Orion Group Holdings Full Year 2025 Earnings Call - $23B Pipeline, McAmis Buy and Derrick Barge Set Stage for 2026 Growth
Summary
Orion closed 2025 with clear progress on operations and balance sheet repair. Revenue rose to $852 million, Adjusted EBITDA was $45 million, Adjusted EPS $0.25, operating cash flow $28 million and free cash flow $14 million. Management issued 2026 guidance calling for revenue of $900 million to $950 million, Adjusted EBITDA of $54 million to $58 million, and Adjusted EPS of $0.36 to $0.42, while keeping capex roughly flat at $25 million to $35 million.
The strategic message was unmistakable. Orion tightened liquidity with a new $120 million, 5-year UMB credit facility, bought a Jones Act derrick barge now being refurbished, and closed the J.E. McAmis acquisition to beef up marine capability and margins. Backlog underperformed on timing, not demand, with bookings of $763 million in 2025 (0.9x book-to-bill), while management points to a $23 billion pipeline, a near-term slate of $100 million plus bids, and 46 active data center projects as the engine for 2026 and beyond. Risks remain around award timing, public-sector delays and geopolitical uncertainty, but the company says it is positioned to capture the next wave of larger marine and mission-critical work.
Key Takeaways
- 2025 results improved: revenue $852 million, Adjusted EBITDA $45 million, Adjusted EPS $0.25, operating cash flow $28 million, free cash flow $14 million.
- 2026 guidance: revenue $900M-$950M, Adjusted EBITDA $54M-$58M, Adjusted EPS $0.36-$0.42, capex $25M-$35M.
- Booked $763 million of new contracts and change orders in 2025, a 0.9x book-to-bill, with management framing the shortfall as timing rather than demand loss.
- Company reports a $23 billion total pipeline that management says supports future backlog recovery; the marine opportunity pipeline grew to over $19.4 billion as of Dec 31, not including McAmis.
- Acquisition of J.E. McAmis closed in February, adding deep jetty and breakwater expertise, a $1.4 billion pipeline contribution, a stronger Pacific footprint and higher-margin marine work.
- Purchased a Jones Act derrick barge in December, now under refurbishment and expected to be deployed later in 2026 to expand execution capacity.
- Closed a new 5-year, $120 million senior credit facility with UMB Bank, reducing borrowing costs to SOFR+2.5%-3%, and including a $60M revolver, $20M equipment term loan, $40M M&A term loan and $25M accordion.
- Balance sheet: prior to the McAmis funding the year-end net debt was about $6 million; subsequent senior borrowings increased by $47 million to finance the acquisition.
- Marine segment: 2025 revenue $545M, Adjusted EBITDA doubled to $56M, translating to a reported Adjusted EBITDA margin of 10% and a marine contribution margin of 15%.
- Concrete segment: 2025 revenue $307M (+12%), reported an $11M Adjusted EBITDA loss largely due to corporate allocations and absent 2024 closeout benefits; concrete contribution margin excl corporate about 4.5%.
- Data center franchise is a bright spot: 46 projects completed or in progress, data center exposure represents roughly 40% of concrete work and management expects this to increase as they add site civil and earthwork capabilities.
- Reporting change: starting Q1 2026 Orion will present corporate expenses as a separate non-operating segment to increase transparency and stop allocating corporate costs to marine and concrete.
- Management sees multiple near-term large awards and more than a dozen realistic $100M plus opportunities in the pipeline; company target is book-to-bill above 1 to rebuild backlog.
- Key near-term risks remain timing of public-sector awards, tariff-related private-sector delays earlier in 2025, and geopolitical uncertainty that could both accelerate defense spend or disrupt timelines.
Full Transcript
Operator: Good morning, welcome to the Orion Group Holdings Full Year 2025 Financial Results conference call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing the Star key followed by 0 on your telephone keypad. After today’s presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press Star, then 1 on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press Star and then 2. Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Margaret Boyce, Investor Relations for Orion. Please go ahead.
Margaret Boyce, Investor Relations, Orion Group Holdings: Thank you, operator, thank you all for joining us today to discuss Orion Group Holdings Full Year 2025 financial results. We issued our earnings release after the market last night. It is available in the investor relations section of our website at oriongroupholdingsinc.com. I’m here today with Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer of Orion, and Alison Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer. On today’s call, management will provide prepared remarks, then we will open up the call for your questions. Before we begin, I’d like to remind you that today’s comments will include forward-looking statements under the federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements are identified by words such as will, be, intend, believe, expect, anticipate, or other comparable words and phrases. Statements that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements. Our actual financial condition and results of operations may vary materially from those contemplated by such forward-looking statements.
Discussion of the factors that could cause our results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements are contained in our SEC filings, including our reports on Form 10-Q and 10-K. I’ll turn the call over to Travis. Travis, please go ahead.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Thank you, Margaret. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today to discuss our 2025 results and 2026 guidance. Before we begin, I want to acknowledge the ongoing conflict involving Iran and the Middle East. We extend our sincere appreciation to the men and women bravely serving our country. We recognize the situation remains very fluid, and we are actively monitoring developments and evaluating any potential impacts on our business and markets. On to my prepared remarks. 2025 was a year of strong operational execution and meaningful advancement of Orion’s long-term strategic priorities. We drove both top and bottom-line growth and generated good free cash flow. Across the organization, our team delivered with predictable excellence, executing projects safely and profitably, strengthening our balance sheet, and taking important strategic steps that position our company for continued growth ahead.
Over the past several years, we have been very clear about what we set out to do: improve execution, strengthen margins, professionalize the organization, and build a platform capable of capturing the significant opportunities across mission-critical marine infrastructure, defense, and concrete construction. In 2025, we translated that strategy into results. Importantly, we took decisive strategic actions that advanced our long-term growth plan. In December, we closed a new $120 million senior credit facility that improves our liquidity, lowers our cost of capital, and provides flexibility to support both organic growth and accretive acquisitions. We also purchased a derrick barge in December to further increase capacity and execution flexibility. As many of you are aware, we’ve been on the hunt for a large Jones Act derrick barge that will enable our team to pursue a broader range of marine and defense-related work.
The barge is currently undergoing some refurbishments, and we expect to deploy it into our operations later this year. Last month, we completed the acquisition of J. E. McAmis. The transaction greatly enhances our marine platform, particularly in complex jetty and breakwater construction, where McAmis has deep, proven expertise. Their strong Pacific footprint, experienced workforce, and high-quality equipment fleet expand our ability to execute large, technically demanding projects. Integration is well underway, and we’re very encouraged by the strong cultural alignment and the collaboration we’re seeing across the combined organization and contracts awarded to McAmis over the last several weeks. In 2025, we consolidated our Houston footprint into our new headquarters office, implemented a modern project management platform, favorably settled multiple litigation matters, and monetized non-strategic real estate.
Collectively, these deliberate actions improve our readiness for the next wave of large-scale, mission-critical marine and concrete infrastructure opportunities and reflect tangible progress for our strategic plan. While most aspects of our performance met or exceeded expectations in 2025, backlog was the one area where results were not as we anticipated, even though our win rate in 2025 improved over 2024. For the year, we booked just over $763 million in new contracts and change orders across the company, which represented a 0.9 times book-to-bill. Customer decisions moved to the right primarily due to tariff-related uncertainty in the private sector at the beginning of the year, followed by the prolonged U.S. government shutdown later in the year, which delayed public sector bidding and awards.
Importantly, we believe this is only a timing issue with the work simply moving to the right as opposed to going away. We remain confident in our strong demand outlook, which is supported by the tailwinds we’re experiencing across our markets. Recent developments in the Middle East may accelerate government action to approve additional defense funding. We remain bullish on our backlog trajectory and long-term growth outlook with a vibrant growing pipeline that is currently at $23 billion, which includes the J.E. McAmis pipeline of $1.4 billion. Our marine opportunity pipeline increased $3 billion, or 21% sequentially, to over $19.4 billion as of December 31st. This does not include the J.E. McAmis acquisition, which we closed on in February.
This growth reflects building demand and urgency across both public and private sector clients. We’re pleased with the 2026 funding for the Department of War Pacific Operations. Across our operating regions, we have a healthy volume of opportunities expected to be awarded throughout the year for clients spanning the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Coast Guard, regional port authorities, state departments of transportation, and private energy and chemical clients. Moving on to concrete, where our opportunity pipeline grew to over $2.4 billion at the end of 2025. Over the last several years, our team has built a strong and expanding position in data centers and the mission-critical construction market. The team produced good bookings throughout 2025, increasing year-over-year backlog by 10%, with recent awards spanning data centers and other commercial structures.
Our expansion into Florida and Arizona is paying dividends, fueled by a growing project pipeline and solid execution. I’d like to drill down into our data center work, a real highlight in our concrete business that is improving literally by the day. I spent a good amount of time with the team last week, let me tell you, they are killing it. Today, our data center count stands at 46 projects, either completed or in progress across Texas, Iowa, and Arizona. We’re seeing a shift toward larger campus-style developments for which execution and schedule certainty reign supreme. Our team has earned an outstanding reputation as a reliable delivery partner on mission-critical programs. In addition to construction of the buildings and foundations, we are increasingly engaging with key clients earlier to address constructability concerns and to implement targeted design improvements.
To support these strategies, we’ve recently expanded into site civil and earthwork to strengthen execution certainty for our clients and also to broaden Orion’s scope of services. We expect to see data centers contribute even more significantly to our concrete business this year, with some large opportunities developing in our markets. In closing, as I reflect on the year, I’m excited about the deliberate execution of our strategic priorities, buoyed by building momentum in our key end markets. With a $23 billion pipeline, inclusive of J.E. McAmis, a healthy balance sheet, and the best client-centered execution team in the business, we have an excellent runway for 2026 and beyond. I’ll turn the call over to Alison to talk through our financial results and our 2026 guidance. Alison.
Alison Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Thanks, Travis. We were pleased with the financial and operational progress we delivered this year, reflecting disciplined execution across the organization and continued focus on profitable growth, cash generation, and balance sheet health. For the full year 2025, revenue increased to $852 million, operating income to $15 million, Adjusted EBITDA to $45 million, and Adjusted EPS to $0.25 per share. I am also very pleased to report that we generated full-year operating cash flow of $28 million and free cash flow of $14 million. Across all metrics, these results were a notable improvement over last year. From a segment perspective, in 2025, Marine delivered $545 million of revenue, a 4.5% annual growth, and more than doubled its Adjusted EBITDA to $56 million for the year.
This represents a 10% Adjusted EBITDA margin compared to about 5% in 2024. The improvement in Adjusted EBITDA was driven by favorable revenue mix, excellent execution, favorable equipment utilization, and positive project closeouts. For reference, Marine’s contribution Adjusted EBITDA margin for the year was 15%. In 2025, concrete revenues increased 12% annually to $307 million, and concrete reported an $11 million loss in Adjusted EBITDA. The reported Adjusted EBITDA loss is primarily attributable to the impact of corporate allocations in 2025 and favorable project closeout benefits in 2024 that did not reoccur in this year. Concrete’s contribution Adjusted EBITDA margin for the year, excluding corporate, was 4.5%. To provide increased transparency on segment operating margins, we plan to update our reportable segments beginning in the first quarter of 2026.
Specifically, we plan to break out corporate expenses separately as a non-operating segment and will no longer allocate those costs to marine and concrete for external reporting purposes. This change is intended to increase transparency of our operating segments results. Moving on to the balance sheet. As many of you are well aware, late in the fourth quarter, we entered into a 5-year, $120 million credit agreement with UMB Bank. This facility meaningfully improves our liquidity, reduces borrowing costs, extends maturity by 2 years, and positions the balance sheet to fund future investment. It includes a $60 million revolving line of credit, a $20 million equipment term loan facility, and a $40 million M&A term loan. It also includes an additional $25 million uncommitted accordion to fund future growth.
The UMB facility refinanced and replaced our previous $88 million credit agreement, which was scheduled to mature in May of 2028. Borrowings under the UMB credit facility bear interest at a rate of SOFR plus 2.5%-3%, a 40% reduction in our borrowing costs compared to the prior credit agreement. A big shout out to our treasury and legal teams for getting this across the line. In connection with this refinancing, we paid off our $23 million term loan and ended the year with net debt of just about $6 million. I would like to point out that subsequent to year-end in February, we increased our senior borrowings by $47 million to fund the McAmis acquisition. I’ll wrap up with our guidance update for 2026.
We’re very pleased to provide our full year 2026 guidance as follows: revenue in the range of $900 million-$950 million, a 9% increase from 2025 at the midpoint. Adjusted EBITDA in the range of $54 million-$58 million, a 24% increase from 2025 at the midpoint. Adjusted EPS in the range of $0.36-$0.42, a 56% increase from 2025 at the midpoint. Capital expenditures in the range of $25 million-$35 million, consistent with last year. That’s it for me. Back to you, Travis.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Thank you, Alison. We’re very proud of what we accomplished in 2025, we view this year as a bridge, not a destination. Over the past 12 months, our operations team executed projects safely while growing revenues and Adjusted EBITDA. Meanwhile, our corporate team sold the East West Jones property, restructured our d-credit facility, purchased the derrick barge, and acquired J. E. McAmis. None of this progress would have been possible without the hard work, dedication, and commitment of our people. I want to thank them for their outstanding efforts. With a strong operating platform, expanded capabilities, and favorable market tailwinds, we’re excited about the opportunities ahead and believe Orion is well-positioned as we look to capture more work and continue to execute for our employees, clients, and shareholders in 2026 and beyond. We’d now like to open up the call for your questions.
Operator: Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If at any time your question has been addressed and you would like to withdraw your question, please press star and then two. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. The first question will come from Tomohiko Sano with JP Morgan. Please go ahead.
Tomohiko Sano, Analyst, JP Morgan: Hi. Good morning, everyone.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Morning, Tomo.
Alison Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Morning, Tomo.
Tomohiko Sano, Analyst, JP Morgan: Thank you. In Q4, you talk about some of the delay, of the revenue recognitions for awarded projects. Could you talk about the impact your reported sales and margin in Q4? Could you specify which segments or projects experiences that delays and quantify the revenue and margins impact in 2026, please? Thank you.
Alison Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Sure, Tomo. I’ll start, Travis, if you wanna add in. From a 2024 perspective or from a Q4 perspective, the fourth quarter came in generally in line with what we expected. We didn’t see a lot of softness in the quarter, come in generally kind of in line with what we were targeting and in line with the guidance that we had set out for the full year. I’ll say that things do typically, in construction, they will move around a bit in terms of just timing and cadence. You probably saw some of that in terms of just margin profiles for the individual segments. From an overall perspective, things came in in line, including from a corporate perspective. Does that answer your question, Tomo?
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: There were a few, there were some opportunities that slid out in Q4 that we were pursuing. That’s on the more on the kind of.
Alison Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Pipeline.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Pipeline side of things.
Tomohiko Sano, Analyst, JP Morgan: Yeah. Thank you. Could I double-click on your commentary about the margins, Alison’s? If you could talk about the 2026 outlook by segment in terms of the margins expansions from 2025 to 2026.
Alison Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Sure, I’d be happy to. We are continuing to expect that we will have modest margin expansion across the business, both from the favorable impacts of blending J.E. McAmis into the marine business. As you probably well recall, J.E. McAmis operates at a meaningfully higher margin than the rest of Orion. We are expecting to see some favorable blend associated with that acquisition and the incorporation of their results. From a concrete perspective, we do expect that concrete will deliver margins in the mid-single digits. For the year in 2025, concrete delivered margins of right around 4.5%.
We do expect to nudge that up in 2026, just as a function of some favorable demand signals that we’re seeing in terms of the work that we’re bidding on, the work that we are winning and bringing into backlog, as well as just continued growth and scale, which benefits our concrete business pretty meaningfully.
Tomohiko Sano, Analyst, JP Morgan: Thank you. If I may squeeze one more on a data center. Travis, you talk about data centers. Could you quantify the impact in 2026 in terms of the revenue, compositions as well as some competitive advantages in data center projects, for Orion, please?
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: I’m not sure if I’m ready to point to the fence yet on where we’re gonna land with data centers. As Alison just mentioned, we’re seeing a large amount of opportunities that are lining up well with. We did start as I mentioned, we’ve started doing site civil work on some of these data centers, which has been very well received, and we’re doing well with that work. So I think that’ll expand and continue. I think we’re gonna, we’re gonna keep seeing just a large amount of data center work happening. I mean, right now it’s, you know, 40% of our concrete business is data centers. I expect that to probably go up a little in the next year.
Tomohiko Sano, Analyst, JP Morgan: Thank you. I appreciate it.
Operator: The next question will come from Aaron Spahala with Craig-Hallum. Please go ahead.
Aaron Spahala, Analyst, Craig-Hallum: Yeah. Good morning, Travis and Alison. Thanks for taking the questions.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Morning, Aaron.
Aaron Spahala, Analyst, Craig-Hallum: Morning. you know, maybe first for me, just on the pipeline, you know, can you talk a little bit more about that? Sounds like, you know, the expansion, pretty broad-based, you know. Any thoughts on kinda timeline, you know, conversion to orders? I know you’ve had a slide that kinda has laid out, you know, timing potential there. Then just, you know, maybe talk about the kinda market and margins you’re seeing, you know, quotes and kinda backlog-wise.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Yeah. The pipeline is has expanded. Some of that’s been because things have slid, right? It’s kinda, it’s building, but there’s also some things sliding, which makes it look like it’s getting even more big. It’s, it’s We’ve got quite a few near-term opportunities is in 2026 that are, you know, $100 million-plus projects. More, let’s say more than a dozen of very real opportunities that are, you know, over $100 million in size, which are, you know, gives us a lot of confidence even though our backlog is down. We’re, we’re one job away. One project win away from the backlog being in good shape. We’re, we’re not worried. We’re, we’re bidding projects in the real near term here that we feel good about.
We’re not. I know maybe some concern about backlog, but in our minds we’re nowhere near getting worried. We’re in good shape. We have all the opportunities in front of us and, you know, like I said, we’re one win away from being just fine on the backlog for our marine business. Our concrete business backlog, our pipeline is growing and looking really strong. As you may recall, our concrete pipeline, excuse me, it’s typically fairly small because there’s a lot of book and burn, and it’s private sector opportunities which are not super visible, you know, long in advance.
We’re excited to see the concrete pipeline creeping up as well as the marine pipeline continuing to expand. We added in J.E. McAmis. That makes it even gives us even more opportunities to pursue.
Aaron Spahala, Analyst, Craig-Hallum: you know, outside of McAmis or on margins kinda, you know, as you’re going to bid projects, is that still? You know, how’s that looking?
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: On the McAmis side of things. Nothing has changed as far as the, you know, margins, bid margins and things like that. They’re gonna continue pursuing projects as they have.
Alison Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer, Orion Group Holdings: On the rest of the business?
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: In the rest of the business, things are looking good. No, we’re not seeing any, like, downturns or anything like that. I would say more the opposite in several of our markets.
Aaron Spahala, Analyst, Craig-Hallum: Good. Good. Then, you know, maybe second, you know, on the data center side of things, you kinda talked about an expansion, you know, site and civil and earthwork. Any thoughts, high level, what that means for, you know, maybe average project size or, you know, how quickly these projects can continue to turn with that dynamic?
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Probably not gonna give too much information just for competitive reasons, but I think it’s, you know, it depends on where the, where the data center is and how much infrastructure and dirt work and things like that need to be put in before the concrete and foundations happen. There’s, there can be fairly significant amounts of work that goes into that. It gives us, you know, something else to sell to our sell to our customers. As many of them are kind of shifting to campus, bigger campuses, sometimes those get to be much larger, right? They still do these data centers, and we’ve talked about this before, but they’re, they don’t...
Even though it may be a really large data center, they kind of go a little piece at a time. It’s literally, you know, here’s one little piece and another little piece and another little piece, and then you look back, you know, six months later and it’s up. You’ve done a ton of work over a period of time. It’s these things turn in from, you know, from $500,000 task quarter, and next thing you know, you’ve done $50 million worth of work. A little out of time, well, a little out of time, but very quick.
Alison Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Yeah. I think the other important thing there is, as our team, because our team has such a high level of credibility in this really critical aspect on the critical path of these projects in terms of just the buildings, the structure, the infrastructure, to support all the really important internal things. But because our team has such credibility in that area, we are being engaged earlier in terms of, just as Travis mentioned in the call, some of the constructability, some of the concerns, some of the things that we have seen over the, you know, now 46 and counting data centers, on campuses that we’ve worked on, and incorporating those lessons for our clients.
Our clients are seeing that as a really valuable level of expertise that we bring to the table, which means that ultimately, you know, we do become a trusted partner in this aspect of the building and the construction. It’s pretty exciting time. I mean, really, my hats off to that team, who’s built a very strong relationships with a number of key players.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: That sounds great. Thanks for taking the questions. I’ll turn it over.
Alison Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Thanks, Aaron.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Thanks, Aaron.
Operator: Again, if you have a question, please press star and then 1. The next question will come from Jerry Sweeney with Roth Capital. Please go ahead.
Jerry Sweeney, Analyst, Roth Capital: Good morning, Travis and Alison. Thanks for taking my call.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Morning, Jerry.
Alison Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Hi, Jerry.
Jerry Sweeney, Analyst, Roth Capital: Just a couple of follow-up questions, maybe, but just looking at the marine side, obviously, pipeline is going. It says some of the projects, you know, pushed to the right per se. Are you hearing anything or do you have any anecdotal commentary on maybe when some of these projects may come to fruition? Obviously, they’re quite large, complicated. We’ve had a government shutdown, and then we have, you know, escalating conflict in the Middle East. All that said and done, just curious as to maybe some of the anecdotal items that you’re hearing on those opportunities.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: I mean, we’re bidding one of them. We’re bidding a nice project this week. There are things moving forward now. I guess it’s there’s not like a theme, if you will, of the different reasons that they’ve moved. Some of them move for different things, but they are just shifting to the right. It’s not a never-ending shift to the right. They are actually coming to roost at some point, like the one I just mentioned that was originally supposed to be last year, and we’re finally bidding it this week. There are, you know, projects that are coming through.
We’re bidding, quite a few jobs in the next 6 months, pretty nice ones, along with the normal kind of run-of-the-mill projects that we always, go after. I don’t know if I answered your question, but.
Alison Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Yeah.
Jerry Sweeney, Analyst, Roth Capital: No, it’s helpful.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Yeah. Sorry. Go ahead.
Alison Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer, Orion Group Holdings: I just add, Jerry, that as we look at the pipeline, the pipeline does continue to be very robust. We continue to have, you know, what our good line of sight into 8 and a half billion of opportunities that we expect to be awarded in 2026. That’s pretty normal. We have seen, you know, some clients really engage in a more meaningful way, which to us signals that some decisions are likely going to be made in the near term.
As we think about the pipeline, it stacks up to be probably about a 40/60 split in terms of what’s gonna how for the 2026, what we have visibility into of what will be awarded in the first half versus the second half, which is pretty normal, just given in the federal government, there’s usually a spike in the third quarter. Yes, there are a good number of opportunities that we have both that we are working on bidding on, and then a lot of times we will talk about the number of opportunities that we have provided all information on that we are just awaiting award from the client. That number continues to sit at right around $1 billion.
To us, that’s a little bit higher than normative, but it’s been consistently, you know, at that billion-dollar mark throughout 2025 and continues to be around $1 billion now. That might just be the new norm in terms of, you know, when Travis talks about holding the pipeline a little longer, we do continue to see that number just stay right around $1 billion. We are seeing some awards, some clients like moving and being more active.
Jerry Sweeney, Analyst, Roth Capital: Got you. At some point, that billion kind of breaks loose, which is positive, obviously, right?
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: That’s right.
Jerry Sweeney, Analyst, Roth Capital: Yeah. Okay. That’s it for me. I appreciate it. Thanks.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Thanks, Jerry.
Operator: The next question will come from Alex Reagle with Texas Capital. Please go ahead.
Alex Reagle, Analyst, Texas Capital: Thank you, Travis and Alison. Travis, your historical win rate on bids, sort of is in that mid-teens range.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: That’s right.
Alex Reagle, Analyst, Texas Capital: Is there any reason to believe that historical win rate will be any different going forward?
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: We saw that win rate, kind of between from 24-25, it ticked up. Even though our, you know, even though our backlog was down, our win rate was up. It tells you that things were sliding. But we, so we have seen it head in the right direction, just a little bit, you know, 1% or 2%. I don’t expect it to change much. I mean, it might continue to go up a little, but I don’t, I don’t expect it to be, you know, any large jump up or down on the win rate. We kinda like to be in that, let’s say, 15%-20% win rate, sort of range.
That’s where we are and feel pretty good about where we are. Then, as it relates to your Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $54 million-$58 million, can you bridge that delta from the $45 million you just reported and help us to understand sort of what’s organic versus inorganic and as it relates to sort of the organic, kind of how that’s broken out by segment?
Alison Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Sure. I’ll give some high-level commentary. I would say that we are always gearing the business towards what we view as good organic growth. That is like first and foremost really what we are doing to position the company, is to invest in organic growth. Organic growth in 2026 is good. I would say, you know, it’s probably just in terms of stepping back, I’d say it’s in the, you know, kind of upper single to low double-digit growth rate from an organic perspective, just because of some of the opportunities that we see moving a bit to the right, specifically in the marine business. I do think that concrete will grow very favorably in 2026. We have signals that that is happening and that is real.
For marine, those opportunities, they just take time to get through the pipeline, to get through all of the machine associated with bringing those opportunities to market by our client and then ultimately getting those things awarded. Some of those things that we expected we would see in 2026 have moved a bit to the right. That being said, we do expect that our marine business will continue to grow in 2026. Will it be at the dynamic growth rates that we are anticipating with some of the many things that are coming to market in 2026 and 2027? Probably you’ll see that, I would expect, over the midterm. That is not today built into our 2026 guidance.
What I will say is, I’ll say that, also from a McAmis perspective, that we have good line of sight into what we expect McAmis will deliver, which is right in line with, you know, kind of what we set out in the call back in February. They, you know, come with, you know, a very, a very highly qualified, very reputable, very, credible, group of people. It’s a phenomenal team. It’s a phenomenal leadership, organization there. We’re very excited about bringing them into the portfolio. We’re also very excited about some of the projects that they have won, just recently. They continue to perform. They continue to perform well.
We’ll look forward to, you know, just bringing them into more of our opportunities and our projects to make our pursuit teams even stronger as we look ahead.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Very helpful. The outlook for backlog near term, I kind of get a sense here that it’s probably flattish to maybe trending a little bit down in the first quarter and the second quarter, but you expect a strong rebound in the third and fourth quarter. Is that a fair conclusion to come to?
Alison Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer, Orion Group Holdings: It’s hard to tell, like, just from a backlog perspective. Like, we are working. We are gearing the organization around a, really a book-to-bill that is greater than one. I mean, that is our objective. Our objective is to always be booking more backlogs than we are burning. Like, with that in mind, I mean, it’s hard, you know, from a quarter-over-quarter perspective to predict what backlog is. It does kind of move around, just based on, you know, how we burn, like how, you know, operational cadence of the project and then, like, what gets awarded within a quarter. From a full year perspective, we do expect that, you know, to meaningfully, you know, deliver good bookings, which ultimately will serve to elevate our backlog balances.
I’ll also say that, you know, from a concrete perspective and really from a dredging perspective as well, like, those two businesses have a very quick book to burn. They may have phenomenal years, but you may not see a lot of that manifested in the backlog at quarter ends or year ends just because of the amount of book and burn projects that they get awarded. Are we targeting elevated backlogs through the year? Yes, that is absolutely a goal. We’ll track that really through kind of the book to bill and kind of how the organization is delivering on that.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Thank you.
Alison Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Thank you.
Operator: The next question will come from Liam Burke with B. Riley Securities. Please go ahead.
Liam Burke, Analyst, B. Riley Securities: Thank you. Good morning, Travis. Good morning, Alison.
Alison Vasquez, Chief Financial Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Good morning.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Morning.
Liam Burke, Analyst, B. Riley Securities: Travis, you talked about closing on the derrick in late 2025. It’s a fairly significant commitment, capital commitment. How quickly do you anticipate that investment turning into some sort of measurable return?
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: We’ll get it, as I, as I mentioned, we’ve got it, some work being done on it for the next, I don’t know, 6-8 months. Once it’s kind of in the condition and ready to go, we’ll get it busy and get it operational, or get it working somewhere in our business. As far as, you know, payback on it, we, I think we got a pretty good price on it, so I don’t think it’s gonna be a long time to get kind of return on the investment.
Liam Burke, Analyst, B. Riley Securities: Great. Thank you. On the M&A front, the McAmis was opportunistic. Obviously you don’t have a pipeline of opportunistic acquisitions, what does the acquisition pipeline look like for you?
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: It’s a pretty active market out there at the moment. Lots of different things happening in the. I don’t know. It seems like it’s across the board. It seems like acquisitions are have really gotten pretty strong across all sectors. I’m seeing it kind of all over the place. Lots of different acquisitions and activity happening. I mean, we saw, you know, we saw Great Lakes just recently get acquired and go private and just lots of things happening out there that will give us potentially give us opportunities to do more in the next year or so.
Liam Burke, Analyst, B. Riley Securities: Thank you, Travis.
Operator: This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Travis Boone for any closing remarks.
Travis Boone, Chief Executive Officer, Orion Group Holdings: Thank you all for joining us today. We look forward to talking to you again soon.
Operator: The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today’s presentation. You may now disconnect.