Stock Markets January 27, 2026

Bernstein Picks Figure Technology as Its 2026 Top Stock, Cites Tokenization Breakthrough

Analyst says tokenization removes market frictions and positions Figure to expand lending distribution and launch tokenized equities

By Hana Yamamoto FIGR
Bernstein Picks Figure Technology as Its 2026 Top Stock, Cites Tokenization Breakthrough
FIGR

Bernstein has designated Figure Technology Solutions as its preferred equity for 2026, arguing the company sits at the center of a structural change in how credit and equities are originated, financed and traded. Analyst Gautam Chhugani called tokenization "a game changer," highlighting Figure's technology stack, its roughly 250 distribution partners, and initiatives such as Figure Connect and the OPEN framework as drivers of cost savings, faster loan execution and new platform-fee revenue opportunities.

Key Points

  • Bernstein names Figure Technology Solutions its top stock pick for 2026, citing tokenization as transformative for credit and equity markets - impacted sectors: fintech, lending, equities.
  • Figure's technology stack is credited with significant operating efficiencies - Bernstein estimates ~90% lower operating costs and ~75% faster loan turnaround times.
  • Figure Connect and a partner network of about 250 firms provide a pathway to marketplace liquidity, faster funding for lending partners and potential high-margin platform-fee revenue.

Overview

Bernstein has named Figure Technology Solutions as its top stock pick for 2026, based on the firm's view that tokenization is reshaping the origination, financing and trading of credit and equities. In a client note, analyst Gautam Chhugani described tokenization as "a game changer" and identified Figure as a pure-play leader in the emerging space.

Technology and efficiency claims

Bernstein points to Figure's technology stack as the source of its competitive advantage. The firm says that stack removes "both demand side and supply side friction from the traditional credit markets," enabling what Bernstein quantifies as roughly a 90% reduction in operating costs and about a 75% reduction in loan turnaround times. Those efficiency gains are central to Bernstein's thesis that Figure can change economics across lending workflows.

Distribution and cross-sell potential

Figure has assembled a partner network of about 250 firms, which Bernstein characterizes as a meaningful distribution lead. The analyst note emphasizes the potential for cross-selling across home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) and additional loan categories as one path to share gains.

Market model shift via Figure Connect

A key element in Bernstein's view is Figure Connect, which the firm says "transmutes a balance sheet based digital lending model to a marketplace-based liquidity model." According to the note, this transformation provides lending partners with faster funding, better execution and lower costs versus traditional channels, and lays the groundwork for growth in high-margin platform-fee revenues.

Expansion into tokenized equities

Beyond lending, Figure is pursuing tokenized equities under its OPEN framework, starting by tokenizing its own stock. Bernstein notes the tokenized equities arena is "highly competitive," but believes Figure can establish a position by concentrating on institutional liquidity, equity-collateralized loans and its broader Prime ecosystem.

Long-term growth opportunities and rating

Bernstein identifies several long-term growth vectors for Figure, including HELOC share gains, entry into new loan categories and "the potential scale up of democratized prime and equity tokenization." The firm reiterated an Outperform rating and maintained a $72 price target, calling the investment case "compelling" even after a strong year-to-date rally in the stock.


Note: The analysis presented here summarizes the points raised in Bernstein's client note as described above, including direct phrases quoted from that note.

Risks

  • Competition in tokenized equities is described as "highly competitive," creating uncertainty for Figure's ability to capture market share - impacts: tokenized equities and institutional trading.
  • The company’s longer-term opportunities, such as the scale up of democratized prime and equity tokenization, are presented as potential outcomes and therefore uncertain - impacts: fintech platforms and capital markets.
  • Realization of cross-sell potential across HELOCs and new loan categories is highlighted as a growth avenue but remains a prospective outcome rather than a guaranteed result - impacts: consumer lending and mortgage-related lending.

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