Insider Trading March 24, 2026

Horizon Kinetics Increases TPL Holding with One-Share Purchase as Stock Nears Yearly High

Small incremental buy by a major holder comes amid recent earnings miss, elevated valuation signals and bullish analyst outlook on surface-acreage opportunities

By Sofia Navarro TPL
Horizon Kinetics Increases TPL Holding with One-Share Purchase as Stock Nears Yearly High
TPL

Horizon Kinetics Asset Management LLC, a roughly 10% holder of Texas Pacific Land Corp, bought a single share of TPL common stock on March 23, 2026 for $529.07. The purchase brings Horizon Kinetics' direct stake to 3,467,931 shares. The stock has climbed about 70% over the past six months and is trading close to its 52-week peak of $547.20, while InvestingPro valuation work flags the name as overvalued. Texas Pacific Land reported Q4 2025 EPS of $1.79 on revenue of $212 million, missing consensus on both metrics; KeyBanc has raised its price target to $639 and cited power generation, data center opportunities and strong water-segment trends on the company’s surface acreage as drivers of interest.

Key Points

  • Horizon Kinetics bought 1 share of Texas Pacific Land on March 23, 2026 at $529.07, bringing its direct holding to 3,467,931 shares.
  • Texas Pacific Land’s stock has risen approximately 70% over the past six months and is trading near its 52-week high of $547.20, while InvestingPro flags the stock as overvalued.
  • Q4 2025 results showed EPS of $1.79 and revenue of $212 million, both narrowly missing consensus; KeyBanc raised its price target to $639 and cited power generation, data center and water-segment opportunities on surface acreage.

Transaction details and ownership

Horizon Kinetics Asset Management LLC, which holds about a 10 percent ownership position in Texas Pacific Land Corp (NYSE: TPL), increased its stake in the company on March 23, 2026 by purchasing one share of common stock. The single-share transaction was executed at a price of $529.07, representing a total outlay of $529. Following the trade, Horizon Kinetics directly owns 3,467,931 shares of Texas Pacific Land Corp.

Market context and valuation

Texas Pacific Land’s share price has advanced roughly 70 percent over the prior six months and is trading close to its 52-week high of $547.20. Despite the rally, InvestingPro analysis cited in the filings indicates the stock appears overvalued at current levels.

Earnings and analyst response

In its fourth-quarter 2025 results, Texas Pacific Land reported earnings per share of $1.79, which fell short of the consensus forecast of $1.83. Revenue for the quarter totaled $212 million, slightly below the expected $214 million. Those reported results have drawn attention from market participants and analysts.

KeyBanc has updated its outlook for the company, raising its price target to $639 from $350 while maintaining an Overweight rating. The firm pointed to meaningful developments tied to power generation and data center potential on Texas Pacific Land’s surface acreage and also highlighted strong trends within the company’s water business as potential contributors to future growth.

Investor interest and engagement

Despite the modest earnings miss, the company has seen growing investor interest, as reflected by a reported uptick in client inquiries about Texas Pacific Land’s prospects for 2026. For investors seeking additional context on valuation or other detailed analysis, an expanded Pro Research Report on TPL is available to subscribers through InvestingPro, which includes more than 15 additional tips and valuation commentary.


Bottom line

The single-share purchase by Horizon Kinetics formally increases its direct holdings to 3,467,931 shares. The transaction occurs against a backdrop of a strong multi-month price advance, a valuation assessment suggesting overvaluation, a slight quarterly earnings shortfall, and a materially higher price target from KeyBanc driven by opportunities tied to surface acreage uses.

Risks

  • Valuation risk - InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock may be overvalued at current price levels, which could increase price volatility in the equity markets and affect investor returns.
  • Operational and growth execution risk - While KeyBanc points to power generation, data center and water-segment opportunities on surface acreage, realization of those opportunities is not guaranteed and could affect future revenue and earnings trends in the real assets and infrastructure sectors.
  • Earnings shortfall uncertainty - Q4 2025 EPS and revenue came in slightly below forecasts, highlighting near-term sensitivity of reported results to consensus expectations and the potential for market reactions in the REIT/landowner segment.

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