Economy March 30, 2026

BOK nominee urges flexible policy as Middle East tensions pose risks to economy

Shin Hyun-song says currency level and liquidity are manageable but extra budget aimed at vulnerable households is warranted

By Avery Klein
BOK nominee urges flexible policy as Middle East tensions pose risks to economy

Shin Hyun-song, nominated to lead the Bank of Korea, told reporters on Tuesday that the central bank should adopt a "flexible" approach to monetary policy to address heightened risks stemming from the Iran war. He said the won's current level was "not concerning," and that liquidity conditions were healthy. Shin identified the Middle East crisis as the largest external threat to South Korea's economy and supported a government plan for an extra budget to help low-income households, while noting the plan's inflationary effects should be limited given its design and scale.

Key Points

  • Shin Hyun-song, nominated to lead the Bank of Korea, said the central bank needs a "flexible" monetary policy to manage rising risks from the Iran war - sectors impacted include central banking and financial markets.
  • He described the current level of the Korean won as "not concerning" and said liquidity conditions are good; the currency recently hit its weakest level against the U.S. dollar since March 2009 - impacting FX markets and exporters.
  • Shin supported a government extra budget to help low-income people affected by the Iran war while saying inflationary effects should be limited by the plan's design and scale - affecting fiscal policy and household welfare.

On Tuesday in Seoul, Shin Hyun-song, who was named last week as the presidential nominee to head the Bank of Korea, told a group of reporters that the central bank will need to adopt a "flexible" stance on monetary policy to respond to growing risks linked to the Iran war.

Shin said the current level of the Korean won is "not concerning" and added that liquidity in markets remains good. He noted the currency recently traded at its weakest point against the U.S. dollar since March 2009 in Seoul trading.

Describing the international situation, Shin identified the crisis in the Middle East as the biggest risk facing the Korean economy. He argued that the government’s proposal for an extra budget is necessary to support low-income people who are experiencing financial strain as a result of the Iran war.

At the same time, Shin cautioned that any inflationary pressure arising from the supplementary fiscal plan should be limited, given how the plan is designed and the scale involved. He emphasized that the budget’s structure and size will constrain its impact on broader price dynamics.

Professionally, Shin is head of the economic department at the Bank for International Settlements. His appointment as the central bank governor nominee was announced last week by President Lee Jae Myung. Before he can take office, Shin will be required to undergo a parliamentary hearing.


Context and implications

Shin’s remarks place emphasis on a pragmatic monetary response to external shocks while acknowledging the need for targeted fiscal support to vulnerable households. By labeling the Middle East conflict the most significant external risk and describing domestic liquidity as sufficient, Shin signaled a cautious balance between guarding financial stability and supporting those most affected by geopolitical fallout.

The nominee’s comments set expectations for how the central bank might weigh exchange-rate developments, market liquidity, and government fiscal measures if he is confirmed following the parliamentary process.

Risks

  • Escalation of the Iran war and broader Middle East crisis is cited as the biggest risk to the Korean economy - this could affect trade and market stability.
  • Currency weakness, highlighted by the won reaching its weakest point since March 2009, presents risks to import prices and financial market volatility.
  • Uncertainty around the extra budget and its implementation, including parliamentary approval and execution, could influence fiscal outcomes despite expectations the plan's inflationary pressure will be limited.

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