Economy January 29, 2026

Blackstone Tops Q4 Estimates as Dealmaking and Data Centers Lift Results

Asset sales, fresh capital raising and gains at data-center holdings drive distributable earnings above Street expectations

By Jordan Park
Blackstone Tops Q4 Estimates as Dealmaking and Data Centers Lift Results

Blackstone reported fourth-quarter distributable earnings and results that exceeded analysts' forecasts, buoyed by active dealmaking, asset sales and gains in its infrastructure portfolio led by data center operator QTS. The firm raised substantial new capital and expanded its purchase commitments during the period, while its stock performance and exposure to the housing policy debate drew market attention.

Key Points

  • Blackstone reported $957 million in asset sale proceeds in Q4, 59% higher than the year-ago quarter, and raised $71.5 billion in new capital, bringing assets under management to $1.27 trillion - impacting private equity and infrastructure sectors.
  • Infrastructure funds rose 8.4% in the period driven by data center operator QTS, benefiting from AI-related demand, with BREIT returning 8.1% in 2025 - relevant to real estate, data center and technology infrastructure markets.
  • Distributable earnings rose 3% to $2.2 billion ($1.75 per share) for the quarter and reached $5.57 per share for the year, both ahead of LSEG analyst expectations - influencing investor income expectations and alternative asset valuations.

Blackstone, the world’s largest alternative asset manager, posted fourth-quarter results that outpaced Wall Street expectations as robust deal activity and gains in its data center holdings supported performance.

During the three months ending in December, the New York-based firm recorded $957 million in proceeds from asset sales, a 59% increase from the same period a year earlier. The company also attracted $71.5 billion in new capital in the quarter and now oversees $1.27 trillion in assets under management.


Dealmaking and sector momentum

Financial investors and corporations returned to mergers and acquisitions in 2025 after a turbulent start to the year, a rebound the company said was aided by easing interest rates and reduced policy uncertainty. The activity helped Blackstone monetize holdings and realize gains from strategic disposals during the period.

Blackstone’s infrastructure funds posted an 8.4% increase in valuations in the quarter. That uplift was largely attributable to QTS, the data center operator Blackstone acquired in 2021. Management said QTS is benefiting from demand to develop artificial intelligence workloads, supporting the broader infrastructure performance.

"Our focus on investing at massive scale in the build-out of digital and energy infrastructure continues to create significant value," Chief Executive Officer Stephen Schwarzman said.

The firm also retains exposure to QTS through its real estate investment trust, BREIT, which returned 8.1% in 2025. That performance marked a recovery following several difficult years beginning in late 2022, when falling property prices and rising interest rates prompted investors to redeem funds.


Cash available to shareholders and analyst expectations

Distributable earnings, the cash measure the firm uses to gauge funds available for shareholder payouts, rose 3% to $2.2 billion in the quarter. That amounted to $1.75 per share, beating the $1.54 per-share consensus from analysts polled by LSEG. For the full year, distributable earnings came to $5.57 per share, above the $5.35 expectation in the LSEG poll.

During the period, Blackstone deployed $42 billion to make purchases, including the acquisition of Japanese engineering staffing firm TechnoPro, and committed an additional $23 billion toward larger asset buys such as medical device maker Hologic.


Market reaction and analyst perspectives

Blackstone’s shares fell roughly 11% over the previous year, in line with declines among other large alternative asset managers. Piper Sandler described the stock as "unloved," assigning a "neutral" rating while noting the firm stands to gain from increased transaction flow and performance fees if activity continues to pick up.

The company’s $611 billion global real estate portfolio drew scrutiny during the month after an announcement by the President threatening to bar large institutional investors from acquiring single-family homes. Blackstone’s stock was trading at 23 times its forecast 2026 earnings, though Piper Sandler noted projected fee growth of only low double digits.

Shares briefly traded down as much as 8% in reaction to various headlines and market moves, but some analysts downplayed the broader risk. Oppenheimer analyst Chris Kotowski estimated Blackstone’s exposure to the single-family housing issue at around $6 billion out of more than $1.2 trillion in total, calling that level "obviously trivial."


Supplementary evaluation and promotional note

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Risks

  • Public policy actions targeting institutional purchases of single-family homes could draw scrutiny to Blackstone’s large real estate holdings, particularly its $611 billion global portfolio - affecting real estate and housing markets.
  • Market sentiment toward large alternative asset managers has weighed on share performance, with Blackstone down about 11% last year, indicating investor appetite and valuation concerns in the asset management sector.
  • Projected fee growth is modest, in the low double digits, while the stock trades at 23 times forecast 2026 earnings, exposing valuations to changes in performance fees and transaction volumes - relevant to equity investors in asset managers.

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