Stock Markets January 26, 2026

Canadian Consumer Staples Poised for 2026: Four Names Highlighted by WarrenAI Analysis

WarrenAI’s InvestingPro-based screen points to Dollarama, Loblaw, Couche-Tard and Metro as top Canadian staples picks ahead of 2026

By Hana Yamamoto DOL L
Canadian Consumer Staples Poised for 2026: Four Names Highlighted by WarrenAI Analysis
DOL L

A WarrenAI screen built on InvestingPro metrics identifies four Canadian consumer staples companies with resilient demand profiles, attractive cash generation and upside potential heading into 2026. Dollarama, Loblaw, Alimentation Couche-Tard and Metro are singled out for their profitability, defensive characteristics and analyst support, with each company showing distinct strengths in margins, returns on equity, free cash flow yields or dividend consistency.

Key Points

  • WarrenAI’s InvestingPro-based screen highlights four Canadian consumer staples names - Dollarama, Loblaw, Alimentation Couche-Tard and Metro - as notable for 2026.
  • Dollarama stands out for high profitability (26.5% EBITDA margin) and exceptional ROE (148.9%), with recent Q3 2025 revenue of CAD 1.9 billion and EPS of CAD 1.17.
  • Loblaw, Couche-Tard and Metro each offer defensive characteristics: Loblaw with strong cash flow and 19.3% ROE, Couche-Tard with global scale and 10.5% ROIC, and Metro with low volatility and a consistent dividend yield.

WarrenAI’s recent InvestingPro-driven analysis surfaces a group of Canadian consumer staples names that combine defensive demand drivers with compelling financial metrics as investors look toward 2026. Using a blend of fair-value assessments, Pro scores, technical indicators and analyst price targets, the automated screen highlights four companies that stand out within the sector for differing reasons - growth, income, scale and dividend stability.


The consumer staples sector in Canada benefits from persistent, relatively inelastic demand and business models that are more insulated from economic cycles. WarrenAI’s evaluation aims to quantify those characteristics through profitability measures, technical momentum and consensus analyst views. Below is a closer look at each company called out by the analysis.


Dollarama Inc. (TSX:DOL)

Dollarama is presented as the growth leader among the group. Over the past year the stock delivered a 36.1% total return. Operationally, the company reports industry-leading profitability with a 26.5% EBITDA margin and an exceptionally high return on equity of 148.9%. Earnings per share growth of 14.1% is projected by the dataset referenced in the analysis, and recent revenue growth has been robust - double-digit on a trailing-quarter basis (22.2% year-over-year for Q3) and solid across fiscal 2025 (9.3% year-over-year).

Technically, the short-term momentum reading noted is weak (RSI: 33.31) which the analysis describes as potential oversold conditions rather than structural deterioration. Analysts aggregated in the screen maintain a "Buy" consensus and the average price target implies approximately 8.3% upside from then-current levels. Dollarama’s third-quarter 2025 results cited by the analysis show CAD 1.9 billion in revenue and an EPS of CAD 1.17. In addition, Moody’s updated the company’s outlook to positive from stable, a change attributed to a strengthening business profile.


Loblaw Companies Ltd. (TSX:L)

Loblaw is described as a defensive compounder that has also posted a strong one-year return of 36.4%. The company’s 19.3% ROE and a free cash flow yield of 6.6% underline its ability to combine growth with cash returns. Loblaw’s beta of 0.46 signals lower market volatility sensitivity, reinforcing its defensive role in a portfolio. The stock carries a "Strong Buy" consensus in the same analysis and short-term technical indicators are characterized as positive.

Recent reported results for third-quarter 2025 showed earnings per share of CAD 0.69, slightly ahead of analyst expectations. The dataset also notes a corporate simplification move - the sale of the PC Financial business - after which Desjardins upgraded the stock to Buy, citing the simplified operational structure as a positive development. The consensus view in the analysis suggests roughly 5.7% upside from then-current market levels.


Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc. (TSX:ATD)

Couche-Tard is highlighted for its global scale and diversification, reflected in a market capitalization of C$71.16 billion in the analysis. The company is projected to deliver 14.0% EPS growth and exhibits a Pro Score of 2.62 within the InvestingPro-based screening. Longer-term technical signals are positive - the analysis references multi-period buy indications (P1W/P1M: Strong Buy) despite neutral readings over shorter horizons.

Financial performance metrics cited include a 10.5% return on invested capital and a free cash flow yield of 5.1%. Analyst coverage aggregated in the screen assigns a "Strong Buy" consensus and implies significant upside potential of about 14.2%. The company’s second quarter of 2025 adjusted net earnings increased by 5.4%, reaching $734 million, or $0.78 per adjusted diluted share, according to the results reported in the dataset.


Metro Inc. (TSX:MRU)

Metro is positioned as a defensive dividend option with lower volatility and steady income characteristics. Over the past year the stock returned 7.2% and shows a low beta of 0.34. The company pays a modest dividend yield of 1.5% and records a Pro Score of 2.76 in the InvestingPro framework.

Metro’s fourth-quarter 2025 results met EPS expectations at $1.13 while revenues slightly undershot forecasts. The analysis also records that BMO Capital raised its price target on Metro to C$115. For investors prioritizing capital preservation and stable distributions, Metro’s combination of defensive demand, dividend consistency and coverage in the analysis presents it as an income-oriented holding.


Methodology note

The selections discussed here come from WarrenAI’s automated evaluation that uses InvestingPro metrics, including fair-value assessments, Pro Scores, technical indicators and analyst price targets. InvestingPro subscription details and promotional offers were included in the original presentation of this analysis.


Conclusion

Each company identified by WarrenAI brings different attributes to a staples-focused allocation: Dollarama for margin-driven growth and outsized ROE, Loblaw for cash generation and defensive stability, Couche-Tard for scale and free cash flow conversion, and Metro for dividend stability and lower volatility. The analysis synthesizes profitability, technicals and analyst sentiment to present a cross-section of Canadian staples names that may appeal to investors seeking combinations of growth, income and downside resilience heading into 2026.


Key takeaways and caveats are summarized below.

Risks

  • Short-term technical weakness - Dollarama’s RSI of 33.31 suggests near-term oversold conditions that could reflect short-term price volatility, affecting retail and discount store exposure.
  • Revenue or earnings misses - Metro’s Q4 2025 revenue slightly missed forecasts, highlighting the risk that individual quarterly execution can weigh on grocery and supermarket stocks.
  • Operational changes and divestitures - Loblaw’s sale of PC Financial alters its business mix; such restructurings can introduce transition risks for the retail sector.

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