null Natural Resources Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Call - Antero Bolt-On Scales Ohio Utica, 2026 Production to Rise ~70% on Two Rig Program
Summary
null Natural Resources used 2025 to scale aggressively, completing a $1.2 billion bolt-on of Antero Utica assets, expanding midstream ownership, and raising $350 million via perpetual convertible preferred stock. The company is shifting from IPO promises to execution, exiting 2025 with stronger production, lower unit costs, and a balance sheet that gives it optionality to develop oil and gas windows across Ohio and Pennsylvania.
Management guided to an active 2026: a two-rig operated program, 31 gross wells to be turned to sales, production of 345 to 375 MMcfe per day (about 70% growth year over year), and development CapEx of $450 million to $500 million. The plan leans into the newly acquired Ohio Utica inventory, preserves flexibility for more oil exposure if prices persist, and prioritizes de-risking through selective hedges and midstream integration.
Key Takeaways
- Acquisition and scale: Closed $1.2 billion acquisition of Ohio Utica assets from Antero Resources and Antero Midstream on Feb 23, adding adjacent inventory and increasing midstream ownership.
- Increased working interest: Used equity to raise participation, increasing working interest in the Antero-acquired position to 60%.
- New capital raise: Issued $350 million of perpetual convertible preferred stock to two energy investors, convertible at $21.36 per share, providing permanent equity and reducing revolver borrowings.
- 2026 production guidance: Company expects net production of 345 to 375 MMcfe per day for 2026, implying approximately 70% year-over-year growth.
- Rigs and wells: Plans to operate two drilling rigs through 2026, turning to sales 31 gross wells during the year, with one rig dedicated to the acquired Ohio Utica assets beginning early Q2.
- CapEx outlook: Development capital expenditures guidance for 2026 of $450 million to $500 million, higher than prior annual run rates due to increased working interest, midstream buildout, and incremental pad activity.
- Q4 and FY25 financials: Q4 adjusted EBITDAX of $94.0 million, full year adjusted EBITDA of $261 million, and realized prices in Q4 of $51.22 per barrel oil, $3.14 per Mcf gas, and $23.56 per barrel NGLs.
- Cost structure: Operating costs averaged $5.56 per Boe in Q4, with LOE down approximately 36% year-over-year; management says they maintain one of the lowest operating cost structures in Appalachia.
- Midstream scale and economics: Acquisition more than doubled midstream footprint, current system capacity ~1.2 BCF per day, expected to lower blended gathering and processing costs as Ohio and PA volumes grow.
- Inventory and development flexibility: Over 390 locations across portfolio, more than 10 years of inventory on a 2-rig program, enables shifting capital between oil-weighted Utica and dry gas Marcellus depending on price signals.
- Lateral and cycle metrics: Average lateral feet of wells turned in 2025 exceeded 15,700 feet, targeting 6 to 7 month cycle times from spud to turn-in, management claims among the fastest in the industry.
- Antero pad details: First pad from acquired position expected online in Q2; English pad consists of three wells totaling 19,000 lateral feet with completions borne by null.
- Deep Utica optionality: Company has regulatory spud activity for a deep dry gas Utica well, positioned to drill later in 2026, but does not expect production from it until the following year.
- Hedging strategy: Management has locked in oil hedges for 2026 and 2027 using swaps and collars to de-risk returns, and will layer hedges when completion crews arrive.
- Balance sheet and liquidity: Year-end net debt approximately $148 million, total liquidity about $227 million after the preferred raise and transaction activity.
- Shareholder returns: Opportunistic buybacks continued, repurchasing ~87,000 shares in Q4 for $1.2 million, while prioritizing capital for development and strategic transactions
Full Transcript
Regina, Conference Operator: Hello, and thank you for standing by. My name is Regina, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the null Natural Resources Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker’s remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star then the number one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, press star one again. I would now like to turn the conference over to Tom Marchetti, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Tom Marchetti, Vice President of Investor Relations, null Natural Resources: Thank you, operator. Good morning, and thank you for joining null Natural Resources fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings conference call. Speaking today are Zack Arnold, our President and Chief Executive Officer, and Dave Sproule, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. In a moment, Zack and Dave will present their prepared remarks with a question and answer session to follow. An updated investor presentation has been posted to the investor relations section of our website, and we may reference certain slides during today’s discussion. A replay of today’s call will be available on our website beginning this evening. Before we begin, I would like to remind everybody that today’s call may contain certain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied. All statements that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements.
Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control, that could cause actual results to differ materially from those forward-looking statements. Please review our earnings release and the risk factors discussed in our SEC filings. We will also be referring to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to our earnings release and investor presentation for important disclosures regarding such measures, including definitions and reconciliations to the most comparable GAAP financial measures. With that, I will turn the call over to Zack.
Zack Arnold, President and Chief Executive Officer, null Natural Resources: Thank you, Tom, and good morning, everyone. Before I begin, I’d like to formally welcome Tom Marchetti to our team. Tom will lead our investor relations function and is a great addition to the team. We appreciate everyone joining us today to review null Natural Resources’ fourth quarter and full year 2025 results and to discuss our outlook for 2026. Overall, 2025 was another transformational year for null . Importantly, we did what we said we’d do during the IPO process. We continue to add scale. We’ve significantly increased production. We’ve grown our operating cash flow. We’ve expanded our asset base through acquisitions. We’ve accessed the capital markets. We’ve entered into strategic partnerships, and we’ve preserved our operational and financial flexibility. We’ve been busy.
Most importantly, our Appalachian platform continues to deliver strong operational and financial execution across both our extensive Utica position in Ohio and Marcellus position in Pennsylvania. Our results during the fourth quarter and year overall are underpinned by our strong well performance across our asset base as well as the disciplined execution of our development program. Our teams remain focused on improving drilling and completion efficiencies, extending lateral lengths, and maintaining capital discipline as we developed our high-quality asset base. Before reviewing our operational activity for the quarter, it is worth highlighting the strength and flexibility of our development portfolio across Appalachia. We have over 390 locations across our portfolio, representing more than 10 years of inventory when developed on a 2-rig program. Our returns in oil and liquids weighted projects are strong, especially true in today’s oil environment, and our gas returns are strong as well.
Balance. Functionality. It is how we build our business in order to maximize value for our shareholders. Well costs are consistent across our position, whether in our Ohio Utica development or our dry gas Marcellus wells, which allows us to allocate capital efficiently across our development opportunities depending on commodity conditions. In addition, much of our drilling and completion design is standardized across our development program, utilizing common equipment and consumables packages that allow us to efficiently shift activity between Ohio and Pennsylvania. Combined with our extensive drilling inventory across these development areas, this portfolio provides significant operational, commodity, and financial flexibility as we allocate capital across our assets. As a result, our development program can be adjusted to prioritize the highest return opportunities while maintaining disciplined growth. During the fourth quarter, we continued to operate one drilling rig across our base asset.
We added a second rig in January, bringing our total operated rig count to two, advancing development across our diversified portfolio. During the fourth quarter, net production averaged 45.3 MBOE per day, bringing full year production to 35.3 MBOE per day, exceeding the high end of our guidance range for fiscal year 2025. When compared to 2024, the company was able to deliver year-over-year growth of approximately 46%. During the fourth quarter, we spudded 9 wells totaling approximately 142,000 lateral feet while finishing completions activities and turning into sales 6 wells totaling 103,000 lateral feet evenly split between Ohio oil weighted projects and Pennsylvania dry gas projects.
For the full year, we turned 23 wells into sales, including 12 wells in Pennsylvania and 11 wells in Ohio, reflecting our balanced development approach across our asset base. Our development program continues to emphasize extended lateral development and operational efficiencies that support strong capital returns across both our Utica and Marcellus positions. For calendar year 2025, our average well turned into sales exceeded 15,700 lateral feet. While longer laterals help to reduce our per-foot drilling costs, it’s not just about drilling longer laterals. It’s also about cycle times, keeping those wells online, and having them track our anticipated well performance. We continue to target 6-7-month cycle times on our development projects, ranging from 3-5 wells, which we believe is one of the fastest cycle times in the industry.
With regards to well performance, we placed a lot of wells online in the second half of 2025, and we are pleased with the performance of those wells to date, and they continue to track in line with our type curve expectations across both development areas. Looking forward, we intend to operate 2 rigs throughout calendar year 2026. While the world is ever-changing these days, especially with commodities, we anticipate allocating slightly more capital towards natural gas-weighted development based on wells turned into sales during the year. Approximately 30% of our projected wells turned into sales will be on the assets we recently acquired, developing our rich gas locations in the Utica Shale of Eastern Ohio. Turning to our recent acquisitions, on February 23, we closed the previously announced $1.2 billion acquisition of Ohio Utica assets from Antero Resources and Antero Midstream.
This transaction is a highly complementary bolt-on to our existing position in Ohio, adding extensive inventory across multiple phase windows directly adjacent to our legacy acreage, further supporting our long lateral development strategy. Just as importantly, the transactions included ownership in the associated midstream system, which provides us with attractive midstream costs and further reduces well break-evens across the acquired assets. We intend to devote a rig to the development of these assets during the year, beginning early in the second quarter, and we expect our first pad from the acquired position to come online during the second quarter. As we begin developing this inventory, we expect to increase production from these assets meaningfully in the coming months and years. Not to be forgotten with all of our activities, we also completed the Chase acquisition, which increased our working interest in our dry gas South Bend field in Pennsylvania.
Transactions like this, where we can increase working interest in assets we already operate, are typically among the most attractive investments that we can make using our equity as they increase our exposure to future development and production without requiring incremental corporate overhead for G&A. This acquisition represents another milestone for null as it is the first time post-IPO that we have used our equity to acquire assets. Together, these transactions expand our development inventory, increase our participation in high-quality drilling projects, and strengthen the strategic position of our Appalachian platform through enhanced infrastructure and marketing assets. In conjunction with the Antero transaction, null successfully issued $350 million of perpetual convertible preferred stock to two highly respected energy investors, Quantum Capital Group and Carnelian Energy Capital.
We believe the strong demand from these investors reflects confidence in both the quality of the underlying assets and our long-term development strategy. This hybrid equity structure is consistent with our philosophy of maintaining a strong and flexible balance sheet. We were able to raise significant equity capital above our IPO price while reducing outstanding debt and preserving financial and strategic optionality for the company. Importantly, this capital supported our election to increase our participation in the Ohio Utica acquisition to a 60% working interest, deepening our ownership in an asset we know well and believe strongly in, while maintaining balance sheet discipline as we continue to advance development across our Appalachian platform. Looking more broadly at the market environment, we continue to see strong structural demand for natural gas and associated liquids across North America.
Recent geopolitical developments in the Middle East have strengthened crude prices across the forward curve through 2030, representing another opportunity for us to demonstrate the value and flexibility of our unique asset base. With our development activities in the fourth quarter, we have significant oil-weighted volumes planned for the first half of 2025. We have taken this opportunity in the commodity markets to lock in attractive oil hedges for 2026 and 2027 using a balance of swaps and collars. Additionally, we are evaluating our development plan as to whether we should accelerate any additional oil projects to take advantage of attractive prices. We cannot predict whether this will be a short-term event, but we will continue to monitor the situation to see if elevated oil prices prove to be longer lasting and warrant additional development of our oil inventory.
On a more micro level, and for our Ohio Utica liquids production specifically, we are witnessing increased regional demand dynamics. Condensate and other light hydrocarbons produced from liquids-rich plays, such as the Utica, are used both as refinery feedstock and as diluent for heavier crude oils. As production of heavier barrels from regions such as Canada and Venezuela increases, producers require additional volumes of condensate and other light hydrocarbons to blend those barrels to move them through pipeline systems and into refineries. Given our proximity to regional refining markets and infrastructure, we believe our Ohio Utica liquids production is well positioned to serve this demand. Turning to natural gas, global demand for U.S. LNG continues to expand. With additional liquefaction capacity expected to come online over the next several years, U.S. natural gas supply is increasingly positioned to serve global energy markets.
Domestically, rising electricity demand is expected to drive additional natural gas consumption within the U.S. power sector. Looking ahead, we remain focused on executing a disciplined development program that balances growth with capital efficiency. Our diversified asset base across our Appalachian platform provides flexibility to allocate capital toward the highest return opportunities depending on market conditions. With that, I will turn the call over to David to review our financial results and outlook.
Dave Sproule, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, null Natural Resources: Thank you, Zach, and good morning. Our financial results for the fourth quarter and full year reflect the strong operational execution delivered by our team throughout 2025. During the fourth quarter, net production averaged 45.3 MBOE per day, and we generated adjusted EBITDAX of $94.0 million, representing adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately $3.76 per Mcfe or $22.58 per Boe. During the quarter, we realized average prices of $51.22 per barrel for oil, $3.14 for Mcf for natural gas, and $23.56 per barrel for natural gas liquids, with realized pricing reflecting regional market conditions and differentials across Appalachia, consistent with our expectations during the quarter. For the full year, adjusted EBITDA totaled $261 million, reflecting continued production growth combined with disciplined cost management.
Operating costs during the quarter averaged $5.56 per Boe, reflecting continued operational efficiencies and increasing contribution of natural gas production from Pennsylvania within our overall portfolio. We believe that we maintain one of the lowest operating cost structures in Appalachia, supporting our strong capital efficiency metric. We continue to witness our cost decline approximately 36% during the fourth quarter when compared to the prior year. As we continue to expand our natural gas volumes in Pennsylvania, we would anticipate to experience further decline in our overall cost structure as those volumes are on our wholly owned midstream system.
During the fiscal year 2025, we incurred approximately $326 million in capital expenditures, including drilling and completion CapEx of $274.7 million, land spend of $35.5 million, and midstream and infrastructure investments of approximately $16.1 million. For the full year, development capital expenditures totaled approximately $290.8 million, consistent with our previously communicated development plan. Our capital allocation framework remains focused on maximizing long-term shareholder value. We prioritize funding high return development opportunities across our Utica and Marcellus assets, expanding our development inventory through targeted acquisitions and maintaining a strong and flexible balance sheet. Additionally, during the fourth quarter, we repurchased approximately 87,000 shares of null common stock at an average price of $13.60 per share for a total repurchases of approximately $1.2 million during the quarter.
We remain opportunistic in executing share repurchases while ensuring the capital returns do not impact our ability to execute our development program or pursue strategic opportunities. As Zack mentioned previously, during the fourth quarter, we also completed a $350 million strategic equity investment in the form of a perpetual convertible preferred security, which is convertible into common equity at $21.36 per share. Which is above our IPO price, aligning investors with long-term equity value creation. This hybrid structure provided permanent equity capital that allowed us to repay a portion of the revolver borrowing used to finance the Ohio acquisition, while also supporting the increase in our working interest of the transaction to 60%. Importantly, the structure limits immediate dilution to existing shareholders and preserves balance sheet flexibility relative to incremental debt.
At year-end, we had net debt of approximately $148 million and total liquidity of approximately $227 million. Before turning to our outlook for 2026, it is important to note that our guidance reflects both the operational progress discussed earlier, as well as the capital structure initiatives completed during the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026. Our development program is expected to operate 2 drilling rigs during 2026, including 1 rig deployed across our legacy assets in Pennsylvania and Ohio, and 1 rig dedicated to the recently acquired Ohio Utica assets beginning early in the second quarter.
This level of activity supports continued production growth while maintaining capital discipline and operational flexibility across both areas. Looking ahead, we expect to continue advancing development across all areas within our portfolio and anticipate turning to sales 31 gross wells during calendar year 2026, consistent with the development plan outlined in our investor presentation. In the first quarter of 2026, we expect to turn 4 oil-weighted wells in line on our Ohio Utica asset. For 2026, we expect net production to average between 345 and 375 MMcfe per day, representing growth of approximately 70% year-over-year. Development capital expenditures, which are a combination of drilling and completion as well as midstream capital expenditures, are expected to range between $450 million and $500 million. With that, I will turn the call back to Zack for closing remarks.
Zack Arnold, President and Chief Executive Officer, null Natural Resources: Thank you, David. To summarize, 2025 and early 2026 has been a transformative period for null Natural Resources as we continue to execute operationally, scale our Appalachian platform through strategic acquisitions, and reinforce the balance sheet with new long-term equity partners. We enter into 2026 with a strong operational foundation, expanded development inventory, and a strengthened capital structure. Our position across oil-weighted Ohio Utica, rich gas Ohio Utica opportunities, and dry gas Marcellus and Utica development provides the flexibility to continue delivering sustainable growth and value for our shareholders. Operator, please open the line for questions.
Regina, Conference Operator: We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. We kindly ask that you please limit your questions to one and one follow-up. Our first question will come from the line of Michael Scialla with Stephens. Please go ahead.
Michael Scialla, Analyst, Stephens: Hi. Good morning. Wanted to ask on your 2026 plan. Your CapEx guidance is a fair bit above annual assessments. Can you talk about any changes you made from you gave some soft guidance back in mid-December when you did the call on the Antero acquisition. Any changes that you’ve made since then and any things that might be in there that David you mentioned, you know, midstream is built into that. Wanted to see if you could break that out at all. Thank you.
Zack Arnold, President and Chief Executive Officer, null Natural Resources: Hey, Michael, Zach speaking here. Thank you for that question. I think it’s a timely one. First and foremost, I would want to point you back to slide 7 and 10 of our investor deck showing how well we performed last year. We’ve had cost improvements from a D&C perspective and continue to have great capital efficiency and EBITDA margin. This capital guidance range that we’re talking about and that you’re trying to interpret is not a reflection of drilling cost concerns. We continue to execute very well there, and we’re gaining scale, so we expect additional synergies and improvements. What I think is helpful to understand is some things related to the acquisition. First of all, we have an additional 9% of CapEx.
Now, we took on additional working interest from the Antero deal than what we knew when we were talking before. Also, the first pad out of the gate, the English pad, will be completed by us and the capital borne by us. That’s 19,000 lateral feet on three separate wells. That’s a lot of lateral footage with completions activities that are coming to us. Another point on the Antero deal, we wanted to make sure we had a rig ready to go as quickly as we could, and we didn’t want to have the asset closed and be looking for a rig. As a result of that effort, we picked up the rig before close, and that rig’s been drilling on INR projects. Effectively, running two rigs across our base business for part of this first quarter.
Those things are all adding to it, that were a little bit different than when we visited before. You talked about midstream, and I think that’s an important component of this too. While we don’t break that out, we more than doubled the size of our midstream with the acquisitions of Antero, and we’re actively developing in both areas that require midstream investments. We’ll expect to spend money in both areas, PA and Ohio, as we build out midstream. I think for us, we don’t break it out because it’s a little bit fungible, and it still gives us some flexibility in our pad selection and where we’re deploying capital between drilling wells that don’t require midstream.
Maybe you add an extra well to that pad versus somewhere where you need to add midstream, so you allocate dollars there. A couple other things just to point out too is we wanna make sure we maintain flexibility in that capital guidance. What we did last year, which is pick up working interest, our land group has been incredibly skilled at the ground game and adding in working interest and lengthening laterals. We don’t want to surprise somebody if we end up with more working interest or longer laterals than we talked about.
Now that we’re running two rigs, the timing component becomes a little bit magnified, where if those rigs gain pace and start drilling faster because we have rigs that are having shorter rig loops because they’re staying in Ohio instead of bouncing back and forth between Ohio to PA, for example, and we pull forward a well into the year, and that’s another $10 million-$15 million that hits your CapEx budget. Those back of the year CapEx spends don’t reflect themselves in 2026 production. A lot of things going on there, but I think for us, we wanna make sure we give ourselves the flexibility to react and be able to plan our business without surprising anybody as other projects come up.
There are certainly capital projects we haven’t budgeted before that I think could be interesting, including for the dry gas Utica.
Michael Scialla, Analyst, Stephens: I appreciate that detail, Zach. I guess just to clarify that in terms of well costs, you’re not anticipating any OFS inflation or anything. You’re still anticipating well costs to at least stay flat or maybe even trend down. Is that right?
Zack Arnold, President and Chief Executive Officer, null Natural Resources: Yes, that is correct.
Michael Scialla, Analyst, Stephens: Great. Then want to follow up on you mentioned the deep Utica, which you’ve budgeted for this year. Anything more you can add on that play, why you decided to, I know you guys have kind of gone back and forth on when you were gonna drill that first well. I guess what helped you decide to put it in the 2026 plan, and what do you think your exposure there is if the play works?
Zack Arnold, President and Chief Executive Officer, null Natural Resources: Yeah. You know, we wanted to budget for it. We’ll still maintain the flexibility to choose to do it or not do it as we see gas prices and other factors, maybe oil prices, ripple through our decision-making process. But we’ve set ourselves up with a rig that’s capable and experienced at doing this. One of the things we wanted to do was make sure we set ourselves up for success to the greatest extent possible, and we’re really excited about some of the deep dry gas Utica experience that we’ve added to our internal staff and to our field staff as well. When we get to the right project and we do have a permit in hand, and we have a rig that’s capable and experienced drilling this, we’ll be positioned to execute.
Dave Sproule, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, null Natural Resources: Hey, Michael, this is David Sproule. I think, you know, you can look at the development plan that we have and the development of that well would be towards the latter half of this year. We would not anticipate that well coming online this year. You know, I think we’ve always been excited about the Utica. That’s not changed. It’s changed. It’s only been more excitement about what we see in the deep dry gas Utica. There are plenty of offset development activities to us. We’ve been watching those. So I think for us it’s just consistent with our overall theme of kind of walking before running with regards to developing it. But we are very excited about the prospectivity therein.
Michael Scialla, Analyst, Stephens: Sounds good. Appreciate it, guys.
Regina, Conference Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Tim Rezvan with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Tim Rezvan, Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets: Good morning, folks, and thanks for taking our questions. Michael actually took some of the ones I was gonna hit at, but I wanted to dig back in on the deep Utica first. It looks like you have a spud plan or you may have recently spud that well in the deep Utica. You know, I know there’s a Cooper pad in Armstrong County. Can you give kind of any context? Have you spud this well yet? I recognize you don’t plan to complete it this year, but is that definitely happening or is it still kind of a TBD?
Zack Arnold, President and Chief Executive Officer, null Natural Resources: Yeah. I’ll make a sort of technical differentiation here for you. If you’re watching stuff online, when you set the conductor, it triggers a regulatory spud. We view that as really just preparation for a true spud, and don’t wanna get anybody confused as to what’s specifically going on. I think what David said a moment ago is most accurate, is that we’ve got it really like the capital, you know, towards the back half of this year and production really not coming in until next as we look at it today.
Dave Sproule, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, null Natural Resources: The other thing I’d note here, Tim, for you is, and everybody listening is, when you think about our development at the South Bend field, remember we have multiple horizons that we are targeting. One of the good things about our position that is unique is that we have dry gas Marcellus there and dry gas deep Utica. As we come in and develop Marcellus, we can come back in and develop deep Utica. You know, consistent with our approach there, consistent with our view of maintaining optionality, that’s kind of what you’re seeing when you see that alert from a regulatory spud.
Tim Rezvan, Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets: Okay, we’ll stay tuned. Sounds like nothing imminent on that front. I appreciate the comments on CapEx. Zack, as my follow-up, you know, we talked about a year ago and you mentioned, you know, null wants to stay nimble, but you can’t be schizophrenic, you know, as you sort of chase commodity prices. You know, cycle times seem to be ever shorter and sort of more violent today. How does the board think about that balance between sort of chasing kind of what you’re seeing on the screens in a day, you know, versus the cycle times you have? How nimble can you be and sort of how locked in is this 2026 program?
Zack Arnold, President and Chief Executive Officer, null Natural Resources: Sure. I’ll give a little bit of color as to what we’ve done and what to expect. Already this year we’ve turned in line 4 oil-weighted wells. Feels like that’s maybe that’s a testament as to why you can’t be schizophrenic in your capital deployment because these wells are now you’re very excited to have them on. If we’d have been fully focused on natural gas, we would have missed a lot of this exposure. We anticipate another pad coming online by mid-year and so like the oil volumes that we’re bringing in in this calendar year. As far as how we deploy capital differently, our development plan didn’t come together in the last 2 weeks. You know, our development plan has been thoughtfully put together, presented to the board.
We really like the projects both in oil and gas. We always have the slide in our investor deck where you see the returns at different prices. We’ll always evaluate if there’s an oil project that we should swap in or tuck in, but that becomes not necessarily always the most prudent thing for us to do. We’ll take some time here. We’ll see if these prices stay. That’s a big part of the question. Is this a blip? We don’t wanna move the rig from a gas project to an oil project and it turn out to be a head fake, which we’ve seen on the gas side from time to time.
We’ll continue to have our land teams and our regulatory teams and our construction teams be prepared for that optionality, and we’ll see what the next quarter brings.
Dave Sproule, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, null Natural Resources: Okay. Thank you. Thank you.
Regina, Conference Operator: Our next question comes from the line of John Freeman with Raymond James. Please go ahead.
John Freeman, Analyst, Raymond James: Thanks. Good morning, guys.
Dave Sproule, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, null Natural Resources: Morning.
John Freeman, Analyst, Raymond James: Just wanted to flesh out maybe sort of how to think about the production cadences as we go through the year. Obviously it you know appears to be a pretty back half-weighted program with you know you’ve only got 4 of the 31 wells coming on in 1Q. Maybe just sort of how to think about how we progress through the rest of the year just to give us a little bit, a little help on that side.
Dave Sproule, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, null Natural Resources: Yeah. I think, John, you know, when you think back to some of the comments that Zack made earlier about cycle times, I kind of push you to think about that. You know, when you bring a rig out and you start drilling holes, it’s a good rule of thumb for us, it’s kinda six months from spud to turn in line for us, six to seven months after that. To your point, you know, as we ramp up development, much like what you witnessed in 2025, we would anticipate, you know, a considerable ramp through the middle of the year and into the fourth quarter as well. You know, we’ve started the year, albeit relatively slow. We’ve turned in, as Zack kinda noted already, four wells, four very long oil weighted wells.
We’ll start picking up pace on with regards to the turn on lines through the balance of the year.
John Freeman, Analyst, Raymond James: Perfect. Thanks. Just a quick follow-up on that. How many DUCs did y’all enter 2026 with?
Dave Sproule, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, null Natural Resources: The interesting thing here, John, is the timing of where that calendar falls. I think we entered the year with eight DUCs that we had, and we were in the process of drilling a couple more wells during where December thirty-first fell. Of those eight DUCs that we carried into the year, we have turned to sales four of them. We turned in two wells in Carroll County, and we turned in two wells in Guernsey County. We’re actively completing the remaining.
John Freeman, Analyst, Raymond James: Got it. Thanks, guys. Nice quarter.
Dave Sproule, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, null Natural Resources: Thank you. Appreciate it.
Regina, Conference Operator: Our next question comes from the line of Samuel Cox with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Samuel Cox, Analyst, RBC Capital Markets: Hi. Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. I just wanted to touch on the rig cadence for 2026. You know, obviously, given certain macro conditions, what would need to happen to evaluate a potential third operated rig? Thanks.
Dave Sproule, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, null Natural Resources: You know, that’s a great question, Sam. I think for us, we are cognizant of our portfolio and the returns that we have, so we’re really excited about that. I think we’re probably more likely to maybe consider additional frac crews, I would say, than drilling rigs at this stage. But it’s difficult to say. I mean, honestly, three weeks ago, oil prices were, you know, a little bit different than they were during the straight kind of considerations that we’re seeing right now. You know, if oil prices stay extremely elevated from spot relative, you know, throughout the remainder of the year, it’s something that we would evaluate. But we’re not. I wanna caution you to think that we’re not windsocked here.
We’re systematically exploiting the reservoirs that we have in a prudent manner. You know, we’d like to maintain optionality. We’ve built into our forecast the ability to maintain optionality both in natural gas and oil. We have flexibility to do the right things. We’re gonna let other people kinda windsock with the commodities and make that determination. Today, we’re just systematically exploiting what we have.
Samuel Cox, Analyst, RBC Capital Markets: Got it. No, I appreciate that. You also recently added some long-term hedges to the disclosure this time. How are you all thinking about your hedging strategy?
Dave Sproule, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, null Natural Resources: Sure. You know, hedging’s always interesting, right? You always look back at the, you know, hindsight 20/20. Everybody, it’s not shocking, everybody would like to have higher hedging prices. I think we’re not speculating on, I mean, we’re really not speculating on oil prices or natural gas prices. What we do is de-risk our development program. You know, if you look on slide 8, you can see the returns that we have here for oil-weighted or natural gas-weighted projects. When we can get to a situation, whether it be swaps or collars, that we can lock in really attractive discounted returns on investment, we will do that. The other thing I’d note is we stay true to our tenets here.
You know, we’ve talked about hedging when the rig shows up. We’ve talked about hedging when the completion crews show up. Zack was talking about the activities that we had. We entered the year with eight oil-weighted wells, you know, that we were completing and turning into sales. We’ve layered on hedges. You know, obviously, some of those hedges, you know, are a little bit lower than maybe the spot is on 2027, but not by much. We are looking to systematically de-risk our development plan and lock in those returns as we’ve indicated to our shareholders, and we’ve done that. We’re pretty proud of what we’ve done.
Samuel Cox, Analyst, RBC Capital Markets: Got it. Appreciate it, guys. Thanks.
Dave Sproule, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, null Natural Resources: Thank you.
Regina, Conference Operator: Again, to ask a question, press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. Our next question will come from the line of Nicholas Pope with Roth Capital. Please go ahead.
Nicholas Pope, Analyst, Roth Capital: Hey, good morning, everyone.
Dave Sproule, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, null Natural Resources: Good morning.
Nicholas Pope, Analyst, Roth Capital: Fourth quarter saw a big jump in oil volumes. Just three wells brought online in Ohio. I mean, it was obviously, I think, the strongest quarter you all seen. Just curious if there was anything, I guess, performance-wise from the wells over there in Ohio that y’all saw that kinda really supported that, or if it was just really where in the Utica you guys were drilling in the quarter. It just a really big jump, really solid number. Just kinda curious if that was performance timing, or just location that was kinda driving that really strong oil number.
Dave Sproule, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, null Natural Resources: Well, thank you for noticing. We were really excited with those results too. I think the projects that we brought in in the back half of 2026 were or 2025, excuse me, were fantastic. Really a testament to the operational team, making sure cycle times were fast and execution of long laterals was done flawlessly. Kudos to them for putting us in a position to talk about these volumes. Kudos to the land department for making sure that our working interest was high because volumes are important, but having a high working interest in those volumes is even more critical. I think from a performance perspective, we don’t think those performances are anomalies. Well, that’s how we expect to perform.
We’re very excited the way that those projects have looked in the back field.
Nicholas Pope, Analyst, Roth Capital: Yeah, it makes sense. Jumping around a little bit. I know you didn’t provide explicit guidance here, but unit operating costs, gathering costs were both down kinda throughout the year. Big acquisition of midstream assets, a lot of capital spend in 2026 implied kind of in the midstream businesses. So directionally trying to understand where those costs are going with that midstream investment. Is there also going to be kinda line items kind of growing for midstream revenues outside of kind of the operating cost line items? Like, how is that gonna look forward? What are buckets?
Dave Sproule, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, null Natural Resources: Sure. I’m gonna take the operating cost question first, and then I’ll come back to the midstream revenue question second. With regards to operating costs, what you’ve witnessed in 2025 is an increased activity in Pennsylvania as well as managing our costs down in Ohio. Let me unpack that just a little bit. Remember in Pennsylvania on our gas assets, our Marcellus assets there, we own the midstream, so we don’t have a meaningful GP&T charge. The second thing is volumetrically, the natural gas wells that we put on are significantly larger than the oil weighted wells that we put into sales in Ohio, just from a petrophysical aspect.
As you think about the blending of that, not only are you blending in a lower cost structure, but you’re also blending it in with a higher volume aspect. Naturally you’re seeing some of that decline happen. We have witnessed declines from an LOE in particular basis in Ohio. We’ve seen consistent GP&T in Ohio. On a blending aspect, you’re seeing a decline in quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year with regards to our overall cost structure for 2025. We would anticipate that to continue as we bring on more natural gas volumes, as well as when we bring on more volumes associated with the acquired properties from Antero. Antero properties, again, we own the midstream.
While there is additional expenditures associated with fractionation activities on some of the wells, we can reduce our overall blended cost or continue to reduce our overall blended costs by integrating those assets there. Turning to the midstream side, you know, we do generate some midstream third party midstream revenues on our system. We’ve done that. You can see that in the line item for revenues that we have for midstream. It is a great opportunity set for us as we think about the future, not only for our assets in Pennsylvania, but our assets that we’ve acquired from Antero. We have a very large system. It’s currently today we’re capable of moving upwards of 1.2 BCF a day of capacity.
We have a very big midstream system that is definitely on our radar and strategic endeavors to expand volumes associated with third parties onto that system.
Nicholas Pope, Analyst, Roth Capital: Got it. That, that’s all very helpful. I appreciate it. I appreciate the time this morning.
Dave Sproule, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, null Natural Resources: Thanks. Thank you.
Regina, Conference Operator: This concludes the question and answer session. I’ll hand the call back over to Zack for any closing comments.
Zack Arnold, President and Chief Executive Officer, null Natural Resources: All right. Thank you all very much for your interest in null Natural Resources. We’re very excited to talk about the quarter and the upcoming year, and we look forward to visiting again soon. Thank you.
Regina, Conference Operator: This concludes today’s call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.