Stock Markets January 30, 2026

BofA Names Stocks Positioned to Withstand AI Disruption, Cost Pressures Ahead of Q4 Results

Bank of America spotlights large-cap software leader SAP and select travel, fintech, and payments franchises with 2026 catalysts

By Avery Klein
BofA Names Stocks Positioned to Withstand AI Disruption, Cost Pressures Ahead of Q4 Results

With fourth-quarter earnings on the horizon, BofA Securities has identified a set of companies it believes are well placed to manage AI-driven disruption, tighter cost discipline and uneven enterprise IT spending. The bank highlights a large-cap software leader supported by resilient cloud demand and several niche winners across travel software, fintech and payments that show improving fundamentals and potential catalysts into 2026.

Key Points

  • BofA highlights companies with durable competitive advantages and catalysts tied to AI adoption and modernization ahead of Q4 earnings.
  • SAP is the top large-cap pick due to resilient cloud demand, AI monetization potential, improving margins and a 2 billion buyback starting February 2026.
  • BofA also favors select names in travel software (Sabre) and fintech (Klarna), while viewing Paysafe as a stabilized but lower-conviction payments operator.

As fourth-quarter earnings season nears, BofA Securities has highlighted businesses it sees as best positioned to navigate a landscape shaped by AI-driven disruption, ongoing cost discipline and irregular enterprise spending patterns. While macroeconomic uncertainty remains, the firm’s analysis singles out several names with what it describes as durable competitive advantages, improving financials and potential catalysts that could release shareholder value in 2026.

Overview

BofA’s shortlist spans a large-cap enterprise-software leader and a collection of companies in travel technology, fintech and payments. The bank’s work emphasizes companies with recurring revenue profiles, margin improvement and strategic initiatives tied to AI adoption or product modernization.


SAP SE

BofA points to SAP as the sector’s top large-cap pick, citing accelerating cloud adoption and a clear AI monetization pathway. The company’s most recent fourth-quarter results showed solid revenue and a significant increase in operating profit - a 31% rise to 2.42 billion. The report highlighted continued momentum in AI adoption across SAP’s ERP portfolio, with SAP Business AI featuring in two-thirds of Q4 cloud orders.

For the full year, cloud revenue growth held at 26%, while backlog expanded by 25%. BofA notes that SAP’s 2026 cloud guidance of 2.8-26.2 billion was lighter than some investors had hoped. Nevertheless, the company’s high recurring revenue base - 86% of total revenue - and improving operating margins (28.3%, up 4.5 percentage points) underpin the firm’s positive view.

BofA also highlights SAP’s near-term cash profile: free cash flow almost doubled to 2.24 billion. The bank points out a strategic shareholder return move as well - a new 2 billion buyback program scheduled to begin in February 2026 - as a reinforcing factor for investor value.


Sabre

Within travel software, BofA identifies Sabre as a turnaround opportunity as global travel volumes return to more normal levels and the company advances a technology modernization agenda. Management’s efforts to reduce technical debt, improve operational efficiency and scale next-generation retailing and distribution products are central to the thesis.

These initiatives are expected to help expand margins and strengthen Sabre’s competitive stance versus industry peers. As airlines increasingly adopt advanced merchandising tools and dynamic pricing, BofA says Sabre is positioned to capture incremental revenue. The bank assigns a "buy" rating based on confidence in continued execution and operating leverage.


Klarna

BofA highlights Klarna, a private fintech platform, as entering a phase of disciplined growth. The bank’s view emphasizes improved credit performance, stronger monetization across both merchants and consumers, and targeted investments in AI-driven customer engagement.

Klarna’s scale in buy-now-pay-later and related financial services provides a foundation for longer-term expansion, according to BofA. The firm notes the companys strong brand, a tightening cost structure and advancing AI capabilities as supportive elements for its outlook within the broader payments ecosystem.


Paysafe

Paysafe is characterized by BofA as an operator undergoing stabilization, with management focused on portfolio simplification and cost efficiencies. The bank points to incremental progress in key areas such as digital wallets and iGaming payments, while noting top-line momentum remains more muted compared with sector peers.

Profitability has shown improvement and the balance sheet is strengthening, but competitive pressures and moderate organic growth limit the upside case in BofAs view. The firm adopts a "neutral" stance on Paysafe, framing it as a steady operator rather than a high-conviction outperformer in the current market environment.


Bottom line

BofAs analysis concentrates on businesses with recurring revenue, margin improvement and concrete AI or modernization initiatives. While the bank is selective amid macro uncertainty, it sees differentiated opportunities in enterprise software, travel technology and fintech/payments that could generate meaningful shareholder value heading into 2026.

Risks

  • Macro uncertainty and uneven enterprise spending could limit near-term growth across enterprise software and payments sectors.
  • SAPs 2026 cloud guidance of 2.8-26.2 billion was lighter than hoped, creating potential sensitivity around near-term growth expectations in the software sector.
  • Competitive pressures and moderate organic growth may constrain upside for payments companies like Paysafe despite improving profitability.

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