Economy

Macroeconomic data, trends, and policy developments.

Coverage of key economic indicators, central bank policy decisions, inflation trends, labor data, and growth signals. This category focuses on the macroeconomic forces that shape markets, interest rates, and long-term capital allocation.

Articles

2,066 total articles

Gilt rally persists despite Westminster turbulence as yields slide

Gilt rally persists despite Westminster turbulence as yields slide

UK government bond yields have fallen by more than 20 basis points since mid-February as demand for gilts rises. Moves in 10-year gilts tracked declines in US Treasuries, while two-year swap rates hit fresh lows reflecting lower Bank of England policy expectations. Improved appetite for gilts is supported by reduced inflation risks and US equity vo…

Kremlin Frames Drop in Energy Revenues and Bigger Deficit as Routine Headwinds

Kremlin Frames Drop in Energy Revenues and Bigger Deficit as Routine Headwinds

The Kremlin characterized a marked fall in oil and gas receipts and a widening budget deficit as manageable, routine challenges that can be handled within the broader framework of macroeconomic stability. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov and Finance Minister Anton Siluanov outlined measures including stronger reserve-fund allocations and near-term b…

ECB trims dollar holdings, shifts proceeds into yen in routine reserve rebalance

ECB trims dollar holdings, shifts proceeds into yen in routine reserve rebalance

The European Central Bank disclosed it sold a portion of U.S. dollar assets in the first quarter of 2025 and reinvested all proceeds into Japanese yen, a move described as a standard rebalancing to match target allocation. The bank reported a 909 million euro gain from that transaction, reduced the share of dollars in its foreign currency assets an…

UBS Sees UK Gilt Issuance Falling to £271bn as Borrowing and Redemptions Ease

UBS Sees UK Gilt Issuance Falling to £271bn as Borrowing and Redemptions Ease

UBS projects the UK Debt Management Office will issue £271 billion of gilts in the 2026-27 fiscal year, a decline from the current year driven by lower net borrowing and fewer redemptions. The bank anticipates around £20 billion of long-dated gilts and £34 billion of index-linked bonds in the remit, notes a high level of unallocated supply, and arg…

Tech Earnings Temper Markets as U.S.-Iran Talks Keep Oil on Edge

Tech Earnings Temper Markets as U.S.-Iran Talks Keep Oil on Edge

U.S. stock futures slipped as investors digested high-profile quarterly reports from Nvidia and Salesforce. Nvidia delivered stronger-than-expected profits and a revenue outlook above forecasts, yet questions about the timing and scale of shareholder returns muted investor reaction. Salesforce shares fell after management set a fiscal 2027 revenue …

Man Group posts record AUM but profits slip as market turbulence bites

Man Group posts record AUM but profits slip as market turbulence bites

Man Group reported a 35% jump in assets under management to a record $227.6 billion for 2025, yet pre-tax profit declined 14% to $407 million as market volatility weighed on performance. While several systematic and multistrategy funds delivered solid gains, management fees eased and shares fell about 2.5% on the day.

Takaichi Signals Dovish Turn at BOJ with Two Reflationist Board Picks

Takaichi Signals Dovish Turn at BOJ with Two Reflationist Board Picks

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi surprised markets by nominating two academics known for reflationary views to the Bank of Japan board, sending a clear message of opposition to higher interest rates. The appointments - Toichiro Asada and Ayano Sato - alter the board’s balance and could influence the trajectory and politics of Japan’s policy normalisat…

Nvidia's strong quarter soothes markets but fails to exceed sky-high expectations

Nvidia's strong quarter soothes markets but fails to exceed sky-high expectations

Nvidia reported January-quarter sales that topped analyst forecasts and issued a current-quarter revenue outlook above market estimates. The beat, while solid, fell short of the outsized gains some investors expected after a long string of revenue surprises. The report eased immediate worries about the cost of AI-driven disruption, supporting gains…

Hong Kong Appeal Court Overturns Jimmy Lai Fraud Conviction, Citing Judicial Error

Hong Kong Appeal Court Overturns Jimmy Lai Fraud Conviction, Citing Judicial Error

Hong Kong's Court of Appeal on Feb 26 overturned a lower court judgment that had found Jimmy Lai guilty of a fraud offence and imposed a prison term, concluding the trial judge made an error. The decision comes after Lai, founder of the now-defunct Apple Daily, was earlier sentenced to 20 years on national security-related convictions. Lai has plea…

Bank of Korea Keeps Policy Rate at 2.50% as Chip-Led Growth Buoys Outlook

Bank of Korea Keeps Policy Rate at 2.50% as Chip-Led Growth Buoys Outlook

The Bank of Korea left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.50% after a unanimous decision by its seven-member monetary policy board. Policymakers raised the growth forecast for 2026 to 2.0% from 1.8%, citing a chip-driven export upswing, while flagging trade uncertainty and financial-stability risks as factors that support a prolonged pause …

Bank of Korea to Publish Quarterly 'Dot Plot' Showing Board Views on Rates

Bank of Korea to Publish Quarterly 'Dot Plot' Showing Board Views on Rates

The Bank of Korea will broaden its forward guidance by publishing a quarterly 'dot plot' that aggregates anonymous interest-rate path projections from all seven board members for the coming six months. The move, following 18 months of pilot testing, will be rolled out at the policy meeting on Thursday and then at meetings in February, May, August a…

BOJ to Weigh March and April Data Before Any Rate Decision, Governor Says

BOJ to Weigh March and April Data Before Any Rate Decision, Governor Says

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda told the Yomiuri newspaper that the central bank will closely examine incoming data ahead of its March and April policy meetings to determine whether to raise interest rates. He reiterated that rate increases would continue if Japan advances toward its economic and inflation projections, and noted that stronger-tha…

New York Attorney General Sues Valve, Alleges Loot Boxes Constitute Gambling

New York Attorney General Sues Valve, Alleges Loot Boxes Constitute Gambling

NEW YORK, Feb 25 - New York Attorney General Letitia James filed a lawsuit in Manhattan state court against Valve, the Bellevue, Washington-based video game developer behind franchises such as Counter-Strike, Team Fortress and Dota. The complaint alleges that Valve’s use of loot boxes constitutes a game of chance and violates New York’s constitutio…

Bostic Warns Political Attacks on Fed Are Eroding Public Confidence

Bostic Warns Political Attacks on Fed Are Eroding Public Confidence

Raphael Bostic, outgoing president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, said political and legal disputes surrounding the Fed have weakened public belief in the central bank's independence. In a farewell essay published as he prepares to leave office, Bostic argued that safeguarding the Fed's autonomy is essential to maintaining low inflation, s…