Insider Trading March 25, 2026

Horizon Kinetics Adds One Share to 10% Stake in Texas Pacific Land Amid Elevated Valuation

Small reported purchase contrasts with robust recent gains for TPL and mixed fundamental signals including an earnings miss and an analyst target lift

By Hana Yamamoto TPL
Horizon Kinetics Adds One Share to 10% Stake in Texas Pacific Land Amid Elevated Valuation
TPL

Horizon Kinetics Asset Management LLC, identified as a 10% holder of Texas Pacific Land Corp (TPL), reported a single-share purchase on March 24, 2026 at $534.94 per share, listed as totaling $534. The trade comes while TPL is trading near its 52-week high and following a quarter with earnings and revenue narrowly short of forecasts. Investment research flags the stock as appearing overvalued on a P/E basis, even as KeyBanc raises its price target citing opportunities tied to power generation, data centers and water trends on the company’s surface acreage.

Key Points

  • Horizon Kinetics, a 10% owner, bought 1 share of TPL on March 24, 2026 at $534.94, totaling $534, raising its direct holding to 3,467,932 shares.
  • TPL shares are near a 52-week high of $547.20, with a 74% six-month return and an 86.57% year-to-date gain.
  • Q4 2025 EPS of $1.79 and revenue of $212 million missed forecasts; KeyBanc increased its price target to $639 from $350 citing power generation, data center and water opportunities.

Horizon Kinetics Asset Management LLC, a reported 10% owner of Texas Pacific Land Corp (NYSE: TPL), logged a purchase of one share of the company’s common stock on March 24, 2026. The transaction was executed at a price of $534.94 per share, totaling $534.

That acquisition brings Horizon Kinetics' direct holding to 3,467,932 shares of Texas Pacific Land Corp, according to the filing. The purchase was recorded while TPL was trading close to its 52-week high of $547.20. The stock has delivered strong recent returns, rising roughly 74% over the past six months and posting an 86.57% gain year-to-date.

Valuation metrics cited in available research indicate TPL may be trading above its Fair Value. InvestingPro analysis notes the company’s price-to-earnings ratio stands at 76.77, and flags the stock as appearing overvalued relative to Fair Value. Investors can consult the InvestingPro platform for further analysis and 16 additional InvestingPro Tips specific to TPL.

On the fundamentals front, Texas Pacific Land reported fourth-quarter 2025 results with earnings per share of $1.79, missing a consensus forecast of $1.83. Revenue for the quarter came in at $212 million, slightly under the expected $214 million.

Analyst activity has shifted in parallel with operational developments. KeyBanc raised its price target on Texas Pacific Land shares to $639 from $350 and retained an Overweight rating. The firm attributed its target increase to notable developments related to power generation and data center prospects on the company’s surface acreage, and also highlighted favorable trends in the company’s water segment.

Investor engagement appears to be rising. The company has seen inquiries from a range of investment firms, and these developments have drawn attention from both long-only and long/short funds, according to available commentary. Taken together, the mix of a modest insider purchase, an elevated share price, a recent quarter that slightly missed forecasts, and an upgraded analyst target frames the current investor debate around Texas Pacific Land.


Key takeaways

  • Horizon Kinetics, a 10% shareholder, purchased 1 share of TPL on March 24, 2026 at $534.94 per share, totaling $534, increasing its direct stake to 3,467,932 shares.
  • TPL shares are trading near a 52-week high of $547.20 after a 74% six-month gain and an 86.57% year-to-date rise.
  • Fourth-quarter 2025 EPS was $1.79 on $212 million in revenue, both narrowly missing forecasts; KeyBanc raised its price target to $639 citing power generation, data center opportunities, and strong water trends.

Risks and uncertainties

  • Valuation risk - InvestingPro analysis suggests TPL is trading above its Fair Value with a P/E ratio of 76.77, which may affect return expectations.
  • Earnings and revenue execution - Q4 2025 results missed consensus forecasts modestly, indicating potential near-term operational or timing risks for revenue and EPS.
  • Market attention variability - While investor interest and analyst coverage have increased, shifting sentiment among long-only and long/short funds could introduce volatility.

Risks

  • Valuation risk: InvestingPro flags TPL as appearing overvalued with a P/E ratio of 76.77, which could limit upside.
  • Operational execution risk: Q4 2025 EPS and revenue slightly missed analyst expectations, highlighting potential near-term performance uncertainty.
  • Market attention risk: Rising inquiries from investment firms and shifting fund interest may elevate stock volatility.

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