Economy January 28, 2026

Canada and India Finalize Strategic Energy Partnership in Goa

Deal centers on Canadian crude and LNG exports in return for Indian refined fuel as Ottawa seeks new markets beyond the U.S.

By Hana Yamamoto
Canada and India Finalize Strategic Energy Partnership in Goa

Canada and India have formalized an energy partnership committed to reciprocal trade in hydrocarbons, with Ottawa set to export crude oil and liquefied natural gas to New Delhi in exchange for Indian refined petroleum products. The announcement, issued by Energy Ministers Timothy Hodgson and Hardeep Singh Puri from Goa, follows high-level talks at India Energy Week and builds on an earlier directive from Prime Ministers Mark Carney and Narendra Modi to renew ministerial and working-level engagement.

Key Points

  • Canada will export crude oil and liquefied natural gas to India in exchange for Indian refined petroleum products - impacts the energy and commodities sectors.
  • The pact followed Canada’s first senior-level participation at India Energy Week and reiterates a focus on energy security and supply diversity - affects trade and logistics.
  • Ottawa plans to use the Trans Mountain Expansion Pipeline and West Coast terminals to access Indian demand, which is projected to represent about one-third of global energy demand growth over two decades - relevant to infrastructure and export-oriented sectors.

Canada and India have established a formal energy arrangement that directs Canadian crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) toward Indian markets while Indian refined petroleum products will flow to Canada, according to a joint statement released Tuesday from Goa by Energy Ministers Timothy Hodgson and Hardeep Singh Puri.

The agreement was publicized after Canada participated at the senior level for the first time at India Energy Week, an engagement that helped resume broader bilateral discussions. The ministers framed the pact around shared priorities, saying that energy security and diversity of supply are essential to the safety, wellbeing, and economic vitality of both countries as they operate in a volatile global environment.

This diplomatic shift traces back to a June 2025 directive from Prime Ministers Mark Carney and Narendra Modi. The two leaders, who met on the margins of the G7 Summit in Kananaskis, called for restarting senior ministerial and working-level engagements to repair what they described as a fractured relationship.

As part of Ottawa’s strategy, Canada intends to leverage the Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) Pipeline and West Coast terminal facilities to move more crude and LNG to non-U.S. destinations. The government has signaled an ambition to position Canada as an energy supplier to fast-growing markets, with India identified as a priority given projections in the agreement that place the country at the center of roughly one-third of global energy demand growth over the next two decades.

The energy partnership is being advanced alongside a broader Canadian trade strategy under Prime Minister Mark Carney. That strategy recently produced a landmark agreement with China, announced last week, in which reduced tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles were exchanged for lower duties on Canadian canola. Carney has publicly defended these initiatives as a form of risk management, following remarks at the World Economic Forum in Davos urging middle powers to coordinate against economic hegemony.

Those shifts in trade orientation have prompted a sharp response from Washington. The statement notes that President Donald Trump has warned of imposing 100% tariffs on Canadian goods should the Canada-China trade deal proceed. Despite this tension with the United States, Ottawa appears determined to broaden its export destinations and lessen reliance on a single market.


Implications and context

The agreement formalizes a reciprocal energy flow between two major countries and signals Canada’s intent to use existing export infrastructure to reach Asian buyers. It also sits alongside a recalibrated trade policy that has already produced significant bilateral arrangements in other regions.

Risks

  • Rising geopolitical friction with the United States - noted by threats of 100% tariffs on Canadian goods from President Donald Trump - risks affecting Canadian exporters across multiple sectors, including agriculture and manufacturing.
  • The broader trade realignment that includes a recent Canada-China agreement could increase diplomatic tensions and create uncertainty for companies dependent on predictable market access in North America.
  • Reliance on infrastructure projects like the TMX Pipeline and West Coast terminals introduces execution and logistical risks that could affect timing and volume of energy exports.

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