Economy May 11, 2026 03:34 PM

Canadian Government Yields Rise Across the Curve; 10-Year Sees Largest Gain

Short-, medium- and long-term sovereign yields tick higher as the yield curve steepens modestly and equities edge up

By Ajmal Hussain

Canada's sovereign bond yields moved higher across maturities on Monday afternoon, with the 10-year note recording the largest increase. The 1-year yield rose to 2.649%, the 10-year reached 3.54%, and the 30-year climbed to 3.906%. The gap between the 1-year and 30-year yields widened slightly, while credit default swaps for the five-year tenor were unchanged. The S&P/TSX Composite Index finished the session up 0.2%.

Canadian Government Yields Rise Across the Curve; 10-Year Sees Largest Gain

Key Points

  • Sovereign yields rose across the curve on Monday, with the 10-year yield posting the largest increase.
  • The spread between the 1-year and 30-year yields widened to 125.7 basis points from 123.8 basis points, and Canada’s 5-year credit default swaps remained unchanged.
  • The S&P/TSX Composite Index rose 0.2% on the day; over the past year the Bloomberg Canada government bond index is up 2.7% while the S&P/TSX has surged 34.6%.

Canada's sovereign yield curve shifted upward across maturities during Monday afternoon trading, with the intermediate 10-year note experiencing the biggest single-session advance.

On the day, the 1-year yield increased by 3.9 basis points to 2.649%. The 10-year yield rose 6.8 basis points to 3.54%, the largest move among the maturities reported. Meanwhile, the 30-year yield gained 5.8 basis points, settling at 3.906%.

The differential between the shortest and longest of the tenors reported widened modestly. The spread between the 1-year and the 30-year yields expanded to 125.7 basis points from 123.8 basis points at the prior close.

Credit market signals remained mixed in the session. Canada’s five-year credit default swaps were unchanged during trading, indicating stability in that specific measure of perceived sovereign credit risk.

Equities moved in positive territory alongside the rise in yields. The S&P/TSX Composite Index closed up 0.2% on Monday, reflecting a mild gain in Canadian equities on the day.

Looking at performance over the past year, the Bloomberg Canada Index of government bonds has gained 2.7%. Over the same twelve-month span, the S&P/TSX Composite Index has advanced considerably more, having surged 34.6%.

These intraday shifts in yields and spreads, together with the unchanged five-year CDS reading and the modest equity gain, provide a snapshot of market moves in both fixed-income and equity instruments on Monday afternoon. The data points above reflect the session's closing levels for the reported maturities, the reported spread change from the previous close, and the year-on-year index returns noted for Canadian government bonds and the main domestic equity benchmark.

Risks

  • Movements in sovereign yields and a widening short-to-long spread represent changing price conditions in the government bond market that market participants will need to monitor.
  • An unchanged five-year credit default swap reading suggests stability in that measure of sovereign credit risk, but yield movements could still influence investor positioning in fixed-income instruments.
  • Divergent year-on-year performance between government bonds and equities highlights differing market conditions across asset classes that investors may weigh when allocating capital.

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