulf nation. Citing Arab officials, the Wall Street Journal said the UAE has been pushing for a resolution at the United Nations Security Council that would authorize such action.

Drone and missile strikes on tankers by Iran have effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz for weeks, disrupting flows and elevating energy prices. Those strikes have heightened concerns about a potential rise in inflationary pressures globally, given the channel's importance for oil shipments. Trump has not provided a detailed update on U.S. plans for the strait, but he has urged allies to "just take" control of the vital waterway, through which roughly a fifth of the world's oil flows.

On the oil benchmark front, futures for June-delivery Brent crude fell 5.0% to $98.81 a barrel. Brent had surged to nearly $120 a barrel after the outbreak of the conflict in the Middle East, compared with roughly $70 a barrel before the fighting began in late February.


The early market response paired a pickup in risk appetite across European equity markets with a retreat in energy prices that had been pushed higher by disruptions to tanker traffic. Investors are weighing public statements from U.S. officials alongside reports of potential military measures to secure maritime routes, creating a complex backdrop for both equity and commodity markets.

Given the continued flow of statements from senior U.S. officials and reporting on allied plans, market participants will likely continue to monitor developments closely in coming days for further signals on both the duration of U.S. involvement and the prospects for stabilizing oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz.

Risks

  • Ongoing military operations and the potential for further strikes in the Persian Gulf pose continued upside risk to energy prices and inflation measures - this primarily impacts the energy and consumer sectors.
  • Uncertainty over international actions to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, including possible forceful interventions, creates market volatility for shipping, insurance, and global commodity markets.
  • Statements from senior officials indicating decisive action in the coming days could trigger short-term market swings in equities and commodities as investors reassess geopolitical risk premia.

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