Stock Markets March 9, 2026

BofA Sees Optical and Mission-Critical Upside After MWC 2026, Keeps Near-Term Caution

Broker raises Nokia price target and highlights Ericsson opportunities in defence and public safety while retaining cautious sector outlook

By Avery Klein
BofA Sees Optical and Mission-Critical Upside After MWC 2026, Keeps Near-Term Caution

BofA Securities, following discussions with telecom equipment vendors at Mobile World Congress 2026, identified expanding demand in optical networking and mission-critical 5G upgrades but kept a guarded view on short-term sector growth. The broker lifted its price objective on Nokia, citing AI-enabled RAN progress and a backlog skewed to optical and IP products, while flagging Ericsson's prospects in defence and public safety networks as it readies to integrate partner accelerators but does not expect immediate AI-driven revenue.

Key Points

  • BofA raised its price objective on Nokia while keeping a neutral rating, citing AI-RAN trials and a backlog concentrated in optical and IP networking products.
  • Ericsson is targeting mission-critical networks such as defence and public safety, and is prepared to integrate partner accelerators into its offerings, but does not expect significant AI-related revenue soon.
  • The broker views the broader radio access network market as flat and notes vendors are emphasising margin improvement and cost discipline.

BofA Securities emerged from Mobile World Congress 2026 meetings with telecom equipment vendors highlighting tangible opportunities in optical networking and mission-critical infrastructure, yet the firm stopped short of projecting near-term sector acceleration.

Nokia

In conversations with Nokia executives, BofA noted concrete progress on artificial-intelligence-enabled radio access networks (AI-RAN), with trial deployments under way and a stated objective of commercial readiness by 2027. Nokia also stressed revenue potential from its optical networking portfolio and indicated its current order backlog is concentrated in optical and IP networking products. Reflecting what it views as improving prospects for optical infrastructure demand, the broker raised its price objective on the company, while maintaining a neutral rating.

Ericsson

BofA reported that Ericsson is focusing on mission-critical networks, specifically defence and public safety, where transitions from legacy systems to 5G are generating new contract opportunities. Ericsson signalled it is prepared to incorporate accelerators from third-party partners, including Nvidia, into its hardware and software stacks. At the same time, the company told the broker it does not expect meaningful AI-related revenues in the near term.

With the broader radio access network market described as largely flat, Ericsson appears to be prioritising margin expansion and tighter cost controls, according to the note. BofA kept its recommendation on Ericsson at underperform.


Overall, the broker's readout from MWC highlighted pockets of structural demand - notably in optical transport and mission-critical 5G upgrades - but stopped short of a broader growth upgrade for the sector, maintaining a cautious stance on near-term activity.

Risks

  • Near-term sector growth remains uncertain - vendor optimism on areas like AI-RAN and mission-critical networks has not translated into immediate revenue, affecting the telecom equipment market.
  • Dependence on upgrades from legacy systems to 5G in mission-critical segments creates timing risk for Ericsson's revenue realization.
  • Concentration of vendor backlogs in optical and IP products introduces exposure to demand variability in optical infrastructure spending.

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