GTE March 4, 2026

Gran Tierra Energy Inc Q4 2025 Earnings Call - Debt Exchange and Liquidity Moves Shift Focus to Deleveraging

Summary

Gran Tierra closed 2025 with heavy operational momentum and a corporate clean-up that recalibrates priorities. Production jumped 32% to 45,709 boe/d and reserves expanded materially, but a $193 million net loss, driven by $136 million of non-cash ceiling test impairments, and higher opex tempered the headline. Management has turned the needle from near-term refinancing to disciplined debt reduction after a successful 9.5% 2029 notes exchange and expanded prepayment capacity.

The company is layering hedges to protect cash flow in 2026, pursuing a capital efficient entry into Azerbaijan, and emphasizing repurchases of high-yield debt over buybacks of equity. Gran Tierra says its PDP base funds deleveraging, NAV shows a material discount to the share price, and the objective is net debt to EBITDA of about 1x by 2028, contingent on prices.

Key Takeaways

  • Completed a bond exchange of 9.5% Senior Secured Amortizing Notes due 2029 with roughly 88% participation, improving maturity profile and extending runway.
  • Amended and expanded prepayment agreement adding up to $175 million of incremental capacity plus a $25 million accordion, and terminated the Colombia credit facility while retaining a fully undrawn CAD 75 million facility.
  • Management shifted strategy from short-term refinancing to opportunistic debt reduction, prioritizing bond buybacks at discounts over share repurchases due to exchange restricted-payment mechanics.
  • 2025 results: net loss $193 million or $5.45 per share, which includes $136 million of non-cash ceiling test impairments; adjusted EBITDA $284 million, down 23% versus 2024.
  • Operating cash generation improved: funds flow from operations $178 million ($5.02/sh), net cash from operations $313 million, up 31% year-over-year, despite lower year-end cash of $83 million.
  • Production averaged 45,709 boe/d in 2025, up 32% from 2024, driven by Ecuador exploration and full year Canadian contribution; Ecuador production currently ~8,500-9,000 bbl/d.
  • Reserves strengthened: 1P 142 mmboe, 2P 258 mmboe, 3P 329 mmboe. South America reserves replacement: PDP 101%, 1P 61%, 2P 105%.
  • NAV per share on 1P: $22.61 before tax, $13.61 after tax. NAV on 2P: $51.09 before tax, $31.17 after tax. Management highlights a 2x to 5x discount versus current share price.
  • Hedging program: roughly 50% of oil volumes hedged for 2026 using three-ways, collars and puts, average floor around $60 and average ceiling around $74; some hedges rolled into Q1 2027 and management may add short-duration puts to push hedging above 50%.
  • Gas hedges: AECO swaps covering ~14,200 GJ/day at approximately $2.77/GJ for 2026; some Canadian gas reserves were reclassified to contingent resources due to low gas price curves.
  • Capital spending: 2025 capex $256 million, up 3% year-over-year. 2026 capital program is largely fixed; in management scenarios a $75 Brent high-case generates about $130 million of free cash flow, but the 2026 capex plan is not expected to materially change.
  • Operating expenses rose to $249 million in 2025, up 23% year-over-year due to Ecuador ramp and full year Canadian costs, but opex per BOE improved to $15.17, 6% lower than 2024; Canadian integration and fuel switching expected to deliver structural ~10% per year savings.
  • Operational highlights: Raju-2 well on Suroriente producing ~790 bbl/d at <1% water cut and outperforming expectations, advancing the Suroriente carried work program expected to complete by mid-2026.
  • Export disruptions: Q3 2025 pipeline repairs temporarily shut in Moqueta, contributing to lower southern Colombia production. Moqueta is back above ~1,100 bbl/d and overall production is roughly flat Q4 to Q1.
  • Portfolio diversification: entered Azerbaijan in a capital-efficient deal with SOCAR, adding geographic and market diversification with potential strategic upside to supply European markets; capital flow into Azerbaijan will be modest in 2026 with larger activity expected in 2027 and beyond.
  • Financial goal: target net debt to EBITDA of about 1x by 2028, contingent on commodity prices. Management commits prioritized use of excess cash to buy back high-yielding debt first, given the economics of the existing bond structure.

Full Transcript

Shannon, Conference Call Coordinator, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Gran Tierra Energy’s conference call for fourth quarter and year-end 2025 results. My name is Shannon, and I will be your coordinator for today. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Following the initial remarks, we will conduct a question-and-answer session for securities analysts and institutions. Instructions will be provided at that time for you to queue up for questions. I would like to remind everyone that this conference call is being webcast and recorded today, Wednesday, March 4th, 2026, at 11:00 A.M. Eastern Time. Today’s discussion may include certain forward-looking information, oil and gas information, and non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to the earnings and operational update press release we issued yesterday for important advisories and disclaimers with regard to this information and for reconciliations of any non-GAAP measures discussed on today’s call.

This earnings call is the property of Gran Tierra Energy Inc. Any copying or rebroadcasting of this call is expressly forbidden without the written consent of Gran Tierra Energy. I will now turn the conference call over to Gary Guidry, President and Chief Executive Officer of Gran Tierra. Mr. Guidry, please go ahead.

Gary Guidry, President and Chief Executive Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Thank you, Shannon. Good morning, and welcome to Gran Tierra’s fourth quarter and year-end 2025 results conference call. My name is Gary Guidry, Gran Tierra’s President and Chief Executive Officer, and with me today are Ryan Ellson, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, and Sebastien Morin, our Chief Operating Officer. Yesterday, we issued a press release that included detailed information about our fourth quarter and year-end 2025 results. In addition, Gran Tierra Energy’s 2025 annual report on Form 10-K has been filed on EDGAR and is available on our website. Ryan and Sebastien will make a few brief comments, and we will then open the line for questions. I’ll now turn the call over to Ryan to discuss our financial results.

Ryan Ellson, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Thanks, Gary, and good morning, everyone. The company has recently successfully executed a bond exchange of our 9.5% Senior Secured Amortizing Notes due in 2029, with a participation rate of approximately 88%, demonstrating high investor confidence in the company’s strategy. Combined with our prepayment agreement and recent Simonette disposition, we are entering 2026 with a meaningfully enhanced liquidity position and a stronger balance sheet. Subsequent to year-end, we amended and expanded our existing prepayment agreement, adding up to $175 million of incremental capacity plus $25 million accordion and was our primary source of liquidity to support the 2029 notes exchange. Concurrently, we terminated our Colombia credit facility. However, kept our CAD 75 million facility in place.

Importantly, this improved maturity profile and enhanced liquidity position allow us to shift from near-term refinancing considerations to disciplined, opportunistic debt reduction with extended runway provided from the debt exchange. We can actively pursue bond buybacks at attractive discounts while continuing to allocate capital to the highest return development opportunities across the portfolio, accelerating de-leveraging without sacrificing asset progression or long-term value creation. Additionally, we are very pleased to announce our entry into Azerbaijan, which we view as a compelling and a capital-efficient addition to our portfolio. Partnering with SOCAR provides an early scaled entry into a stable and supportive jurisdiction with established infrastructure and a long production history. This opportunity aligns with our strategy of pursuing risk-mitigated growth in proven basins where our operating model and technical expertise can drive value. Given Azerbaijan’s role in supplying energy to European markets, we see meaningful long-term strategic potential from this entry.

From a hedging standpoint, we continue to layer in hedges to support cash flow stability in 2026. Oil volumes are approximately 50% hedged throughout the year using a mix of three-ways, collars, and puts with an average floor around $60, balancing downside protection with upside exposure. For gas, we have AECO swaps covering on average 14,200 GJ per day at approximately $2.77 per GJ for 2026. Our 12-month rolling program maintains disciplined coverage levels while preserving price upside. Turning now to our financial results for the year.

During 2025, Gran Tierra realized a net loss of $193 million, or $5.45 per share, which included non-cash ceiling test impairment losses of $136 million, compared to net income of $3.2 million or $0.10 per share in 2024. Gran Tierra’s capital expenditures increased slightly by $8 million or 3% to $256 million compared to 2024 due to the higher number of wells drilled during the year in Colombia, Ecuador, and Canada. The company realized adjusted EBITDA of $284 million, a decrease of 23% from $367 million in 2024. 2025 funds flow from operations were $178 million or $5.02 per share, compared to $225 million in 2024.

Both these decreases were commensurate with the decrease in Brent oil price. The company generated net cash provided by operating activities of $313 million, an increase of 31% from $239 million in 2024. The company had $83 million in cash and cash equivalents as at December 31, 2025, a decrease compared to a cash balance of $103 million as at December 31, 2024. In addition, the company has its cane craft facility fully undrawn with a capacity of CAD 75 million. During 2025, the company bought back $21.3 million face value of the company’s 2029 Senior Notes. Gran Tierra’s net oil and gas sales for the year were $597 million, a slight decrease of 4% compared to 2024.

Total 2025 operating expenses were $249 million, compared to $202 million in 2024, representing a 23% increase, while operating expenses per BOE were $15.17, 6% lower when compared to 2024. The increase in total operating expenses in 2025 was a result of higher operating costs in Ecuador, driven by a production ramp up in 2025 and a full year contribution from our cane operations. Taken together, we have had a very busy start to the year with all these corporate actions, reposition the company for a strong 2026 and beyond. I’ll now turn the call over to Sebastien Morin and discuss some of our highlights of our current operations.

Sebastien Morin, Chief Operating Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Thanks, Ryan. Good morning, everyone. I will start with our 2025 year-end reserves. On January 28, 2026, we announced our year-end reserves as evaluated by McDaniel. The results reinforce the strength, depth, and optionality embedded in our portfolio. In South America, we delivered greater than 100% reserve replacement on both a PDP and 2P basis, driven by exploration success and strong asset performance. For 2025, we reported 142 million barrels of oil equivalent of 1P reserves, 258 million barrels of oil equivalent of 2P reserves, and 329 million barrels of oil equivalent of 3P reserves. South American reserves replacement was 101% for PDP, 61% for 1P, and 105% for 2P.

These outcomes were supported by multiple exploration discoveries in Ecuador, disciplined management of our low decline Colombian assets, and successful integration of our Canadian operations into a diversified multi basin portfolio. In Canada, certain natural gas reserves were reclassified to contingent resources due to current low gas prices under reserve booking standards. As operator of the majority of our assets, we retain the flexibility to reallocate capital toward high return, quick payout gas development in a stronger price environment, and we remain constructive on long-term natural gas demand given LNG expansion and structural growth in power demand. Our PDP reserves continue to generate meaningful cash flow that supports deleveraging, while our broader inventory, including approximately 0.3 TCF on unrisked 3P contingent resources in the Glauconitic formation and 0.4 TCF of 3P gas reserves across our Canadian assets, provide substantial long-term gas development optionality.

The organic and inorganic growth achieved over the past several years has created a runway of highly economic development opportunities in proven plays with established infrastructure. With Canadian operations now fully integrated, approximately 18% of production, 19% of 1P reserves, and 22% of 2P reserves are attributable to natural gas, and Canada represents 39% of 1P and 44% of 2P reserves. This diversification enhances resilience across commodity cycles while preserving capital allocation flexibility. From a valuation perspective, year-end 2025 NAV per share was $22.61 before tax, and $13.61 after tax on a 1P basis, and $51.09 before tax, and $31.17 after tax on a 2P basis. Compared to our current share price, this reflects a meaningful discount of 2 to 5 times across all NAV categories.

In terms of production, Gran Tierra achieved 2025 average working interest production of 45,709 barrels per day, representing a 32% increase from 2024. Due to a positive exploration, well drilling results in Ecuador and full year production from our Canadian operations, which was partially offset by lower production in Southern Colombia and Ecuador as a result of 2 major export pipeline disruptions in the Moqueta field being shut in due to trunkline repairs during the third quarter of 2025. Operationally, we are building off a successful year in 2025 to start off 2026 on a strong note. As Ryan noted previously, with the company fulfilling all 2025 Ecuador commitments and the Sur Oriente carried work program well underway, we are entering a new phase focused on generating cash flow and maximizing the value of our diversified portfolio.

From a development standpoint, we are excited to share that we recently drilled the Raju-2 well on the Suroriente Block, targeting the northern extent of the Cohembi field. The well is producing approximately 790 barrels of oil per day at less than 1% water cut and is performing ahead of our initial expectations. The result further delineates the field and supports the broader development potential of Cohembi to the north. Raju-2 also advances our Suroriente capital carry commitment, which we expect to complete by mid-2026. To close, our operational focus remains on portfolio longevity, asset quality, and disciplined execution. With the addition of Azerbaijan, our portfolio now spans 4 countries, 6 basins, and 3 continents, further enhancing diversification.

The company continues to be supported by a strong PDP foundation, meaningful 1P and 2P reserves, and a consistent track record of progressing resources from 2P to 1P and ultimately into producing with assets. As we advance our operational and financial objectives, we remain steadfast in our commitment to safe, responsible operations and supporting the communities in which we work. With a stronger capital structure and a clear focus on free cash flow and debt reduction, we believe 2026 marks an important step in enhancing the long-term value of Gran Tierra. I will now turn the call back to the operator, and Gary, Ryan, and I will be happy to take questions. Operator, please go ahead.

Shannon, Conference Call Coordinator, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now conduct a question-and-answer session for securities analysts. If you have a question, please press the star key followed by 1 1 on your tele-touch-tone phone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. Your questions will be pulled in the order they are received. Please ensure you lift the handset if you’re using a speakerphone before pressing any keys. One moment please for your first question. Our first question comes from the line of David Round with Stifel. Your line is now open.

David Round, Analyst, Stifel: Great. Thank you. Thanks, everyone. Probably an obvious one to start, but maybe can you just talk about your exposure to near-term prices, please? Specifically, if you can just mention sort of how and when your sales are priced. Secondly, a bit of a follow-on. I appreciate this is all new, but I mean, I see your CapEx guidance is the same in your base case and your high case, but that’s up to $75. I’m wondering $80+, does that change? At what point does your thinking around capital allocation change? A third one just on Azerbaijan, please, if you wouldn’t mind just sort of giving us an idea on potential capital allocation there, please. Thank you.

Ryan Ellson, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Great. Thanks, David. With respect to pricing, you’re right. It is fairly new. The way our pricing works is we’re paid. In Colombia, we’re paid just on the monthly average Brent price. In Ecuador, we’re paid at M minus one, which is really the month of lifting, we get paid the prior month pricing, is how we get as far as the pricing. In Canada, we’re paying on the average of WTI for the month. Right now, just for sensitivities, you know, we do have a sensitivity in our corporate deck. If you look at the low case, mid case and high case, you’re right that at the $75 high case we’re generating, it’s about $130 million of free cash flow, and capital expenditures are relatively flat.

Actually, they’re the same across all categories. I think right now it’s too early to say what we do with the additional funds. Our capital program for 2026 is pretty well set, so I think this would really. You know, we wouldn’t expect any material changes at all for 2026. It really is help us with our planning for 2027. We’re very focused on debt reduction, free cash flow generation, I think any excess free cash will either go with cash on the balance sheet or repurchasing our outstanding debt.

David Round, Analyst, Stifel: Okay, great.

Ryan Ellson, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: With respect to Azerbaijan, it’s, you know, we are still waiting to get the PSC ratified. Really, capital we’ll come out with capital guidance for Azerbaijan. Really, it’s really 2027 and beyond. With some capital this year, probably most likely some gravity that we’ll see in Azerbaijan.

David Round, Analyst, Stifel: Okay. Makes sense. Maybe I can just sneak another quick one just on OpEx. It looks like actually a pretty meaningful reduction in OpEx in 2026. How much of that is structural savings that we can assume will persist? Are there any deferrals we just need to be aware of there?

Sebastien Morin, Chief Operating Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Yeah. They’re mostly all structural components. Even in Canada, we’ve reduced as a whole about 10% per year on a structural basis. The integration of i3 has been significant and the same goes in Colombia and in Ecuador. A lot of that is moving from our diesel to gas to power as we develop the field in Ecuador.

David Round, Analyst, Stifel: Brilliant. Thank you.

Shannon, Conference Call Coordinator, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Josef Schachter with Schachter Energy Research. Your line is now open.

Josef Schachter, Analyst, Schachter Energy Research: Good morning, everyone, and thanks for taking my questions. first one for Ryan. Ryan, with all these, higher prices, and you mentioned in your hedge book, how much incremental hedges have you put on, and are you stretching that into 2027? Is this war premium giving the ability to add hedges at very attractive prices?

Ryan Ellson, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Yeah. I think for this year, we have about 50% of our production hedged. We have started to add a few into Q1 of 2027. I think the reality, obviously, front month is quite a bit higher, but the curve is steeply backwardated. We are continuing to look at hedges for, you know, latter half of the year, but more so into next year. As I said, we’re about 50% hedged already this year. We may do some shorter-term options, take advantage of it, you know, get above that 50%, probably through puts over the next couple of months, but that really is about it. Again, with the curve so steeply backwardated.

Josef Schachter, Analyst, Schachter Energy Research: Okay. Next one. The disruption on the pipelines in the south for Colombia and then the recent announcements of the Americans being involved with the Ecuadorian military, is there any concern about Ecuador production and has there been a recovery from the pipeline disruptions in southern Colombia?

Gary Guidry, President and Chief Executive Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Yeah. Thanks, Josef. I think the answer to that is there’s no disruption in Ecuador. We’re currently starting our water injection pilot test. We are working with the government to tie into the OSO pipeline going forward. With the border disruption, the border being closed between Colombia and Ecuador, we have multiple ways to export our crude from Colombia. Now it’s all being exported directly from Colombia as opposed through the OTA and the SOTE lines. No disruption to production or exports. It’s just different routing.

Josef Schachter, Analyst, Schachter Energy Research: Has production come up, materially? What would production be now versus what it was during Q4?

Gary Guidry, President and Chief Executive Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: In Ecuador, we’re still at the 8,500, 9,000 barrels a day. We are quite enthusiastic. We’re already seeing response from the injection in the fields that we’re on. Our plans are to start water injection pilots in all of our fields.

Josef Schachter, Analyst, Schachter Energy Research: Okay. In Colombia, production now versus Q4?

Sebastien Morin, Chief Operating Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Yeah, Josef, it’s pretty much flat. As we manage the waterflood at Costayaco and Moqueta, we’re doing some optimizations on both the waterfloods, Moqueta is actually back up over 1,100 barrels a day. You know, we’re essentially flat for Q4 to Q1 now.

Josef Schachter, Analyst, Schachter Energy Research: Okay, super. Thanks for answering my questions.

Shannon, Conference Call Coordinator, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Roman Rossi with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open.

Roman Rossi, Analyst, RBC Capital Markets: Hey, morning, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. My first one just surrounds asset disposition in the context of your production guidance for this year. It sounds like operations are trending positively so far. Would you anticipate a small change to your production guidance range upon deal close, or look to maintain your current guidance?

Gary Guidry, President and Chief Executive Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Yeah. Well, it is. We will revise our guidance once we’ve closed that transaction, which will happen here over the next week or two going forward. It’s not material, but it is an effective date of January 1, 2026.

Roman Rossi, Analyst, RBC Capital Markets: Okay, great. Thanks, Gary. Just one more from me, if I could. Can you just remind us of your activity into Clearwater this year? Is there any potential to accelerate or expand the program there, just following asset disposition, the planned activity there? Thanks.

Sebastien Morin, Chief Operating Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Yeah. Right now we’re doing some more core work studies to essentially cross-optimization studies for when we go to full field development. To your point, you know, we have an existing pad with room for up to 4-6 wells. That’s all in the planning stages that we can pull off of the shelf if we need to.

Roman Rossi, Analyst, RBC Capital Markets: Great. Thanks, guys.

Shannon, Conference Call Coordinator, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Alejandra Andrade with JP Morgan. Your line is now open.

Alejandra Andrade, Analyst, JP Morgan: Hi, how are you? You mentioned debt reduction. I was wondering what would be your target in terms of debt reduction, when do you think it’s feasible to achieve that? Thank you.

Gary Guidry, President and Chief Executive Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Yeah. Longer term, we’re targeting net debt to EBITDA of 1x, we’re targeting that for 2028. Obviously contingent on pricing. Pricing like today, that accelerates quite quickly.

Alejandra Andrade, Analyst, JP Morgan: Great. Thank you.

Gary Guidry, President and Chief Executive Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Thanks.

Shannon, Conference Call Coordinator, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Christopher Dechiario with BTIG. Your line is now open.

Christopher Dechiario, Analyst, BTIG: Yeah. Hi, good morning. Just I guess a couple of follow-up questions on topics that have already been asked. On the hedging program, you mentioned, I think, an average floor price of $60. Just what’s the average ceiling price, now that we have, you know, prices at least in the near term where they are? I guess is my first question.

Gary Guidry, President and Chief Executive Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Yeah. Yeah. About $74 is the ceiling.

Christopher Dechiario, Analyst, BTIG: Okay. Thank you. Then, just following up on Alejandra’s question. I mean, to the extent, you know, you’re focused now on free cash flow and debt reduction going forward, to the extent perhaps, we’ll have, you know, a little bit higher oil prices for longer. How do you think about, sort of, you know, share buybacks versus net debt reduction or debt reduction? I mean, you know, to the extent things end up better than your guidance, sort of how do you think of allocating between the two?

Gary Guidry, President and Chief Executive Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: It’s a good question. I think if you look at where the bonds yield right now, we’re very focused on debt reduction, and our first choice would be to repurchase outstanding debt. Then you’ll recall in the exchange that we just did, any restricted payments that go out, we have to do 2 to 1 for debt reduction versus share buybacks. If we were to buy back $10 million worth of shares, we’d be obligated to buy back $20 million versus debt. You can see the emphasis on the debt reduction.

Christopher Dechiario, Analyst, BTIG: Yeah, great. That’s helpful. Thank you.

Gary Guidry, President and Chief Executive Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: You’re welcome.

Shannon, Conference Call Coordinator, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Thank you. Gentlemen, there are no further questions at this time. Please continue.

Gary Guidry, President and Chief Executive Officer, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: Thank you, operator. Once again, I’d like to thank everyone for joining us today. I would like to also take this opportunity to thank the entire Gran Tierra team for their commitment and their hard work in 2025, while thanking stakeholders for their continued support. We look forward to speaking with you next quarter and update you on our ongoing progress. Thank you.

Shannon, Conference Call Coordinator, Gran Tierra Energy Inc.: This concludes today’s conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.