Stock Markets January 22, 2026

CSX Reports Fourth-Quarter Earnings Below Expectations Amid Industrial Demand Challenges

Lower coal shipments and slowed industrial activity weigh on revenue, while operational efficiencies aim to boost margins in 2026

By Caleb Monroe CSX
CSX Reports Fourth-Quarter Earnings Below Expectations Amid Industrial Demand Challenges
CSX

CSX Corporation's latest quarterly financial results fell short of analyst forecasts, primarily impacted by weakened industrial demand and decreased export coal volumes. Despite these headwinds, the company recorded higher intermodal volumes and pricing gains that offset some losses. The railroad operator is focusing on cost management and expects improved operating margins next year.

Key Points

  • CSX’s fourth-quarter revenue and earnings per share were below market consensus due to diminished industrial demand and lower coal export volumes, impacting overall freight volumes.
  • The railroad recorded a slight improvement in operating margin to 31.6% and expects further margin expansion in 2026 through productivity, cost control, and capital discipline.
  • Increased intermodal volumes and favorable merchandise pricing partially offset revenue declines, indicating resilience in network fluidity and pricing power.

CSX Corporation announced its financial results for the fourth quarter, revealing revenue and earnings below what analysts had anticipated. The company cited softening industrial demand and diminished export coal volumes as principal factors negating benefits from improved pricing and growing intermodal traffic.

Industrially focused freight operators like CSX have been contending with uneven freight volumes and a slowdown in industrial activity, driving them to adjust cost structures and operational strategies. Steve Angel, CSX’s CEO, noted that the quarterly figures reflect a "subdued industrial demand environment" alongside efforts made to realign the company’s cost base.

Headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida, CSX also provided guidance projecting an expansion in operating margins between 200 to 300 basis points in 2026, relative to the adjusted results for 2025. This positive outlook helped lift the company's shares by over 3% during after-hours trading.

For the quarter, CSX reported an operating margin of 31.6%, a modest increase of 30 basis points compared to the same period in the previous year. Total revenue reached $3.50 billion, slightly under the consensus estimate of $3.54 billion based on LSEG data. This figure represents a 1% decrease year-over-year, driven chiefly by lower merchandise volumes and a decline in coal export revenue.

Reported net earnings amounted to 39 cents per share, marginally missing the forecasted 41 cents per share.

The company found compensation for some revenue dip through increased pricing in merchandise and intermodal services, alongside a rise in intermodal freight volumes and higher fuel surcharge income. Elevated intermodal volumes suggest steadier freight demand and enhanced network efficiency. Meanwhile, firm pricing in merchandise services underscores CSX’s ability to implement rate increases effectively.

Risks

  • Continued weak industrial demand and uneven freight patterns may constrain CSX’s revenue growth and profitability.
  • Lower coal volumes lead to reduced revenue, reflecting vulnerability to commodity shipment fluctuations in the railroad sector.
  • Uncertainty in freight demand could necessitate ongoing cost adjustments, presenting challenges in operational stability and margin management.

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