Cimpress Q3 FY2026 Earnings Call - Raised FY2026 Guidance and Confident on $600M EBITDA Path
Summary
Cimpress delivered a strong third quarter, reporting adjusted EBITDA that surpassed $100 million for the first time in a Q3 period, up 11% year-over-year. Management raised full-year fiscal 2026 revenue and profit guidance, citing robust execution and favorable currency tailwinds. The company is making tangible progress on its strategic pillars, including manufacturing efficiencies, AI integration, and cross-business collaboration, which are driving down costs and improving margins. Management reiterated confidence in its multi-year plan to achieve at least $600 million in adjusted EBITDA by fiscal 2028, with a clear path to significantly reduce net leverage below 2.0 times.
The quarter also highlighted strategic tuck-in acquisitions, including stakes in Truyol and Mixam, which are expected to generate strong returns and contribute to revenue and EBITDA growth. Despite seasonal working capital outflows and higher capital expenditures, Cimpress remains focused on deleveraging and free cash flow conversion. Management addressed concerns about energy price impacts, noting that cost increases will likely be passed through to customers. The overall narrative is one of disciplined execution, with management emphasizing the increasing probability of achieving its fiscal 2028 targets.
Key Takeaways
- Adjusted EBITDA surpassed $100 million in Q3, marking the first time the company has achieved this milestone in a third quarter, with an 11% year-over-year increase.
- Cimpress raised its full-year fiscal 2026 revenue and profit guidance for the second time, now expecting revenue growth of 9%-10% and adjusted EBITDA of at least $465 million.
- Management reiterated confidence in its fiscal 2028 targets, including at least $600 million in adjusted EBITDA and net leverage below 2.0 times, with progress on key strategic pillars.
- Vistaprint’s variable gross profit per customer grew 13% year-over-year, reflecting the success of elevated products in increasing wallet share and customer lifetime value.
- Tuck-in acquisitions in Truyol and Mixam are expected to generate base case returns well in excess of 20%, contributing approximately $13 million in adjusted EBITDA in fiscal 2027.
- Severe weather in North America dampened results in January and February, but growth accelerated in March, leading to a strong overall quarter for Vistaprint.
- Cimpress is driving manufacturing efficiencies and cross-business collaboration, with $11 million in annualized cost reductions already realized between Vistaprint and National Pen.
- Management expects adjusted EBITDA growth in fiscal 2027 to exceed 10%, with meaningful improvements in free cash flow conversion as working capital timing normalizes.
- Currency tailwinds are benefiting adjusted EBITDA, but unfavorable currency movements impacted working capital in Q3, leading to a seasonal outflow.
- Cimpress plans to pass through cost increases from higher energy prices to customers, with management confident that price adjustments will offset the impact on margins.
Full Transcript
Lisa, Moderator/Operator, Cimpress: Welcome to the Cimpress third quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings call. I will now introduce Meredith Burns, Vice President of Investor Relations and Sustainability. Please go ahead.
Meredith Burns, Vice President of Investor Relations and Sustainability, Cimpress: Thank you, Lisa, and thank you everyone for joining us. With us today are Robert Keane, our Founder, Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer, and Sean Quinn, EVP and Chief Financial Officer. We appreciate the time that you’ve dedicated to understand our results, commentary, and outlook. This live Q&A session will last about 45 minutes or so, and we’ll answer both pre-submitted and live questions. You can submit questions live via the questions and answers box at the bottom left on the screen. Before we start, I will note that in this session, we’ll make statements about the future. Our actual results may differ materially from these statements due to risk factors that are outlined in detail in our SEC filings and the earnings document we published yesterday on our website.
We also have published non-GAAP reconciliations for our financial results on our IR website, and we invite you to read all of those. Now, I will turn things over to Robert Keane.
Robert Keane, Founder, Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer, Cimpress: Thanks, Meredith, and thank you to our investors for joining us today. Before Sean reviews our Q3 financial results and our guidance updates, I’ll share my thoughts on the recent progress we’ve made on the strategic and the operational themes that we’ve covered in detail in our annual letter of July 29th and in our September investor day. Our Q3 earnings document highlights recent examples in a number of categories. First, elevated products are fueling a step function improvement in our per customer lifetime value and our wallet share. Every quarter, we’re improving our ability to help millions of businesses build their brands, stand out, and grow thanks to our customized physical marketing products and branded merchandise.
One metric which demonstrates our progress is that Vistaprint’s variable gross profit per customer grew 13% year-over-year in Q3, and that’s also our 13th consecutive quarter of growth in this metric. We see similar themes in our Upload and Print businesses as well. Second, investments in the Cimpress MCP, in our manufacturing operations, in cross-Cimpress fulfillment, and in artificial intelligence are reducing COGS and operating expenses while increasing the velocity of new product introductions and user experience improvements. In the earnings document, we provide multiple examples of where we are leveraging our deep expertise and scale advantages in manufacturing, where we’re using AI to improve customer experiences and to drive operating leverage. Where we’re using our shared software services to reduce costs and improve performance, and where we are growing the collaboration between our businesses, for example, deploying shared marketing capabilities.
Third, we continue to march along a clear path to fiscal 2028 adjusted EBITDA of at least $600 million and significantly lower leverage. Progress in the areas I just spoke about has allowed us to start driving down the cost of goods sold and drive up the operating efficiencies that support our previously communicated plan to achieve these financial results. Our gross profit is growing in part due to the scale advantages we have in manufacturing, new product introductions, and many production optimizations within our plants and between Cimpress businesses. We expect more financial benefits in fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2028 as larger COGS efficiencies from ongoing manufacturing network optimizations kick in. Our new production facility startup costs, which are currently burdening our P&L, shift to incremental profitability thanks to volume growth.
Additionally, we drove advertising efficiency in Q3 while continuing to grow revenue and gross profit. We expect more here in the coming years as we launch more elevated products that grow our wallet share with higher value customers. We also implemented several OpEx reductions this quarter that will generate annualized savings of, excuse me, of $11 million between Vistaprint and National Pen. In last year’s earnings, I’m sorry, in last night’s earnings release, we announced two tuck-in acquisitions that we made in April. The first is PrintBrothers’ acquisition of 85% of Truyol. They’re the Spanish leader for elevated brand building print, packaging, and signage products. This acquisition allows us to expand our product offering into higher end products while capturing immediate cost synergies through materials and shipping savings, which we bring due to our much larger purchasing power. Second, we’ve taken a s...
50% stake with operating control in Mixam. That will marry Mixam’s market-leading customer experience from books, catalogs, and magazines with the Print Group’s manufacturing strength and their experience for these products. Both of these are in our Upload and Print segment. We see them as great examples of where we can allocate capital to tuck-in acquisitions. We expect each of these acquisitions to generate base case returns on our capital well in excess of 20%. They continue a string of about a half dozen acquisitions within our Upload and Print segments over the past three years. They are positioning us to bring our mass customization capabilities into the core of the very large markets, which still remain offline with traditional and less competitive production techniques.
We always horse race the capital we allocate to acquisitions against share repurchases, against debt re-reduction, and against organic capabilities development. We generally have a higher hurdle rate for acquisitions given their typically higher risk. Our experience in these particular types of tuck-ins is that they are proving to be relatively low risk because of the attractive prices we’re paying relative to the post-synergy cash flow. In other words, they’re proving to be relatively low risk, high return capital outlays. To sum it up, we’re executing well, and we remain confident in our multi-year plan to significantly grow profits and to significantly reduce our net leverage. We are strengthening the value we deliver to customers, increasing operational efficiency, and accelerating the velocity with which we drive these improvements.
We still have more work to do to deliver the shareholder returns we expect, but we are on the right path, and our path is clear. I’ll turn things over to Sean to discuss the financial results of the quarter and our outlook.
Sean Quinn, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Cimpress: Great. Thanks a lot, Robert, and thanks everyone for joining us today. Cimpress delivered a strong third quarter. Our adjusted EBITDA surpassed $100 million for the first time in a Q3 period, growing 11% year-over-year. With strong year-to-date execution, we’re again raising our fiscal 2026 revenue and profit guidance, which I’ll go through in a moment. Consolidated Q3 revenue grew 12% on a reported basis and 4% on an organic constant currency basis. Reported revenue was again aided by currency tailwinds and also the acquisition in our PrintBrothers segment that we completed during the second quarter. Vistaprint revenue grew 7% on a reported basis and 3% on an organic constant currency basis. The expected decline in business cards and stationery was more than offset by growth in our elevated products.
As we noted in last night’s release, severe weather in North America dampened results during January and February, and then we saw an acceleration in growth in March. Our Upload and Print businesses combined organic constant currency revenue grew 8%, driven by order count growth and cross-Cimpress fulfillment, with support also from regional elections. Reported revenue for these businesses grew 26% combined with currency benefits and again, the tuck-in acquisition that we made in Q2, which contributed $15 million to reported revenue during the quarter. Turning to profitability, adjusted EBITDA was $100.5 million in Q3, an increase of $9.8 million year-over-year. Q3 consolidated gross profit grew 10%, the result of revenue growth, cost improvements, benefits from currency, and again, the tuck-in acquisition.
We did have $3.3 million of production startup costs for the expansion of our North American production network, which weighed on EBITDA, although that was mostly offset by currency benefits of $2.7 million in the quarter. Adjusted free cash flow declined to $23.9 million to an outflow of $54.6 million. As I think most of you know, Q3 for us is typically a seasonal working capital outflow. That working capital outflow was higher this year, mostly due to timing, but also unfavorable currency movements on working capital. Cash taxes were also about $5 million higher compared to last year. From a balance sheet perspective, net leverage at the end of Q3 was 3.0 times our trailing twelve months EBITDA.
That’s as calculated under our credit agreement. That’s consistent with last quarter, despite the fact that we repurchased approximately 288,000 shares at an average price of $76 per share in Q3. Maybe just as a point of reference, we have not purchased any shares in April. Turning now to our guidance, we again raised our revenue and profit expectations for fiscal 2026 based on the strong Q3 results, also our expectations for the remainder of the year. It’s worth noting that we do expect to experience cost increases associated with recent increases in energy and oil prices. That is factored into this updated guidance.
For the full year, we now expect revenue growth of 9%-10% after incorporating the recent acquisitions and currency benefits. That translates to 4%-5% growth on an organic constant currency basis. We expect net income of at least $87 million and adjusted EBITDA of at least $465 million. We expect operating cash flow of approximately $298 million-$303 million. Adjusted free cash flow of approximately $130 million-$135 million. We expect net leverage to be at or below 3.0 times by the end of fiscal 2026. That is also a slight improvement from our prior guidance. As we start to look now ahead to fiscal 2027, we’re gonna provide more specifics with our year-end release in July.
We thought it was appropriate to start to share a little bit more as we expect to take another significant step towards our fiscal 28 targets next year in terms of adjusted EBITDA growth. We’re still finalizing our plans for fiscal 27, but we do expect adjusted EBITDA growth next year to be in excess of 10%. We also expect to have meaningful growth in adjusted free cash flow, and I think it’s worth spending a few minutes here. Our free cash flow conversion this year was lower. That was expected based on the guidance that we have had in place throughout the year. Capital expenditures and cash taxes were both higher this year. There’s also some timing in working capital. I just mentioned that was unfavorable for Q3. From a working capital perspective, there’s nothing structural to that.
It’s really, for us, it’s not unusual to have some variability there. In fiscal 2027, we expect the growth that we’ll have in adjusted EBITDA that I just referenced, greater than 10%, to have much more flow-through to free cash flow. I’ll just go through a couple components there to set expectations. Capital expenditures we expect to still be at similar levels to this year as we complete the ongoing projects that we have in place. We do expect capitalized software to be relatively flat. We expect cash taxes to be lower next year, and we expect working capital inflows to be more favorable. When you put that all together, we expect to have significant free cash flow growth in fiscal 2027.
As Robert noted earlier, we do remain confident in our ability to deliver our fiscal 2028 targets, which I’ll again reiterate as 4%-6% organic constant currency revenue growth, at least $200 million in net income, adjusted EBITDA of at least $600 million, adjusted EBITDA to free cash flow conversion of approximately 45%. Just doing the math, that implies at least $270 million of free cash flow. From a leverage perspective, we expect to exit fiscal 2027 with net leverage of approximately 2.5 times, and exit fiscal 2028 with net leverage below 2.0 times, subject to capital allocation choices. Each quarter this year, we’ve provided increased visibility to the pillars of how we’ll meet those fiscal 2028 targets. Of course, you know, we still have more to go.
If you go back to our September investor day, I went through a session that walked from fiscal 2025 adjusted EBITDA to the at least $600 million in fiscal 2028. In each of those pillars, we’ve made good progress. I just wanted to run through them each quickly now. Starting with the growth in fiscal 2026, our latest guidance that I just went through is now $15 million higher than the guidance that we started the year with. We still feel good about the $70 million-$80 million in efficiency gains we had in that bridge, the midpoint there, $75 million, that we expect to have exiting fiscal 2027. We touched on some tangible examples of these initiatives in last night’s earnings and throughout the call so far today.
Just to reiterate, we have meaningful COGS efficiencies from manufacturing projects from our work with focused production hubs and cross-Cimpress fulfillment. From an AI standpoint, we’re seeing productivity improvements, and that extends well beyond the examples that we provided in the letter. Increased collaboration between Vistaprint, National Pen, and BuildASign, including shared software services and marketing capabilities is starting to take hold. Other operating cost efficiencies, including the $11 million of annualized cost reductions that we’ve already actioned between Vistaprint and National Pen late in Q3, as we talked about as well in the release last night. Our work on this one’s not done in terms of the overall cost savings, but we remain confident in our ability to deliver this pillar, and these are clear examples of our progress.
The next pillar is the planned start-up cost, which we expect to roll off as planned. That one is just math. On the M&A front, we touched on this in the letter as well, but with the three tuck-in acquisitions this year, we expect contribution in fiscal 2027 to be approximately 125 million of revenue and $13 million of adjusted EBITDA. That’s well above the $10 million of adjusted EBITDA over a two-year period that was in that bridge. We’re ahead of plan there. Currency contribution is also tracking ahead of plan as well. The original contribution of which was set at $10 million total for fiscal 2027 and 2028 combined in that bridge. We’re tracking ahead of that.
The last pillar was just mathematically, what do you have to believe from organic growth contribution to get to at least $600 million of adjusted EBITDA? When you update for everything I just stepped through, that leaves a minimal contribution needed from organic growth over the next few years to get to at least $600 million of adjusted EBITDA. Our results for this year and the momentum that we’re building based on the progress that Robert outlined earlier leaves us confident here as well. Achieving these fiscal 2028 targets will generate very meaningful per share free cash flow growth and also significantly reduce our net leverage. From the board down through our teams, we’re laser-focused on this. With that, Meredith, let’s turn it over to questions.
Meredith Burns, Vice President of Investor Relations and Sustainability, Cimpress: Fantastic. Thanks, Sean. As a reminder, you can submit questions during this webcast via the questions and answers box at the bottom left of the screen. We did have a few pre-submitted questions, and then we’ll jump into live questions as we get them. Our 1st question is for you, Sean. Can you explain why currency is benefiting operating income and EBITDA, but it had a negative impact on free cash flow this quarter?
Sean Quinn, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Cimpress: Truly. That’s been a theme throughout the year that currency has benefited adjusted EBITDA. As I just said in the remarks on our forward-looking guidance as we really for fiscal 2028, but it’s true for fiscal 2027 as well. We continue to expect currency to be favorable year-over-year in 2027 and 2028 from an adjusted EBITDA perspective. That really just has to do with the direction of travel of our main currencies relative to the dollar. The euro being our largest net exposure from an adjusted EBITDA perspective. We, you know, we have a currency hedging program where we average in over each quarter for some currencies over a two-year period, for some currencies over a one-year period, depending on our forecast visibility.
That means that as rates change, there’s a little bit of a delayed, a delayed effect of when we either benefit or get hurt from those currency changes. Right now, you know, we’re certainly in this, in this period of getting help from that. That’s, that’s the story from an adjusted EBITDA perspective. Like I said, because we average in each quarter and we contract out for our, for our largest exposures over a 2-year period, that gives us visibility also to, you know, what we expect in fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2028, which will continue in the direction of positive impact. We mentioned that the currency impact on working capital was negative. That operates under a little bit of a different dynamic.
What we saw in Q3, I mean, just to do the kind of maybe an illustration of how the math works. You know, we have at the end of a December quarter, we typically have, you know, a bunch of liabilities in our working capital that then get flushed out in Q3, and the opposite is true, you know, in Q2 and Q4. If you think about it, at the end of December of 2024, I don’t have the rates in front of me, but I think the EUR, that’s our largest exposure, the EUR was at, I think 1.04 or thereabout. At the end of December of 2025, it was somewhere around 1.16.
If you imagine you have, just for illustration, EUR 100 million of liabilities that’ll flush through in Q3, at the end of December 2024, that was worth $104 million. At the end of December 2025, that was worth $116 million, in US dollar terms, that has a negative impact when you have an outflow quarter from working capital. The opposite is true as well, right? In Q2, because it’s a large working capital inflow quarter, also for Q4, the quarter that we’re now in, is typically a large working capital inflow quarter. There we benefit from that dynamic. That’s all normal stuff.
Over the course of a year tends to even out and certainly over a multiyear period. That was the dynamic that we had in Q3.
Meredith Burns, Vice President of Investor Relations and Sustainability, Cimpress: Thank you, Sean Quinn. All right. I am going to, I’m gonna go to Robert for the next question. Robert, here’s some more math. This is a fun call. We got a lot of math. Robert, am I calculating correctly that you paid $35 million for 3 acquisitions that are expected to yield $13 million of adjusted EBITDA next year? Is that less than 3 times forward EBITDA, or am I missing something?
Robert Keane, Founder, Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer, Cimpress: Your math is correct. But it is important to note that math is based on our consolidated reporting, and we have two of the acquisitions where we purchased less than 100% because the founder of each of those has stayed active and kept his investment or each of their investments in the businesses they founded. And we really like that. It creates great aligned incentives for both Cimpress and the founder. As we noted, we bought 85% of Truyol. We expect to pay for the full acquisition amount the 85% over 3 years. So not of all that is upfront, but it will be a small use of cash in fiscal 2027 and 2028. We also bought 50% of Mixam.
The implied valuation is higher if you’re calculating off the enterprise value of 100% ownership. That being said, even if you adjust for that, we paid very attractive multiples of both profit, of EBITDA, of cash flow, and our base case returns on the capital are also very attractive with a relatively short payback.
Meredith Burns, Vice President of Investor Relations and Sustainability, Cimpress: Thank you, Robert. Okay, question for Sean on leverage. Sean, how will you be able to keep net leverage at 3 times trailing twelve-month EBITDA at the end of Q4 when you have already spent $25 million on M&A in April and your free cash flow guidance has come down?
Sean Quinn, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Cimpress: Mm-hmm. Yeah. The way it works under our credit agreement is we’re able to take credit for trailing 12 months EBITDA when we do an acquisition. We don’t get just what, you know, what is in our reported results, but we look back over a 12-month period. That makes sense. We also get to take pro forma benefit from any synergies that we expect to have. There we’re limited to the things that are under our control. That tends to be the things that are on the cost side, you know, procurement savings and the like. The updated guidance that we provided for at least $465 million, that implies further year-over-year EBITDA growth in Q4.
Obviously that plays into the leverage expectations for the end of Q4 as well. If you do the math on our full year free cash flow guidance, you know, as is typical, like Q4 is a large free cash flow quarter. We do expect significant free cash flow in Q4 as well. At the midpoint of the guidance range, it’s somewhere around $80 million if you just do that math. That’s how you get to the leverage guidance that we provided.
Just referencing back to the prior question as well that Robert just answered, we did pay less than 3 times for the recent M&A because of the dynamics that Robert just went through.
Meredith Burns, Vice President of Investor Relations and Sustainability, Cimpress: Thank you. Sean, I’m gonna stick with you on this next one. We get this question every quarter. Can you please comment on each segment’s revenue performance in the month of April versus last year? What trends have you noticed?
Sean Quinn, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Cimpress: Yeah. We try not to get into too much detail on, you know, a particular month’s performance. We’ll stay true to that here. Yeah, I think, I mean, I think the main takeaways and, you know, I can understand why this question gets asked, especially in the current environment. I think the key takeaways are, one, you know, we felt comfortable increasing our guidance for the full year. Obviously, we only have one quarter left, that’s based on what we’re seeing in April. It’s also based on our forecast for the rest of the year. I think that’s a signal of confidence.
I know that there’s obviously a lot of focus right now on the health of SMBs, the health of consumers from a demand perspective. I’ll just say we haven’t seen a change there in April. We feel good about the updated guidance that we provided. I’ll just also reiterate the guidance that we have provided, which is increased for revenue and profitability, does also consider increased fuel and energy costs in that guidance. You know, we will have some of that in Q4.
Meredith Burns, Vice President of Investor Relations and Sustainability, Cimpress: Thanks, Sean. Robert, I’m gonna shift to you for the next one. You bought some shares this quarter, and your board authorized more purchases. That was in March, for anybody who missed it, $200 million authorization that replaced the last one. Will there be more repurchases in Q4?
Robert Keane, Founder, Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer, Cimpress: We don’t provide forward guidance about repurchases. I will describe how we think about it. It’s the same as we’ve said many times before. First of all, we do want to repurchase shares when we think they are undervalued, and we do think our shares are still undervalued, although less so than earlier this year. Second, like any capital allocation, we horse race share repurchases against other options, and we’re in a cycle of higher than normal CapEx, where we see excellent returns. As we discussed a few moments ago, we have some very attractive tuck-in M&A acquisition opportunities. We just have to take those into account. Third, just the cash available, we are solving for a number of different things in fiscal 2026.
Sean’s talked about higher cash taxes, unfavorable net working capital timing, and very importantly, our commitment to deleverage, plus the normal seasonality of business. We do have a very strong balance sheet, strong liquidity. We think we’d be able to continue to have attractive capital allocation opportunities in the future. We certainly will continue to look at share buybacks as a use of that. Again, I would go back to that leverage once again because we have called for our net leverage to be below, at or below 3 times by the end of this quarter. It’s really something that’s important to us to achieve.
Meredith Burns, Vice President of Investor Relations and Sustainability, Cimpress: Thanks, Robert. Okay, Sean, a question for you. Based on everything you went through at the opening of the call, why aren’t you updating your FY 2028 targets at this point? I know you said there’s still work to do on the cost savings piece, every other part of that bridge was favorable.
Sean Quinn, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Cimpress: Yeah. I think it’s a fair question and fully expected that question. If you take a step back, you know, we put these targets in place I think the first time we started to talk about them was in Robert’s letter to investors at the end of July, so we’re talking about less than 1 year ago. That was just after we finished a year where we did a little over $430 million in adjusted EBITDA. At the time, you know, we were basically saying that we’d grow our adjusted EBITDA around 40%, I think it’s, yeah, 39% or something over the next 3 years. Also with, you know, pretty sizably improved free cash flow conversion on that as well.
That’s a lot of growth, just to keep things in perspective. When we put the targets in place, we did it as this at-least framework. You know, we had that in the guidance that we’ve used throughout this year as well. That, of course, means could be higher. From the board down through the management team, we’re completely committed to delivering what we said we would do. Hopefully, it’s clear from what we outlined at the beginning of the call earlier that we’re making good progress, and we’re confident that we’ll meet or exceed those targets. You know, we still have a long way to go.
Our updated guidance for fiscal 2026 that we just went through is $465 million, yeah, we still have a long way to go to make sure that we deliver against the at least $600 million over the next, you know, 2 or so years. In our view, I think if you, if you just model out what the free cash flow per share would be in fiscal 2028 based on the targets that we have, and also, you know, with knowledge that that would also imply, you know, significantly lower leverage, and that’s part of our targets as well. I don’t think that these fiscal 2028 targets are today reflected in how we’re valued.
We’ll keep updating each quarter on our progress, but we’re going to leave our fiscal 2028 targets as they are. There are certainly areas that we’re ahead of plan based on what I shared earlier. I think the main takeaway for investors should be that the probability of achievement has continued to increase each quarter based on the progress that we’re making and the specific examples that we’ve shared. It is an at-least framework, so we’re certainly, you know, we certainly could end higher. But we have two years to go, and we don’t want to get ahead of ourselves because we want to be sure that if we provide a committed target that we, you know, we’re sure that we hit it.
Meredith Burns, Vice President of Investor Relations and Sustainability, Cimpress: Great. Thank you, Sean. Sean, I’m gonna stick with you for the next few questions here. First up, are you able to estimate how much of a revenue benefit the Upload and Print business has got from regional elections during Q3?
Sean Quinn, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Cimpress: We don’t. We didn’t break that out. Every quarter there’s, you know, there’s always some, you know, change in activity. This quarter there happened to be in some countries in Europe some nice volume growth attached to regional elections, and that tends to impact, you know, a few products in particular. You know, it wasn’t, like, the dominant trend by any stretch, but it definitely was a help, including in France. We were not gonna break out that specifically. You know, for posters, flyers, you know, there was definitely some help there. It’s sometimes hard to break, like the.
It’s not like, you know, we can see it, overall in the volume, but it’s not like we’re scanning the content of every order and then trying to categorize that as if we’re an election or not. So that’s why it’s a little bit difficult to break that out, and we don’t seek to do that externally. Definitely helped this quarter.
Meredith Burns, Vice President of Investor Relations and Sustainability, Cimpress: Thanks, Sean. Next question for you. Can you provide more color on the weather disruptions to Vistaprint’s revenue in January and February?
Sean Quinn, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Cimpress: Yeah. If you’ll recall, in each of January and February, there were some very significant snowstorms. You know, typically, like, you know, if we’ll look at bookings for, you know, each day on a map, right? You can see that, you can see that by state, year-over-year trends, et cetera. You can get more specific than that, you know, if you really wanna drill down even further geographically. You know, imagine you’re looking at a map, and you can see, you know, a bunch of green and red based on, you know, year-over-year bookings.
Typically what would happen when there is a severe snowstorm is, you know, all the, you know, the impacted states that you might expect if it was happening in the Northeast or if it was happening in the Midwest or whatever, you know, you could see very clearly in that visualization the states that are impacted. Yeah, that’s pretty normal stuff. One of the things that was different about the large storm that hit in January was that it also, across the Southeast, you know, there were significant issues with the, you know, electrical grid freezing and winds and freezing rain.
There were a lot of states where there were significant power outages, and of course, that impacts people’s both focus on coming to Vistaprint in this case, and ordering what they need. Also ability, right? ’Cause they were they had power outages. We can see when that happens, we can see it very clearly, what states are impacted or whatever. That was just a broader impact than what we would typically see when there’s a snowstorm in the winter months. That’s what we’re referring to, and it’s a real thing. It has a real impact. That dampened the results in January.
There were some similar storms in February that were pretty severe. Then as we got to the towards the end of February and then into March, you know, in Vistaprint, we saw a definitive acceleration in results, leading to overall a strong quarter for Vistaprint.
Meredith Burns, Vice President of Investor Relations and Sustainability, Cimpress: Thanks, Sean. Okay. Can you provide more color on the cost increases that you expect from energy prices, and will you look to offset that with price increases?
Sean Quinn, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Cimpress: Yeah. Well, there’s, obviously, you know, energy prices or oil prices are at some point an input to, you know, a lot of our either raw materials or logistics costs, inbound freight, outbound freight. There’s certainly impact. Some of that impact is a little bit delayed, depending on the respective supply chain for the particular material. On the logistics side of things, again, for inbound freight, outbound logistics, that’s a little bit more, you know, real time. You know, the way a lot of our, for example, outbound logistics work is that, you know, contractually there’s a fuel surcharge that is a variable that, you know, can go up or down depending on, you know, where oil prices are and if they’re outside of a certain bound.
Anyway, so the cost, you know, the cost increases, you know, will happen, they’re real, and I think that’s to be expected. We do expect that in large part, you know, we would be looking to pass these on from a price standpoint, and to the extent that, you know, the increase specifically in oil prices and the flow through that impact that has on logistics costs, especially for outbound logistics, that also then, you know, as hopefully those prices at some point normalize, that we would then, you know, bring that back down. So, you know, there’s certainly, we’ll have some cost impact in Q4. You know, it’s not overly material, but it’s notable.
We do expect that much of that will be offset by price increases, yes.
Meredith Burns, Vice President of Investor Relations and Sustainability, Cimpress: Thank you, Sean. That brings us to the end of our pre-submitted and live questions. I’m gonna turn the call back over to Robert to wrap things up.
Robert Keane, Founder, Chairman, and Chief Executive Officer, Cimpress: Thanks, Meredith. The key takeaways from our announcement today are we’ve raised our FY 2026 revenue and profit guidance for the second time. We certainly expect to end the year, the fiscal year with net leverage that is more favorable than our prior guidance. Strategically and operationally, we’re progressing in key areas that I discussed briefly today, that we covered in much more detail in my July letter to investors and in our September investor day. At the top level, what we continue to do is enable millions of businesses to build their brand, stand out, and grow by leveraging our core competitive strengths to manufacturing and supply chain excellence, and by continuing to improve the customer experience and to drive efficiency gains.
Our ongoing progress reinforces our confidence in our path to fiscal 2028 EBITDA of at least $600 million and approximately 45% free cash flow conversion, coupled with significant reductions in net leverage. Achieving that result should really drive significant returns for long-term investors. I’ll wrap up by saying thank you again for joining the call, and thank you for continuing to entrust your capital with us. Have a great day. This does conclude today’s program. Thank you all for joining, and you may disconnect.