UVE October 30, 2025

Universal Insurance Holdings Q3 2025 Earnings Call - Strong Return on Equity and Conservative Reserving in a Changing Florida Market

Summary

Universal Insurance Holdings delivered a robust third quarter in 2025, posting an adjusted return on common equity of 30.6% alongside solid growth in revenues and premiums. The firm highlighted its unique organic business model as a key driver of consistently deep double-digit ROEs, particularly well-timed given the evolving conditions in the Florida insurance market. The annual actuarial review was initiated earlier than usual and showed encouraging results. The company has adopted a more conservative reserving strategy focused on balance sheet resilience, reflecting lessons from a previously fraud-ridden market environment, and plans to maintain this approach throughout the remainder of the year before reassessing in early 2026.

Key Takeaways

  • Adjusted return on common equity reached 30.6%, reflecting strong profitability.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share rose to $1.36 from a loss of $0.73 in the prior year quarter.
  • Core revenue increased 4.9% year-over-year, driven by higher premiums earned, investment income, and commissions.
  • Direct premiums written were $592.8 million, up 3.2%, with 22.2% growth outside Florida offsetting a 2.6% drop within Florida.
  • Net combined ratio improved significantly to 96.4%, a 20.5-point decrease largely due to benign hurricane activity this quarter.
  • Net loss ratio improved by 21.5 points, aided by absence of Hurricane Debbie and Helene claims in the current quarter.
  • Net expense ratio rose slightly by one point due to increased ceded premiums and higher acquisition costs in non-Florida markets.
  • The company repurchased approximately 347,000 shares during the quarter, with about $7.1 million remaining authorized for buybacks.
  • Conservative reserving posture maintained, with an emphasis on balance sheet strength amid a recovering Florida market.
  • Competitive environment noted as intense, especially outside Florida; company focuses on rate adequacy and service rather than chasing premium growth.
  • Management signals no immediate major changes in reserving or profit margins but will reassess strategies heading into 2026.
  • Dividend of $0.16 per share declared, payable in August 2025, underscoring financial confidence.

Full Transcript

Conference Operator: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Universal’s Third Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Conference Call. After the speakers’ presentation, there will be a question and answer session. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Arash Soleimani, Chief Strategy Officer.

Arash Soleimani, Chief Strategy Officer, Universal Insurance Holdings: Good morning. Thank you for joining us today. Welcome to our quarterly earnings call. On the call with me today are Steve Donaghy, Chief Executive Officer and Frank Wilcox, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, please note today’s discussion may contain forward looking statements and non GAAP financial measures.

Forward looking statements involve assumptions, risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those statements. For more information, please see the press release and Universal’s SEC filings, all of which are available on the Investors section of our website at universalinsuranceholdings.com and on the SEC’s website. A reconciliation of non GAAP financial measures to comparable GAAP measures is included in the quarterly press release and can also be found on Universal’s website at universalinsuranceholdings.com. With that, I’ll turn the call over to Steve.

Steve Donaghy, Chief Executive Officer, Universal Insurance Holdings: Thanks, Arash. Good morning, everyone. It was a solid quarter with a 30.6% adjusted return on common equity. Our unique organic business model allows us to consistently generate deep double digit ROEs, making us particularly well positioned to succeed in the much improved Florida market. Additionally, we commenced our annual actuarial review process considerably earlier this year and our findings are very encouraging.

As we’ve discussed in recent periods, our reserving process has become more conservative with a focus on protecting and increasing the resilience of our balance sheet. When we look at our current and prior accident year reserves in the aggregate, we believe we’re in a very strong position, further increasing our optimism as we turn a new chapter in the revamped Florida market. I’ll turn it over to Frank to walk through our financial results. Frank?

Frank Wilcox, Chief Financial Officer, Universal Insurance Holdings: Thanks, Steve, and good morning. Adjusted diluted earnings per common share was $1.36 compared to an adjusted loss per common share of $0.73 in the prior year quarter. The higher adjusted diluted earnings per common share mostly stems from a lower net loss ratio and higher net premiums earned, net investment income and commission revenue. Core revenue of $400,000,000 was up 4.9% year over year with growth primarily stemming from higher net premiums earned, net investment income and commission revenue. Direct premiums written were $592,800,000 up 3.2% from the prior year quarter.

The increase stems from 22.2% growth in other states, partially offset by 2.6% decrease in Florida. Overall growth mostly reflects higher policies in force, higher rates and inflation adjustments across our multi state footprint. Direct premiums earned were $534,100,000 up 5.2% from the prior year quarter, reflecting direct premiums written growth over the last twelve months. Net premiums earned were $359,700,000 up 4% from the prior year quarter. The increase is primarily attributable to higher direct premiums earned, partially offset by higher ceded premium ratio.

The net combined ratio was 96.4%, down 20.5 points compared to the prior year quarter. The decrease reflects a lower net loss ratio, partially offset by a higher net expense ratio. The 70.2% net loss ratio was down 21.5 points compared to the prior year quarter, with the decrease reflecting the inclusion of Hurricanes Debbie and Helene in the prior year quarter and the lack of hurricane activity in the current year quarter. The net expense ratio was 26.2%, up one point compared to the prior year quarter with the increase primarily driven by a higher ceded premium ratio and higher policy acquisition costs associated with growth outside Florida. During the quarter, the company repurchased approximately 347,000 shares at an aggregate cost of $8,100,000 The company’s current share repurchase authorization program has approximately $7,100,000 remaining.

On 07/09/2025, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share of common stock payable on 08/09/2025 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on 08/01/2025. With that, I’d like to ask the operator to open the line for questions.

Conference Operator: Our first question comes from Paul Newsome with Piper Sandler. Your line is open.

Paul Newsome, Analyst, Piper Sandler: Good morning. Thanks for the call. And was maybe you could follow on a little bit more on your reserving comments. Does this foreshadow any change in how you think about profit margins prospectively, the accident year loss ratio, or any change in how you think about selling loss picks?

Steve Donaghy, Chief Executive Officer, Universal Insurance Holdings: Yes. Good morning, Paul. Thanks for the questions. We feel as though we have come through a very fraudulent time within the Florida market. And we have seen all the things in the past go through the book.

There’s still things to deal with in the future, as you know, and Florida is an ever changing market. However, we’ve never had as many dollars up in the aggregate as we do right now. And our file count or claims count is dramatically reduced. And our claims folks are getting to claims much faster as a result of the market that we’re in. So we’ve seen considerably positive effects on the book and on our reserving philosophy so to say.

As we look to the future, we want to get through the year before we make any substantial adjustments and retain our conservative approach. But that’ll be something we will look at seriously as we get into the beginning of 2026 and close out 2025.

Paul Newsome, Analyst, Piper Sandler: Different follow-up question. Any thoughts on the competitive environment? We hear all sorts of talks about rate decreases in the Florida market in particular. But can you give us some general thoughts about what you’re seeing both in and out of the Florida markets from a competitive perspective?

Steve Donaghy, Chief Executive Officer, Universal Insurance Holdings: Yeah. I think, again, just to address outside of the Florida market, we’re more of a niche provider. We have our markets that we like, and our rates are adequate in certain spots. And it’s highly competitive outside of Florida. And you have all the big names there as well.

Within Florida, there are a lot of new players showing up. There’s a lot of new players that maybe don’t understand what we’ve understood for twenty five or twenty six years now. So we see a lot of various behaviors. We do not chase premium. We are sticking to rate adequacy and trying to drive high level of service to our insurers and profitability to our shareholders.

So it is competitive. There are a lot of markets. I think the agents continue to prefer to write with established providers when competitive. And I would say unlike other times, that’s now consistent across the state. It’s not just in specific markets in Florida.

And I think there’s different carriers that look at different geographic areas in Florida very differently. But we continue to write new business and new policies as you’ve seen from last quarter. We feel good about our position and our relationship with our agency force.

Paul Newsome, Analyst, Piper Sandler: The last big question and I’ll let other folks ask. Capital management, you’ve made some comments this quarter, but you now have a high class problem here in the sense that your ROE is well above the growth rate of the company. What’s your priorities there? Should we expect substantial or at least some repurchase activity prospectively as part of your sort of ongoing business given where the returns are today?

Steve Donaghy, Chief Executive Officer, Universal Insurance Holdings: I don’t know about new purchase activity, Paul, but we consistently view our shares as a positive within our capital management. So as we look to the future and we have access to capital, we’ll continue to work with the investment committee and establish guidelines and change those guidelines as we go, but we feel very confident in any acquisition of our shares that we can do at the appropriate times.

Paul Newsome, Analyst, Piper Sandler: Great, I appreciate the help. Thank you very much.

Steve Donaghy, Chief Executive Officer, Universal Insurance Holdings: Thanks, Paul. Have a good weekend.

Conference Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Nicholas Yacaviello with Dowling and Partners. Your line is open. Thanks. I just had one.

Was there any net prior development booked in the current quarter following the annual actuarial review?

Frank Wilcox, Chief Financial Officer, Universal Insurance Holdings: Yes. Good morning, Nick. Yes, there was. About $3,900,000 related to prior year CATs.

Conference Operator: All right. Thank you. And I’m assuming there was nothing on the claims handling aside from last year’s storms, correct? That’s correct. Yes, none.

Okay. That’s all I had. Thanks guys.

Steve Donaghy, Chief Executive Officer, Universal Insurance Holdings: Thanks Nick.

Conference Operator: Thank you. I’m showing no further questions at this time. Would now like to turn it back to Steve Donaghy for closing remarks.

Steve Donaghy, Chief Executive Officer, Universal Insurance Holdings: I’d like to thank our associates, consumers, our agency force, and stakeholders for their continued support of Universal. And wish you all a nice weekend. Cheers.

Conference Operator: This concludes today’s conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.