Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

2,061 total articles

Copper Rises as Dip-Buyers Enter, Backed by Tech Stock Recovery

Copper Rises as Dip-Buyers Enter, Backed by Tech Stock Recovery

Copper rebounded on Wednesday after a recent trough, supported by investors buying the dip and a rebound in technology shares. The metal climbed over 2% on the London Metal Exchange as inventories continued to rise, with flows into U.S. sheds and ports contributing to growing stocks and a cash discount to forward prices.

Fed minutes show near-unanimous backing for pause after January meeting

Fed minutes show near-unanimous backing for pause after January meeting

Minutes from the Federal Reserve's January policy meeting revealed that nearly all participants supported the committee's choice to keep the target interest rate unchanged. The FOMC left the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% after three consecutive 25 basis point reductions, and recent economic data - including a strong nonfarm payrolls report and …

Planned U.S. Arms Sale to Taiwan Paused as Trump Weighs Beijing Trip

Planned U.S. Arms Sale to Taiwan Paused as Trump Weighs Beijing Trip

U.S. consideration of a new arms-sales package for Taiwan has been postponed after Chinese President Xi Jinping urged caution during a Feb. 4 phone call with President Trump. The pause reflects internal division among Trump advisers and concern about the timing of any approval as the president prepares for a trip to Beijing in the first week of Apr…

CIBC Sees Duty-Free Trade With U.S. Likely to Hold Despite Rising Rhetoric

CIBC Sees Duty-Free Trade With U.S. Likely to Hold Despite Rising Rhetoric

CIBC economist Avery Shenfeld contends that Canadian exports are likely to remain duty-free even as Washington intensifies trade rhetoric. The bank’s outlook rests on legal safeguards in the USMCA and market signals that do not reflect an imminent broad tariff escalation. Still, Shenfeld cautions that ongoing threats to the agreement are eroding cr…

US Investor Confidence in France Collapses as Macron’s Term Nears End

US Investor Confidence in France Collapses as Macron’s Term Nears End

A new survey by the American Chamber of Commerce and Bain & Company finds a steep fall in US investor optimism toward France, with only 17% expecting improvement over the next two to three years and a majority reporting deterioration over the past year. The findings reflect growing economic policy uncertainty following snap legislative elections an…

Hassett Rebukes New York Fed Tariff Study, Urges Sanctions for Authors

Hassett Rebukes New York Fed Tariff Study, Urges Sanctions for Authors

Kevin Hassett, director of the White House National Economic Council and a senior economic adviser to President Donald Trump, sharply criticized a New York Federal Reserve research paper that concluded Americans primarily bear the costs of tariffs. Hassett called the study an "embarrassment," labeled it the "worst paper" he had seen in the Fed's hi…

Hassett Calls New York Fed Tariff Paper an 'Embarrassment', Urges Accountability

Hassett Calls New York Fed Tariff Paper an 'Embarrassment', Urges Accountability

National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett sharply rebuked a New York Federal Reserve study on the incidence of U.S. tariffs, calling the research 'an embarrassment' and urging disciplinary action for its authors. The study had found that U.S. companies and consumers bore a substantial share of the economic burden from tariffs. Hassett delive…

Nigeria and South Africa Drive Rising Stablecoin Demand, Survey Finds

Nigeria and South Africa Drive Rising Stablecoin Demand, Survey Finds

A YouGov survey conducted with BVNK, Coinbase and Artemis finds Nigeria and South Africa leading growth in stablecoin holdings and optimism, with users seeking wider acceptance and integration into existing financial tools. Stablecoins remain primarily used for crypto trading, while central banks worry about dollarisation and capital flight.

Swedish inflation set to ease notably this year, central bank deputy says

Swedish inflation set to ease notably this year, central bank deputy says

Sweden's inflation is expected to fall significantly in the year ahead, driven in part by a temporary reduction in the value-added tax on food and signs of weaker inflationary pressures even when that measure is excluded, First Deputy Governor Aino Bunge said. While some cyclical indicators are mixed, the central bank finds overall real-economy dev…

UK CPI Drop Offers Path to Bank Rate Cuts Despite Sticky Services Inflation

UK CPI Drop Offers Path to Bank Rate Cuts Despite Sticky Services Inflation

UK consumer price inflation eased to 3.0% from 3.4%, driven by seasonal factors such as lower air fares, reduced fuel costs and base effects from prior tax changes. Economists describe the print as mixed: goods and food inflation are easing, while services inflation remains relatively stubborn. Most forecasters still expect central bank rate cuts b…

Fed minutes may clarify why policymakers paused rate cuts as risks shift

Fed minutes may clarify why policymakers paused rate cuts as risks shift

Minutes from the Federal Reserve's January 16-17 policy meeting, to be published Wednesday at 2 p.m. EST, are expected to shed light on why officials chose to keep the target federal funds rate at 3.5% to 3.75% and what evidence would be required to justify further reductions. The record will likely illuminate how policymakers are balancing a job m…

U.S. futures rise as technology stocks recover and investors await Fed minutes

U.S. futures rise as technology stocks recover and investors await Fed minutes

U.S. stock futures climbed Wednesday as technology shares rebounded and investors prepared for release of minutes from the Federal Reserve’s January policy meeting. Strong premarket moves in megacap names, a multi-year Nvidia agreement with Meta, and mixed corporate results shaped trading, while markets remained alert to inflation data and evolving…

Markets Watch: Fed minutes, tech earnings and Berkshire moves set the tone

Markets Watch: Fed minutes, tech earnings and Berkshire moves set the tone

U.S. stock futures rose modestly as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s January meeting minutes and digested corporate results. Technology names provided mixed signals, with gains in some mega-caps offset by weakness elsewhere and fresh concerns about the payback from large AI investments. Oil ticked higher on reports of progress in U.S.-Iran t…

Markets Cautious as Geneva Talks, Inflation Data and Tech Cooling Shape Trading

Markets Cautious as Geneva Talks, Inflation Data and Tech Cooling Shape Trading

Geopolitical diplomacy in Geneva, mixed signals from the technology sector and fresh inflation-related data are keeping markets subdued as many Asian bourses observe Lunar New Year holidays. Tokyo-focused tech optimism lifted Japan’s Nikkei, while central bank commentary and upcoming data releases, including Fed minutes, UK and French CPI reports, …

Asia Markets Rise as AI Concerns Persist; Oil Retreats After Iran-US Talks

Asia Markets Rise as AI Concerns Persist; Oil Retreats After Iran-US Talks

Asian equities opened higher on Wednesday even as lingering uncertainty about the economic impact of artificial intelligence continued to unsettle investors. Oil prices eased after Iran and the United States reported progress on guiding principles in nuclear negotiations, reducing near-term risk of supply disruption. Currency moves reflected centra…

RBNZ Keeps Official Cash Rate at 2.25% and Sees Inflation Returning to Midpoint

RBNZ Keeps Official Cash Rate at 2.25% and Sees Inflation Returning to Midpoint

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand held its official cash rate at 2.25%, noting that headline inflation rose to 3.1% in the December 2025 quarter but is expected to fall back within the 1% to 3% target band by the March quarter and drift toward the 2% midpoint over the next year. The central bank said earlier rate cuts have supported a gradual recover…

Dollar Holds Ground as Markets Weigh Geopolitics and Fed Minutes

Dollar Holds Ground as Markets Weigh Geopolitics and Fed Minutes

The U.S. dollar remained largely steady as investors balanced renewed geopolitical concerns with reports of diplomatic progress in Geneva and awaited minutes from the Federal Reserve’s January meeting. Asian markets were thin due to Lunar New Year holidays, while currency moves responded to Japanese manufacturing data, an expected hold by New Zeala…

UK Pay Awards Tick Up to 3.2% as Employers Signal Early Movement on 2026 Deals

UK Pay Awards Tick Up to 3.2% as Employers Signal Early Movement on 2026 Deals

Pay settlements reported by employers in the UK rose to a median basic award of 3.2% in the three months to the end of January, edging up from 3% recorded across 2025. The Brightmine sample suggests an initial tilt toward higher settlements as firms compete for staff, though employers remain cautious amid broader economic challenges and a spring in…