Economy January 27, 2026

Markets Split Between Rallying Equities and Turbulent FX as Dollar Collapses

S&P 500 and global equities surge amid strong U.S. results even as the dollar plunges, gold and the Swiss franc rally, and bond yields shift

By Nina Shah
Markets Split Between Rallying Equities and Turbulent FX as Dollar Collapses

Global equity indexes, led by the S&P 500, reached fresh highs driven by robust U.S. corporate earnings and growth optimism, while currency and precious metals markets signalled pronounced investor caution. The dollar tumbled to four-year lows, lifting safe-haven assets such as gold and the Swiss franc, even as U.S. Treasury yields ticked higher at the long end and the yield curve steepened.

Key Points

  • Global equities, led by the S&P 500, climbed to fresh highs as strong U.S. earnings supported risk sentiment - sectors helped: technology and utilities; sectors hurt: healthcare and energy.
  • The U.S. dollar fell to four-year lows, prompting safe-haven demand - the Swiss franc hit 11-year highs and euro/Swiss dropped to 0.9163 francs; the yen moved toward 152 per dollar and sterling reached four-year highs versus the dollar.
  • U.S. Treasury yields rose about 4 basis points at the long end, steepening the yield curve; oil gained ~3%, gold and silver rebounded while platinum and palladium fell 3-5%.

World stock markets pushed higher on Tuesday as a wave of encouraging U.S. earnings reports lifted investor sentiment, while the U.S. dollar plunged to multi-year lows and safe-haven assets gained amid geopolitical and policy concerns.

The benchmark S&P 500 closed near the 7000-point mark, and a number of regional markets also hit fresh highs. South Korea rose about 3% to a new peak, and Brazil registered record levels as well.

Sector and single-stock action

Within the S&P 500, nine sectors ended the day higher, with technology and utilities among the leading gainers. Two sectors posted declines - healthcare and energy. On the individual-stock front, General Motors advanced roughly 9%, while UnitedHealth Group fell about 20%.

Foreign exchange - broad dollar weakness

The U.S. dollar came under heavy selling pressure, extending a run of declines to reach four-year lows on a broad basis. Traders attributed the selling to a mixture of worries: geopolitics, uncertainty around U.S. policy direction under President Donald Trump, the impression that Washington would prefer a lower exchange rate, and concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve. The market dynamics reflect a renewed "Sell America" trade in FX, mirroring patterns seen last year, where U.S. equities climb even as the dollar weakens and Treasuries remain relatively steady.

Short-term technicals and momentum indicators were described as unfavorable for the dollar, and on a longer-term, broad real effective exchange rate basis the dollar still looked expensive.

Safe-haven currencies and the yen

With the dollar falling and the Japanese yen facing domestic policy uncertainty and a tumbling bond market, the Swiss franc appreciated sharply. On Tuesday, the euro/Swiss exchange rate fell to 0.9163 francs - the lowest level since January 15, 2015, the day when the Swiss National Bank ended its exchange rate cap and the franc jumped as much as 30%. Excluding that day, the franc has not been stronger against the euro in the observed period. The Swiss franc also reached an 11-year high versus the dollar. Meanwhile, sterling - referred to in FX markets as cable - traded at four-year highs against the dollar, and the yen drifted toward the 152-per-dollar level.

Bonds

U.S. Treasury yields moved higher at the long end of the curve, rising about 4 basis points and causing a modest steepening of the yield curve.

Commodities and metals

Oil prices climbed roughly 3% on the day. Precious metals presented a mixed picture: gold and silver staged a rebound, while platinum and palladium slipped between 3% and 5%.


How markets are interpreting the divergence

Equity markets continued to race to new highs despite pronounced volatility in currency and metals markets. Strong corporate earnings, ongoing growth signals, and investor confidence in the artificial intelligence-driven economic opportunity have supported equities. That said, the persistence of sharp dollar declines raises questions about sustainability. If the dollar slide coincides with selloffs in the bond market, equity investors could become more uneasy.

Selected recommended reads

For readers seeking additional context on the day's market moves, the following pieces were highlighted as timely background:

  • U.S. consumer confidence dives to a more than 11-1/2-year low
  • World’s 'middle powers' de-risking from America: Mike Dolan
  • India, EU reach landmark trade deal, tariffs to be slashed on most goods
  • In the Market: Wall Street’s banking on next Fed chair to stand up to Trump
  • Chinese industrial profit rises in 2025, first time in four years

Looking ahead - events that could move markets tomorrow

  • Australia inflation (December, Q4)
  • ECB Board Member Isabel Schnabel speaks
  • Brazil interest rate decision
  • Canada interest rate decision
  • U.S. Treasury auctions $30 billion of 2-year FRNs
  • U.S. earnings, including Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, IBM, AT&T, Starbucks
  • U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate decision

Conclusion

Tuesday’s session underscored a sharp bifurcation across markets: equities climbed to new highs on corporate strength and growth optimism, while the currency and precious metals markets signalled investor risk aversion tied to policy uncertainty and geopolitical concerns. The durability of the current equity rally may hinge on whether currency and bond market stresses intensify or stabilize in the near term.

Risks

  • Continued dollar weakness, especially if paired with bond market selloffs, could unsettle equity markets and affect global funding conditions - impacts sectors such as banks and multinational companies.
  • Policy uncertainty and concerns over central bank independence could drive further safe-haven flows into currencies like the Swiss franc and gold, amplifying FX volatility and complicating foreign exchange risk management for exporters and importers.
  • Sharp moves in bond yields and currencies may pressure sectors sensitive to funding and interest rate moves, including financials and real assets; persistent volatility could also weigh on investor confidence across markets.

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