Stock Markets May 6, 2026 04:10 PM

DoorDash Lifts Q2 Gross Order Value Forecast, Cites Broad Demand and Market Expansion

Company tops profit estimates, forecasts marketplace GOV ahead of Street expectations while guiding EBITDA slightly below consensus

By Caleb Monroe DASH

DoorDash said it expects second-quarter marketplace gross order value (GOV) to exceed analyst projections, driven by steady consumer demand and growth beyond food delivery into grocery, retail and international markets. The company reported first-quarter adjusted earnings that beat estimates and provided guidance for adjusted EBITDA that sits marginally below Wall Street forecasts. Shares climbed about 10% in after-hours trading.

DoorDash Lifts Q2 Gross Order Value Forecast, Cites Broad Demand and Market Expansion
DASH

Key Points

  • DoorDash forecasts second-quarter marketplace GOV of $32.4 billion to $33.4 billion, above analysts' $31.8 billion estimate.
  • The company reported first-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.42, beating the $0.36 consensus, while quarterly revenue of $4.04 billion missed the $4.14 billion estimate.
  • Adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 is $770 million to $870 million, with the midpoint slightly below analyst expectations; elevated gas costs for Dasher relief will exceed $50 million.

DoorDash on Wednesday raised its outlook for marketplace gross order value in the second quarter, signaling continued strength in consumer usage of its platform. The company pegged expected marketplace GOV for the quarter at $32.4 billion to $33.4 billion, above analysts' consensus of $31.8 billion.

Management attributed the stronger forecast to resilient demand and ongoing expansion of the business into grocery, retail categories and international markets. The company also reported better-than-expected results for quarterly adjusted profit and marketplace GOV for the most recent quarter, while noting that consumers are increasingly prioritizing convenience - a trend that is supporting growth even for non-essential online purchases and lifting demand for grocery delivery services.

Shares of the company rose roughly 10% in extended trading following the results and guidance.

For the second quarter, DoorDash put forward adjusted operating earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) guidance of $770 million to $870 million. The midpoint of that range is slightly below the average analyst estimate of $822.5 million, according to the data referenced by the company.

DoorDash cautioned that the gross cost of its Dasher gas relief program will exceed $50 million, a result of elevated gasoline prices. The company said it launched an emergency relief program last month to assist U.S. gig workers affected by surging oil prices that stem from the U.S.-Iran war.

Reporting results for the first quarter ended March 31, DoorDash delivered adjusted earnings of $0.42 per share, ahead of analysts' expectations of $0.36 per share. Quarterly revenue totaled $4.04 billion, coming in below the consensus estimate of $4.14 billion.

Peers in the delivery and online grocery space have issued similar upbeat guidance for the upcoming quarter. Earlier on Wednesday, companies including Instacart projected second-quarter gross transaction or booking measures largely above Wall Street expectations, while Uber also forecast quarterly bookings above estimates.


Market context

The company highlighted that continued demand for convenience and its efforts to expand into non-restaurant categories and international markets are supporting GOV growth. At the same time, costs tied to supporting its driver base amid higher fuel prices are a material line item for the period.

Risks

  • Higher fuel prices are increasing the gross cost of the Dasher gas relief program, which the company expects to exceed $50 million - impacting gig economy cost structure and delivery margins.
  • The midpoint of DoorDash's adjusted EBITDA guidance is slightly below analyst estimates, introducing earnings-per-share and margin uncertainty for the delivery and consumer services sectors.
  • Quarterly revenue for the first quarter came in below analyst estimates, indicating potential top-line pressure even as GOV and adjusted EPS beat forecasts - a risk for investor expectations in the online delivery and e-commerce segments.

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