FinVolution Group Q4 2025 Earnings Call - International Growth Buoys Results While China Retrenches; 2026 Revenue Guided Down 5%-15%

Welco, Operator/Moderator, Conference Call Operator: Hello, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for participating in the fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings conference call for FinVolution Group. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After management’s prepared remarks, there will be a question and answer session. Today’s conference call is being recorded. I will now turn the call over to your host, Yam Cheng, Head of Capital Markets for the company. Yam, please go ahead.

Yam Cheng, Head of Capital Markets, FinVolution Group: Thank you, Welco. Welcome to our fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings conference call. The company’s results were issued via newswire services earlier today and are posted online. You can download the earnings release and sign up for the company’s email alerts by visiting the IR section of our website at ir.finvgroup.com. Mr. Tiezhen Li, our CEO, and Mr. Jiayuan Xu, our CFO, will start the call with their prepared remarks and conclude with our Q&A section. During this call, we will be referring to several non-GAAP financial measures to review and assess our operating performance. These non-GAAP financial measures are not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the financial information prepared and presented in accordance with U.S. GAAP.

For information about these non-GAAP measures and reconciliation to non-GAAP measures, please refer to our earnings press release. Before we continue, please note that today’s discussion will contain forward-looking statements made under the safe harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. As such, the company’s results may be materially different from the views expressed today. Further information regarding these and other risks and uncertainties are included in the company’s filing with the U.S. SEC. The company does not assume any obligation to update any forward-looking statements except as required under applicable law. Finally, we have posted a slide presentation on our IR website providing details about results for the quarter. I will now turn the call over to our CEO, Mr. Tiezheng Li. Tim, please go ahead.

Tiezheng Li, Chief Executive Officer (CEO), FinVolution Group: Thanks, Yam. Welcome to our fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings call.

Welco, Operator/Moderator, Conference Call Operator: Pardon me, everyone. It looks like we have lost the audio. Please stand by. Please proceed. We have you back.

Yam Cheng, Head of Capital Markets, FinVolution Group: Good.

Tiezheng Li, Chief Executive Officer (CEO), FinVolution Group: Thanks, Yam. Welcome to our fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings call. 2025 was a significant year for us. It was FinVolution’s 18th anniversary. Much like a person stepping into adulthood, our company has grown from a passionate credit tech pioneer in China into a regional platform bridging the credit gap across Asia and beyond. This journey has been more than just about scaling. We’ve learned, adapt, and built something valuable and lasting. 2025’s challenging macro environment tested our resilience, but it also reaffirmed our strategic direction to advance our international expansion. To conclude the year, we delivered full-year group revenue of RMB 13.6 billion, up 3.8% year-over-year. Net profit also rose to RMB 2.5 billion, a 6.6% increase from last year.

The resilient financial performance was achieved despite the regulatory uncertainty in China in the second half of the year, which tempered the full-year transaction volume to RMB 200 billion, down 2.9% year-over-year. Our local excellence global outlook strategy has unlocked diversification value and brought much needed resilience to our platform. In 2025, our international business grew significantly. Our volume increased by 38.6%, and the revenue rose by 32.0% year-over-year. Most notably, international business contributes 31% of revenue for the quarter, significantly higher than 21% just a year ago. As I said before, we target to grow this number to 50% in 2030, and we are confident we are on track to achieve this goal.

Today, we operate across both developing markets and most recently, developed market with our recent entry into Australia. Underpinning this momentum is the quiet evolution of our international strategy itself. In our early expansion, we focused on disciplined execution in each individual market. As we scale across the region, we have learned that strength also lies in connection. We have deepened our capabilities at the platform level instead of each country operating as a stand-alone effort. We systematically capture the expertise, relationships, and the capabilities we developed in one market and recycle them to accelerate the de-risk entry into the next. This means leveraging proven regulatory experience, product development, advanced risk analytics, centralized funding, and regional ecosystem partnership across borders. This LEGO+ strategy transforms our international portfolio from a collection of local wins into an integrated platform with compounded platform-level advantages.

Today, we manage our business through two distinct lenses. The first is our mature market, China, which serves as our foundation for consistent profitability and cash generation. The second is our international markets, which include Indonesia, the Philippines, and now Australia. These markets are characterized by high growth, scalable opportunities, and increasing contributions to our overall portfolio. Now, I would like to walk you through the key achievements and updates across both segments. First, our mature market, China. New regulations reshaped the operating landscape in the fourth quarter, as discussed in our Q3 earnings session. We prioritize risk over loan origination in Q4. That means tightened underwriting and enhanced risk controls. The result is a near-term moderation of loan origination volume to CNY 38.7 billion, and loan balance to CNY 68.3 billion in the fourth quarter.

This deliberate effort began to pay off with risk containment. Vintage loss for new loan origination stabilized at 3.0%. Outstanding loan portfolio saw risk trending up in line with expectation, with CM2 increased from 0.61% to 0.77% for the quarter. As we ran down our existing loan book upon repayment and originate new loans at higher credit standards, we saw the overall portfolio risk start stabilizing in December. As we gradually exit the regulatory regime with a replicate, recapitalized rich loan portfolio, compliance infrastructure and risk models, long-term profitability would eventually normalize. We anticipate a phase of industry consolidation once the full effect of the regulation is reflected, and we are well-positioned to seize the opportunities.

Within our portfolio, China will continue to provide the scale and cash flow foundation that allows us to invest confidently in our growth overseas. Second, our international markets, including Indonesia, the Philippines, and now Australia. We have reached an encouraging milestone for Southeast Asia. Both Indonesia and the Philippines achieved full-year profitability and contributed over $15 million in combined operating profit. Behind this financial outcome is a validation of a respectful, locally attuned approach of our international playbook. Our highly localized approach drove strong user growth. We doubled our unique user base to 5.9 million across Indonesia and the Philippines for the full year. We also penetrated deeper into the consumer base with diverse products customized around the local consumption preferences. For example, our Buy Now, Pay Later solutions have been well-received by consumers and ecosystem partners across online and offline channels.

In the fourth quarter, we entered the Australian market with the acquisition of a respected lending platform, Fundo. This new foray is a well-considered move that draws on our experience in maturing regulatory regime in China and operational excellence in overseas market. First, our evolving experience in China has prepared for a mature regulatory environment. Over the years, we have navigated China’s transition from high growth, emerging regulation towards a more rigorous consumer-focused framework. Our operating model has similarly matured towards a lower risk, more sustainable approach. This experience has equipped us with the regulatory maturity, compliance discipline, and a consumer-first mind-set that align closely with the expectation of developed economies like Australia. Second, we have proven track record of building profitable businesses from the ground up overseas.

We have successfully executed the zero to one journey, not just once, but in multiple international markets, scaling operations to profitability. This capability in launching, localizing, and scaling businesses abroad gives us strong conviction in our ability to replicate success in Australia. Moving on to RegTech and innovation. A core part of how we build.

Welco, Operator/Moderator, Conference Call Operator: Pardon me, everyone. We have lost the speaker connection. Please stand by while we get the backup line connected. Thank you.

Tiezheng Li, Chief Executive Officer (CEO), FinVolution Group: Operator?

Welco, Operator/Moderator, Conference Call Operator: Your line is open. Please proceed.

Tiezheng Li, Chief Executive Officer (CEO), FinVolution Group: It’s embedded directly into the application flow, breaking the journey into a clear, logical steps and offering real-time guidance at each stage. The impact has been tangible. We are seeing fewer users drop off, higher completion rates, and better overall conversion. It’s a refinement that may sound small, but it meaningfully improves how users experience our platform. Localization and support of local communities also play a key role in our success overseas. In Q4, we launched an emergency humanitarian response following the severe flooding that struck Indonesia in late November 2025. We established emergency kitchen and fully equipped sanitation facilities to benefit approximately 1,800 affected residents across six locations in Sumatra.

Our ESG efforts like this have driven an increase in our S&P CSA score for 7 consecutive years, reflecting our belief that how we grow is as important as how much we grow. Our commitment to responsible stewardship extends to our shareholders. We accelerated our buyback program this year with $107 million repurchase in 2025. It’s a historical record since our IPO. This commitment is personal as well. In December, our chairman and management team recently invested an additional $1.9 million of their own capital in share buyback. A gesture of deep confidence in this journey we are on together. In addition to buyback, we are also announcing approximately $74.5 million in dividends for 2025. That translates to total shareholder return of approximately $182 million, equivalent to 50% payout.

As we enter 2026, we do so with clarity, not certainty. We will manage our China business with patience, nurture our international segments with focus, and continue investing in the technologies and the partnerships that makes the sustainable growth possible. Our long-term vision remains to build a truly global FinVolution. Thank you for being part of this journey with us. I will now turn the call over to our CFO, Jiayuan Xu, for a deeper look at the numbers.

Jiayuan Xu, Chief Financial Officer (CFO), FinVolution Group: Thank you, Tiezheng, and hello, everyone. Let me go through our key results for the first quarter and full year. Please refer to our earnings press release for further details. On a group level, our fourth quarter results reflect the near-term impact of our developing China strategy and continued investment in international expansion. Group net revenue was RMB 3 billion. In 2025, China economy remained largely stable with GDP growth of 5%, maintained within reasonable range while in pursuit of high quality development. On the industry front, the regulatory authorities released multiple new guidance for banks, consumer finance, and micro lending companies during the quarter, which aimed at lowering the overall financing cost.

As the industry reconfigured its assets and funding in line with the new regulatory framework, we saw contraction in loan volume and a pickup in risk in the second half of 2025. We are refining our underwriting parameters to focus on the high-quality borrowers and have gradually priced our marginal assets that used to be credible before the new regulation. This provided protection to the unit economics. Our IIR remained stable. As Tiezheng Li mentioned, the vintage loss of the newly originated cohort began to stabilize around 3% in Q4. More importantly, early risk indicators began to show some sign of peaking in the middle December, with day one and the 30 collection rate coming down afterwards. We continue to deepen our engagement with funding partners as the funding supply dynamics start to normalize.

In Q4, we added new funding partners and further reduced the funding cost by 20 basis points quarter-on-quarter to 3.4%. Overall, our take rate held steady at around 3%. Closing the quarter, we booked RMB 2.1 billion revenue for China. In our international markets, we maintained a strong growth momentum in Q4 with the consolidation of our new Australia business, complemented by broad-based performance across our established markets in Indonesia and the Philippines. From a regional macro perspective, we navigated a period of moderate economic growth with accelerated GDP growth in Indonesia, offset by slower growth in the Philippines due to seasonal flows. Overall, we delivered robust results. Our international transaction volume reached RMB 4.1 billion, or $0.6 billion for the quarter, up 14% year-over-year.

The unique borrowers grew to 3.8 million, a 133.8% increase year-over-year. Across the region, we are benefiting from a clear regulatory environment. In Indonesia, the regulatory clarity provided by July’s announcement to maintain the interest rate cap provided a stable framework. We proactively increased our customer acquisition investment, which drove transaction volume to a historical high of $0.3 billion, equivalent to 10% growth quarter-over-quarter. In the Philippines, a new interest rate cap is scheduled to take effect in April 10, 2026. We believe this upcoming change will favor players with strong technology and operational capabilities, areas we are strong. We are already preparing in advance to accommodate the new pricing structure, drawing on our relevant experience navigating similar regulatory transitions in multiple markets.

We are confident in managing a smooth adaptation, even as we anticipate some near-term moderation during the transition periods. We continued to upgrade customer quality and expand our diversified product offerings to credible consumers. During the quarter, we have added 1.6 million new borrowers, up 26% quarter-over-quarter. In Indonesia, our offline consumption finance initiatives boost customer quality and engagement. Buy now, pay later solutions in mobile phone stores and other small ticket items drew an influx of new users, growing new borrower base by more than 3 times year-over-year. In the Philippines, embedded e-commerce partnerships now contribute 43% of the country’s volume, compared to 13% a year ago. Total transaction volume in the Philippines reached $0.2 billion, a 64% growth year-over-year.

On new market, our recent entry into Australian markets, a significant strategic expansion into a developed market. Australia represents a high value English-speaking market with a mature regulatory framework that provides long-term operating stability. The combination of near-prime customers’ unmet demand for digital lending, stable pricing structure, and an under-digitalized market creates a significant opportunity for superior risk-adjusted returns. The Fundo acquisition allows us to leverage our core strengths in data-driven risk pricing, operational efficiency, and low cost capital to grow in Australia efficiently, by building a durable and diversified revenue stream for FinVolution Group. Moving on to shareholder returns. We maintained our commitment to meaningful shareholder returns in 2025. We executed $40.7 million of buybacks in the first quarter alone, which is our largest quarterly buyback, ever if we excluded the buyback concurrent with convertible issue in Q2.

We also increased our dividend per share by 10.5% to 0.306 for the year. The progressive dividend and buyback for 2025 highlights our commitment to our shareholders during a year of volatility. In short, we navigated a complex environment and delivered resilient results in 2025. In light of the recent regulatory change in China, we expect full year 2026 group revenue to decline between 5% and 15% year over year. Our long-term goal remains to be 50% of revenue coming from international markets by 2030. We are stepping into the new year not with grand promises, but with a quiet, steady confidence in the resilience of our model, the dedication of our teams, and the solid partnerships we have built along the way. Thank you.

I will now hand the call back to the moderator for Q&A.

Welco, Operator/Moderator, Conference Call Operator: Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. If your question has been addressed and you’d like to remove yourself from queue, please press star then two. For the benefit of all participants on today’s call, if you wish to ask your question to management in Chinese, we ask that you please kindly repeat your question in English. Our first question today comes from Xiaoxiong Ye at UBS. Please go ahead.

Xiaoxiong Ye, Analyst, UBS: Good morning. I will translate for my question. I have two questions here. The first one is about the company’s shareholders return policy. It’s good to see the accelerated buyback pace since Q4. Can we expect this momentum to sustain in the near term, given there are still a lot of external uncertainty on the regulatory front? Second question is regarding the Chinese market. Based on the various regulatory tightening measures since last year, can you give us an update on some of the operational targets for this year for the domestic market, such as the loan volume growth, average loan pricing and sales and marketing budget? Thank you.

Jiayuan Xu, Chief Financial Officer (CFO), FinVolution Group: Okay. Thanks, Alex. I will take your questions. Well, your first question is about our share buybacks. Yeah. As we have mentioned, we step up significantly in the first quarter, which about $40.7 million. This is a quarterly record for us and for the full year 2025 total repurchase coming at $107 million. Despite the domestic regulatory headwinds, our China business has remained resilient and our international business continue to deliver a very strong growth with improving profitability. At the current valuation level, we see still the very attractive opportunities for us. We are maintaining that repurchase momentum. Just to give you some sense, in the first quarter so far, we have already execute another $38 million in buybacks.

As of year-end 2025, we had about $74 million remaining and our current $115 million buyback authorization. We will continue to review the program regularly to ensure our buyback policy remains consistent and sustainable. Beyond the corporate level activity, I also want to highlight the personal commitment from our chairman and senior management team. They have repurchased about $1.9 million worth of ADS, around 370,000 shares using their own personal funds. This is a very clear signal of the long-term confidence in the company’s core value. Your second question is about our forecast for our domestic business. In 2026, our China business will focus on what we call the high quality operations. That means greater focus on sustainability, compliance, and serving better quality customers.

We are also exclusively, extensively embracing the use of AI to drive efficiencies across customer acquisition, risk, and the various key functions within our organizations. Here are some of our key priorities for your information. As for the transaction volume, in the first quarter, we typically would expect lower transaction volume due to Chinese New Year, and this year should follow the same pattern. For the full year, it will really depend on the risk, the macro, the regulation, which we are closely tracking. At this point, we are focusing on strengthening our business operation and we’ll adapt as the conditions become clearer. For price, you know, our price is shaped by funding partners and the regulatory guidance. We are continuously refining our models to balance risk and return with our compliance framework.

We are also offering the better pricing to high quality borrowers. This aligns with the regulatory expectation and is good for building a stronger customer base in the long term. As for the customer acquisition, actually last year the reset in China market led to relatively moderate competition in marketing activities. Customer acquisition costs came down as a result. In Q4, our cost per new borrower declined by 15% quarter-over-quarter, while our acquisition expense ratio declined by 22%. Now, we consider the current acquisition cost is quite attractive, especially when you compare the lifetime value a new customer can potentially bring. We maintain a relatively proactive customer acquisition in the first quarter, 2026, and we will keep close eye on our customer acquisition strategy dynamically. Okay, thank you, Xiaoxiong Ye.

Welco, Operator/Moderator, Conference Call Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Cindy Wang at China Renaissance. Please go ahead.

Cindy Wang, Analyst, China Renaissance: Thanks for taking my question. I have two questions. First, could you give us the trend in Q4 and January to March for day one delinquency rate and 30-day loan collection rate? Based on the changes in early indicators, how do you see this round of the credit cycle? Has it approached to the end or still in the middle of the cycle? Second, the revenue contribution from overseas markets increased significantly in Q4. How do you view the revenue contribution from overseas markets this year? What customer acquisition strategy are employed in Indonesia and Philippines? Thank you.

Jiayuan Xu, Chief Financial Officer (CFO), FinVolution Group: Okay. Thank you, Cindy, and I will take your questions. Well, your first question is about the risk metrics in fourth quarter domestic business. Yeah. Actually, we have seen an increase in risk overall, but it appears to be contained, especially from the current vantage point. During the quarter, we saw risk picking up from the end of September, accelerating October, moderating but still trending up in November and finally peaking in the middle of December. Average early risk indicators in Q4 increased slightly from Q3. They were up from 5% to 5.5%. The thirty-day loan collection rate is down from 88% to 86%. The CM2 flow rate as a result increased from 0.61% in Q3 to 0.77% in Q4.

In the first quarter 2026, following the gradual run off of our legacy loans from the high risk customers, the quality of the existing loan portfolio continued to improve. Meanwhile, the new loans are originated at a high credit standard and have better credit quality. As a result, our day one delinquency has trended down in January and February for 2 consecutive months. For example, the early risk indicators show initial signs of recovery, return to the level somewhat closer to the end of September last year. Now the current day one delinquency has lowered to around 5%. Having said that, we continue to be vigilant on risk until the sign of recovery is clear. Your second question is about our overseas market. Yeah.

In terms of the 2026 international revenue contribution, we expect our international business to maintain its rapid growth momentum this year. For this year, we are guiding international revenue to account for roughly 30% of our full year total. The profitability should scale nicely as well. We are looking at a meaningful step from the $15 million operating profit we delivered in 2025. Let me share some updates for the customer acquisition in Indonesia and Philippines. Well, we have built a pretty systematic approach to customer acquisition. It really comes down to three things. The paid traffic acquisition, embedding ourselves into high frequency spending scenarios, and then locking in user loyalty through brand and experience. Those combination helps us move beyond just acquiring users. It’s about capturing deeper lifetime value.

In terms of the online acquisition channels, across our international markets, we use mainstream channels like Google, Facebook, Instagram and TikTok. Backed by our data models and years of execution experience, we can reach our target audience pretty efficiently. Those channels are not easy to master. They have high operating barriers. But once you crack the code, they can help you build a strong brand recognition and capture full user lifetime value. Once our model is validated, it becomes a sustainable growth engine for the local business.

Tiezheng Li, Chief Executive Officer (CEO), FinVolution Group: The second, moving beyond the traditional online advertisement, we focus on deeper integration with local ecosystem. For example, in Indonesia, our MFI license was an important channel for our ecosystem expansion. It allowed us to expand from pure online cash loans into offline installment lending, cover things like, 3C products, home appliances and furniture. We are now showing up where people actually spend the money. The results speak for themselves. We acquired 3 million new customers in 2025, 3 times of last year. This year, we will keep expanding that offline footprint and build out a true multi-channel acquisition network. In the Philippines, our approach is partnership-driven. We have integrated with lending e-commerce platforms to offer buy now, pay later product at online checkout. That now accounts for 36% of our volume in 2025.

We have also teamed up with MACH, a major telecom operator, for Buy Now, Pay Later product on mobile top-ups. We are working with Carousell, the regional secondhand marketplace, to embed financial service into their platform. Those things are simple. Meet user in their daily routines, make the financial service part of experience and the customer acquisition happens naturally. Okay, thank you. Thank you.

Welco, Operator/Moderator, Conference Call Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Yada Li with CICC. Please go ahead.

Yada Li, Analyst, CICC: Which is about overseas market expansion. You mentioned in the meeting that we plan to enter developed markets such as Australia. Could you share the strategic thinking behind this decision and what’s the current competitive and regulatory environment in developed markets? Also, could you briefly talk about the company’s forward development plans? Thank you.

Tiezheng Li, Chief Executive Officer (CEO), FinVolution Group: Thanks, Yada Li. I will take your question. I will answer your question in three parts. First is why developed markets. Let’s think of it this way. We are taking the mature experience we built in China. It’s actually aligned pretty close with developed market regulations and combining it with a scalable growth engine we’ve proven in Southeast Asia. We are exporting our capabilities to a new frontier. We think developed markets offer something really valuable. Large established personal loan markets that are ripe for digital transformation. By entering this market, we are not just chasing growth. We are building resilience. A more balanced geographic portfolio helps us hedge against volatility in any single market.

Frankly, being one of the new fintech platforms that can credibly operate across both emerging and developed markets evaluates our global brand and influence. Second, why Australia? Australia presents clear structural opportunities. The unsecured personal loan market there is around AUD 33 billion. It’s sizable. We watched non-bank players steadily gain shares from traditional banks over the past few years. As one of the first Chinese players to enter, we have first mover advantage. Looking at the general operating landscape, we see a somewhat moderate competition. Digitalization level remains moderate. There’s no major dominant player in the space. For a technology-driven platform like FinVolution, it’s an ideal entry point.

Added to that, a regulatory environment that’s both robust and transparent, giving us the clarity and the stability we need for long-term sustainable operation. Australia became our first choice for our push into high-income, highly regulated markets. Third, why Fundo? Fundo has an ACL license. It typically requires a long, expensive process to get and ongoing compliance costs are significant. By acquiring Fundo, we effectively bought ourselves a fast pass into Australian market. It let us enter faster at lower cost and with the ability to immediately upgrade an existing operation rather than starting from scratch. The Fundo business already self-sustaining and profitable with strong risk controls in place. More importantly, Fundo’s level of digitalization and automation already put it ahead of most local competitors.

That makes it an ideal candidate to plug into our LEGO+ global platform. Looking ahead to 2026, our focus is straightforward. Sharpen our risk models and refine operations and optimize funding costs to keep improving the unit economies. We are confident we can help Fundo to accelerate its growth, both in origination, volume and revenue. Thanks, Yuji.

Welco, Operator/Moderator, Conference Call Operator: Thank you. That concludes our question and answer session. I’d like to turn the conference back over to the company for any closing remarks.

Tiezheng Li, Chief Executive Officer (CEO), FinVolution Group: Okay, thank you. Thank you once again for joining us today. If you have any further questions, please feel free to contact FinVolution Group’s IR team. This concludes the conference call. You may now disconnect from your line. Thank you so much.

Welco, Operator/Moderator, Conference Call Operator: Thank you. Once again, that does conclude the conference call. You may disconnect your line at this time and have a wonderful day.