Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Call - Margin-first turnaround sets path to ecosystem-driven profitability
Summary
Management presented a deliberate, margin-first turnaround story. Q4 revenue dropped as the company culled low-margin SKUs and vendors, but gross margin and adjusted EBITDA showed material improvement, and leadership laid out a three-pillar ecosystem plan that leans heavily on acquisitions, integration, and technology to convert retail traffic into higher-margin services and recurring revenue.
The near-term script is steady, not flashy. E-commerce is being stabilized and modestly grown, Kirkland’s is expected to close in Q2 with a 90-120 day integration window, and two other pillar-level transformative deals are in process. The company is not banking on a housing recovery, yet it expects the assembled ecosystem to capture outsized margin upside if housing normalizes.
Key Takeaways
- Q4 revenue declined 10% year-over-year, and would be down 6% excluding the wind-down of Canadian operations.
- Adjusted EBITDA loss for Q4 was $4 million, an 84% improvement versus Q4 2024 (about a $23 million swing).
- Full year adjusted EBITDA loss was $31 million, a $113 million improvement year-over-year.
- Gross margin improved to 24.6% in Q4 and 24.7% for the full year, a 160 basis point quarterly gain and a 390 basis point full-year gain driven by vendor negotiations, better mix, tighter inventory controls, and freight/returns changes.
- Management intentionally cut low-contribution SKUs and vendors, prioritizing margin integrity over headline revenue growth.
- Average order value rose 7% in Q4, while orders delivered increased 13% versus Q3 2025, reflecting better assortment and channel mix (more sales into Overstock).
- Cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and inventory totaled $207 million at quarter end, and operating cash usage improved by roughly $118 million year-over-year (a 67% improvement).
- Leadership achieved a targeted ~$150 million annual run-rate reduction in fixed costs, with G&A and tech expenses down $15 million year-over-year in Q4.
- Company framework is a three-pillar ecosystem: Pillar 1 omnichannel retail (Bed Bath & Beyond, Overstock, buybuy BABY and Kirkland’s on close, plus an additional in-principle omni transaction expected to add ~$500 million revenue).
- Pillar 2 is protection, advocacy, brokerage and financial solutions, including insurance, warranties, title, mortgages/HELOCs, and a planned scaled residential brokerage acquisition to drive origination.
- Pillar 3 is home services, installation and maintenance (flooring, cabinetry, closets, renovation and pro labor networks), which management says carries >40% gross margins and will lift consolidated profitability over time.
- Kirkland’s transaction expected to close around April 1, Q2 will be an integration quarter with 90-120 days to execute core synergies; Q3 should show meaningful flow-through and Q4 could be the first margin-positive quarter if milestones are met.
- Management is not assuming a housing recovery in its baseline plan, but says a normalization of housing would materially accelerate upside, potentially to mid- to high-single-digit EBITDA margins over time.
- Technology and data are strategic levers, including pilots with instant checkout/chat, AI tools for conversion and pricing, and a proposed home operating system and blockchain-based ledger (LifeChain/Lightchain AI) to capture durable homeowner and home records.
- The company will operate acquired businesses with independent, subject-matter leaders while centralizing finance, data and loyalty wrappers (partnered with Bilt/Built), positioning Bed Bath & Beyond as an aggregator, not a consolidator.
Full Transcript
Operator: Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us, and welcome to the Q4 2025 Bed Bath & Beyond, Inc. Earnings Conference Call. After today’s prepared remarks, we will host a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, press star 1 again. I will now hand the call over to Melissa Smith, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary. Please go ahead.
Melissa Smith, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: Thank you, operator. Good afternoon. Welcome to Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.’s fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings conference call. Joining me today on the call are Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Marcus Lemonis, and President and Chief Financial Officer, Adrianne Lee.
Today’s discussion and our responses to your questions reflect management’s views as of today, February 23rd, 2026, and may include forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, statements relating to our future business strategy, goals, financial performance, outlook for the remainder of the quarter or for any other period, anticipated growth, stock price, profitability, macroeconomic conditions, the value of any of our brands and investments, relationships with third parties and agreements we are entering into with them, margin improvement, expense reduction, marketing efficiencies, conversion, customer experience, changes to brands or websites, product offerings, the merger agreement with The Brand House Collective, blockchain efforts and strategies, tokenization efforts and strategies, and the timing of any of the foregoing. Actual results could differ materially from such statements. Additional information about...
risks, uncertainties, and other important factors that could potentially impact our financial results is included in our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024, in our Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2025, and in our subsequent filings with the SEC. During this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures. Our filings with the SEC, including our fourth quarter and full-year earnings release, which is available on our investor relations website at investors.beyond.com, contain additional disclosures regarding these non-GAAP measures, including reconciliations of these measures to the most comparable GAAP measures. Following management’s prepared remarks, we will open the call for questions. A slide presentation with supporting data is available for download on our investor relations website. Please review the important forward-looking statements disclosure on slide 2 of that presentation. With that, let me turn the call over to you, Marcus.
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: Thanks, Melissa. I’m here with Adrianne as well. I’m sure that some of you are in New York City. You, for the first time, are experiencing more snow than we have in Salt Lake, so happy skiing to everybody out there. Good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for joining us. 2025 was about stabilizing and building the base of this business. 2026 is about growing that base and expanding it within the framework of our three-pillar ecosystem architecture. That framework that we announced on January fifth remains unchanged. Over the last eight quarters, we have delivered consistent year-over-year EBITDA improvement, while materially lowering the break-even level of the company. That discipline continued in the fourth quarter. Revenue declined year-over-year, largely reflecting housing market softness and our deliberate decision to eliminate vendors and SKUs that generated negative contribution margin.
We chose margin integrity over headline revenue. That was intentional, and it’s also in our past. Importantly, the year-over-year revenue gap narrowed meaningfully in the fourth quarter, while adjusted EBITDA loss improved by more than $23 million or 84% on lower revenue. We also delivered meaningful gross profit margin improvement in 2025 compared to 2024, despite tariff headwinds and an unpredictable sourcing environment. That improvement reflects better vendor negotiations, improved product mix, tighter inventory controls, and a more efficient operating structure. Our margin performance is increasingly structural, not cyclical. In 2026, our objective is to advance and progress our margins toward 25%, the midpoint of our 24%-26% framework. Over time, as omni-channel scales increases and ecosystem synergies compound, we believe we can break through 26% and ultimately reset the original range higher. That progression is gonna take time.
We will not compromise top-line growth or customer value simply to form for short-term margin expansion. We believe the true base of the business has now been established in 2025. We are seeing low to mid-single-digit year-over-year increases in revenue growth early in the year and are targeting low to mid-single-digit revenue growth for the full year 2026, based on current trends. While we’re not providing formal guidance, it is important because the company is in an active building phase, growing its base business while layering in complementary acquisitions across each of the three pillars. We believe it is important to provide directional clarity so investors understand how performance should progress quarter by quarter and across the full year. This is a build. It is sequenced, and it is deliberate, much like the last eight quarters.
We expect continued year-over-year improvement, that improvement will not be linear. It will follow integration timing and execution milestones. In the first quarter, we expect year-over-year revenue growth and EBITDA improvement of at least 30% compared to Q1 of last year. This reflects stabilization of the base business and continued cost discipline. In quarter two, we expect to close on the Kirkland’s transaction on or around April first. Q2 will reflect parcel ownership and will include transition and integration activity. It will not reflect the full benefit of merger synergies. We expect approximately 90-120 days following the closing to execute meaningful integration initiatives, including consolidation of overlapping corporate costs, vendor contract alignment and purchasing leverage, shared services optimization, supply chain integration, technology integration, and merchandising alignment. There will be transaction costs and transition costs associated with the merger and integration.
Q2 should be viewed as an integration quarter, not a fully synergized quarter, but the base business will have increased revenue and will have improvement on the bottom line as it relates to EBITDA. Q3, integration work should be executed, and Q2 should begin to flow through the financials in a more meaningful way. We expect positive top-line growth and improved operating leverage with a stretch objective to approach breakeven. By Q4, assuming integration milestones are achieved, we expect positive top-line growth again and improved margin leverage with an opportunity in Q4 for profitability. This framework reflects disciplined execution, not reliance on a housing recovery. Everything we are building fits into 1 of 3 defined pillars. I outlined them on my January 5th letter and again today on my February 23rd shareholder letter. Nothing sits outside the framework that I’ve provided.
The architecture is the filter through which we evaluate every deal, every acquisition, and every decision. We are aggregators, not consolidators. A consolidator requires similar businesses to reduce costs and drive margin through scale. An aggregator, which we are, builds a connected system of complementary capabilities that strengthen one another. Later on, you’ll be able to check our investor site to see the graphic that we’ve posted, one-sheet graphic that will show you what that ecosystem looks like. We are building integration, not accumulation. Pillar 1 is pretty simple. It’s our omnichannel business. It includes brands like Bed Bath & Beyond, Overstock, buybuy BABY, and Kirkland’s, upon closing. Including Kirkland’s, this pillar approximates $1.5 billion in annualized revenue, with an additional omnichannel transaction agreed to in principle with the sellers, expected to add an additional $500 million in top line.
Look, retail drives engagement, purchasing leverage, and customer acquisition. Pillar two is our protection, advocacy, brokerage, and financial solutions pillar. It includes property and casualty insurance, renters insurance, home warranties, product warranties, title services, renovations and renovation financing, mortgages and HELOCs, a credit union prop partnership, and a scaled residential brokerage network. The brokerage platform is critical. We are pursuing the acquisition or development of a scaled residential brokerage network as we speak, of thousands and ultimately tens of thousands of agents. Protection and advocacy come first. When trust is established, customers give us permission to extend those services. Financial services is an extension of trust, not the starting point. Pillar three is our home services, installation, and maintenance infrastructure. It includes flooring, cabinetry, closets and storage systems, carpeting, renovation services, professional installation, repair, and maintenance networks. The differentiator is the installation labor model.
Most homeowners cannot self-install flooring, cabinetry, or renovation materials. Installation is required. By building a professional labor network, we create higher transaction values, stronger attachment rates, greater customer stickiness, and ongoing maintenance engagement. This infrastructure converts retail demand into completed projects and allows brokerage origination to flow into renovation activity. For all of this to work, you got to make sure that everything has a unifying layer. Surrounding all three pillars is our proprietary loyalty and identity wrapper, executed in partnership with Built. We’re also building a broader home operating system. The home operating system connects the homeowner and the home through durable digital records around protection, financing, renovation history, installation records, warranties, public records, surveys, titles, deeds, and maintenance events. Lightchain AI supports this infrastructure by creating durable records around both the homeowner and the home itself on blockchain. Without this layer, these are separate businesses.
With it, they become an integrated ecosystem. A key priority in 2026 is accelerated implementation of modern technology across the enterprise. Yes, that includes AI. We are deploying tools that increase conversion, improve inventory productivity, optimize pricing, enhance marketing efficiency, and reduce operating costs. Technology is a performance lever designed to drive revenue up and costs down simultaneously. At this point, I’ll turn the call over to Adrianne to walk through our fourth quarter and full year financial results in greater detail. Adrianne?
Adrianne Lee, President and Chief Financial Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: Thank you, Marcus, for your insight into the significant financial progress we made in 2025 and our strategic path forward, as you mentioned, outlined in your shareholder letters. I will now turn to our fourth quarter financial results, which highlight the achievement of consistent earnings improvement throughout 2025, and the material progress towards our committed targets to restore our retail operating discipline. Revenue declined 10% year-over-year in the fourth quarter, and 6% if you exclude the impact of discontinuing our operations in Canada. AOV improved 7%, driven by our continued focus on improving assortment on the Bed Bath site and an increased sales mix into Overstock. This was partially offset by less orders delivered in the quarter versus 2024. However, I am pleased orders delivered increased 13% in the fourth quarter versus third quarter of 2025.
Gross margin landed at 24.6% for the quarter, a 160 basis point improvement compared to the same period last year. For the full year, we improved gross margin by 390 basis points to 24.7%, driven by structural changes in freight contracts and returns economics, as well as continued pricing and discounting rigor. We expected quarterly gross margin to be in the 24%-26% range, impacted by seasonality, emerging categories, and competitive landscape, and delivered just that. Sales and marketing decreased by $15 million or improved efficiency by 350 basis points as a % of revenue versus last year. It’s important to note our full year spend efficiency improved by close to 350 basis points, another meaningful improvement to earnings power.
We continue to navigate the balance of driving revenue and maintaining our ROAS guardrails, while improving the site experience and sharpening pricing. We maintained our internal guardrails, launched retention tools, improved own channel, and now need to optimize these tools and learnings for growth. G&A and tech expense of $33 million decreased by $15 million year-over-year as a result of our commitment to reduce fixed costs through right-sizing the organization, prioritizing efforts, and mandating productivity. I am pleased that we exceeded our commitment to achieve a $150 million annual run rate. All-in adjusted EBITDA came in at a loss of $4 million, an 84% or $23 million improvement versus the fourth quarter of 2024. Full year adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $31 million, a $113 million improvement versus 2024.
Reported diluted EPS was a loss of $0.30 per share, an 82% or $1.36 improvement year-over-year. Notably, full year net loss improved by $174 million, and reported diluted EPS improved by 75% or $4.15. We ended the quarter with cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and inventory balance of $207 million. Full year cash used in operating activities improved year-over-year by more than $118 million or 67%, illustrating significant progress against the transformation initiatives and stabilization of the retail operations. 2025’s performance reflects significant, measurable, and importantly, swift progress in retaining our core retail operating discipline and materially reducing the expense to run the business. This is evidenced by the $113 million or 79% improvement in adjusted EBITDA year-over-year.
As always, we will remain focused on continuous improvement, finding efficient ways to create a more variable cost structure with an intense focus on driving top-line growth. With that, I would like to turn the call back to Marcus.
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: Let me close with one broader perspective. Thanks, Adrianne. Our current plan does not assume a housing recovery. As mortgage rates moderate and transaction volumes return towards historical mid-cycle levels, the ecosystem we are assembling is positioned to benefit from that normalization. When incremental demand is layered on top of a fully integrated platform with merger synergies realized and structural costs aligned, we believe the company has potential over time to generate substantial mid-single-digit to high-single-digit EBITDA margins. That expectation reflects disciplined execution and a normal housing environment, not aggressive assumptions. 2025 stabilized the base. 2026 is about expanding the base with a disciplined architectural framework. We are aggregating complementary capabilities. We are integrating talent and expertise. We are building execution and infrastructure. We are connecting the homeowner in the home. We are very deliberate, and we are very confident in our sequencing.
I’d like to now turn the call over for questions.
Operator: We will now begin the question-and-answer session. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up question. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, press star one again. Please pick up your handset when asking a question, and if you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Please mute immediately after. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Steven Forbes at Guggenheim Securities, LLC. Steven, your line is now live.
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: Hi, Steven.
Steven Forbes, Analyst, Guggenheim Securities, LLC: Thank you, and good afternoon, Marcus. Yes, and Adrianne. Marcus, you, you mentioned a few 2026 growth drivers within the release and prepared remarks, right? AOV being one of them, conversion being another. As we look at some of the core KPIs that you report, I was curious if you maybe just walk us through how you’re thinking about the active customer base. Like, are we, are we reaching a troughing point? Is, is there visibility within the cohorts to rescale that in 2026? Then also, orders per active customer, second quarter in a row of stability, is that indicative of, of sort of that KPI also bottoming?
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: Thanks for that question. We don’t believe. We believe, excuse me, we believe that the trough is behind us, and that everything you see going forward will have growth. Growth in revenue, growth in EBITDA performance, growth in the number of active customers. What I wanna be careful of is to land on AOV, because as Bed Bath & Beyond starts to open up stores again, we believe that there’s going to be a disproportionate amount of volume based on the last 12-24 months that will lean into some of the historical Bed Bath & Beyond categories. While we don’t expect furniture, patio, and rugs to do anything but grow, when you start mixing in higher count items in your basket versus dollars in your basket, it could throw that off a little bit.
As we start stocking a lot of inventory in our potential Jackson, Tennessee warehouse through the Kirkland’s acquisition, we’re going to see more towels, more small appliances, more gadgets, more top of bed, more housewares go through our ecosystem online, ultimately driving that AOV down, but driving the average customer base up. We will come up with a clean way to delineate historical categories and their performance and legacy Bed, Bath categories and their performance. ’Cause as a reminder, a lot of our online business today is a function of what Overstock did for years. Yes, growth in all cases, I wanna be tempered on the AOV just because of the change in mix that could happen through the year.
Steven Forbes, Analyst, Guggenheim Securities, LLC: Thank you for that. Then a, a follow-up. As we think through the opportunity you expressed via Pillar 2 and Pillar 3, I, I was curious if you maybe explore your, your ability, if, if you have measured, I guess, interest among your active customer base or intent of utilization of such services, if the demographic profile sort of caters to those said services. I guess, what, what gives you conviction and what, what should give us conviction that the opportunity is, is addressable to Bed Bath & Beyond?
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: Well, I think you have to start to think about Bed Bath & Beyond differently and stop thinking about Bed Bath & Beyond as the old Overstock e-commerce business, and start to think about the overall housing market. When I look at the size of the TAM in the trillions, not billions, in the overall housing market, we believe that an ecosystem that taps into all the parts and pieces of that is quintessential to our business. The omni-channel business is really the first place we meet the customer. When you look at Bed Bath & Beyond, Overstock, buybuy BABY, Kirkland’s, and the pending acquisition that has yet to be announced, we will have rounded out all of the important, what I would call, categories of soft and hard goods inside the home.
When I go to the other side of the paper, which is Pillar Three, the home services, we know that for decades, these things have existed independently. Whether that’s flooring, closets, cabinetry, carpentry, installation services, renovation services, we know those things are going to exist regardless of what’s happening in the general economy. We believe that the connection between those two is that they’re both originators of new customers. What I like about Pillar Three is its ability to spark larger transactions that call for things like financing or warranties. If I’m putting an all-new cabinetry in my kitchen, that could be a $7,500-$8,000 order. That’s gonna largely come with financing and maybe some other services along the way. It also gives us the ability to get into the home with a homeowner and build a relationship.
Putting in new flooring, putting in new carpeting, putting in new closet systems don’t just apply to a first-time homebuyer. They apply to renovations, they apply to expanding families, they apply to life-changing events. What we’re doing is we’re taking the proprietary knowledge we have of why customers shopped at Bed, Bath, and more importantly, when they shopped at Bed, Bath, and we want to exploit all of those life events by selling them more than towels. The middle section is probably the easiest to understand because we know it’s a competitive landscape as it relates to mortgages, and HELOCs, and insurance, and warranties. As a reminder, insurance and warranties are regulated, so it’s not easy for people to discount those services. That comes from trust. When it comes to banking and things like banking, whether it’s savings, checking, mortgages, or HELOCs, we’re gonna take two avenues.
The first avenue is we are launching a partnership to launch what we believe to be the first-ever homeownership credit union in America. It’s a unique proposition, and it will offer three products: market-leading savings, rates, market-leading checking rates, and what we believe is market-leading mortgages and HELOCs.... That’s a more traditional buyer. When they see credit union, they know there’s value there because the layer of making money between the cost of funds and the retail rate that our banks have to make a profit, credit unions do not have. We want to show our customers that value is squarely there. We signed a new deal with Brown & Brown to launch both a property and casualty insurance agency, a choice model that puts multiple carriers in front of people, as well as a full relationship on home warranties and product warranties.
Product warranties and shipping insurance are through Extend. The only reason why I’m 100% confident that this ecosystem works is that I did it in my former life. By understanding where origination starts and where all the other tentacles for lifetime value expansion exist. Candidly, what’s missing in that middle stack, and maybe lost on people, is brokerage services. As I mentioned in my prepared remarks and in my letter, we are pursuing three large transformative pillar acquisitions. 1 in Pillar 1, which I disclosed, is a deal in principle that’s agreed to for Pillar 1. Pillar 3 is a deal in principle that’s been agreed to on the home services side. In the middle pillar is a deal that’s in process, pretty close to being agreed to, that I think will give that business the teeth of origination that it ultimately, ultimately leads.
If those three acquisitions pan out the way we expect them to, it would be north of $1.5 billion of additional revenue on top of the existing base that I described. That also includes Kirkland’s. So you take the approximately $1.5 billion base of our original e-commerce business, you add the omni-channel business of Kirkland’s to it, and then you add these three transactions, and you could end up with an annualized run rate of about $3 billion. One in each of those pillars, really providing the foundation for how those businesses will be built.
Unknown Analyst, Analyst, Unknown: Thank you.
Operator: Your next question comes from the line of Jonathan Matuszewski from Jefferies.
Jonathan Matuszewski, Analyst, Jefferies: Thanks for the time. Marcus, I had a, a follow-up question first on just pillars two and three, and just trying to get a better hold of maybe the trajectory for how you see those two mixing into the overall kind of revenue base. Would it be correct to assume that the margin profile of those pillars two and three is going to be kind of the overall driving factor of EBITDA margin expansion over the medium term? Is that kind of the next leg in terms of margin expansion? That would be my first question. Thanks.
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: Yeah, you know, we, we’ve talked, for a while now about the margin range of 24%-26%, and that’s been on the historical e-commerce business, and we know the retail business is slightly better than that, 2 or 3 points better than that in a normal environment. What we know for certain is that the home services, the cabinets, the flooring, the closets, the installation, the renovation, they all come with far greater margins than that, in excess of 40%. Part of our strategy in growing our overall profitability is expanding our overall company consolidated margin through, A, the acquisition of those types of businesses in pillar three and being able to absorb those.
We will have work to do to take out some of the merger synergies and lower their CAC so that their EBITDA coincides with our expectations, but from a gross margin standpoint, materially higher than selling towels and couches online. The middle section is probably the one that I’m most excited about, and it takes several years for it to come to fruition. The acquisition that we have on the table will build the solid, call it $400 million foundational base, of which we’ll build stuff on top of. In that particular instance, whether it’s the credit unions, the insurance, the warranties, keep in mind that the cost of goods associated with all of those is de minimis. There is no real asset. In many cases, because we are never taking on the liability.
We’re not acting as a bank, we’re not acting as an insurance company, we’re not acting as a warranty insurer. We are a marketing and sales organization making commissions and fees off of those. The margins are explosive, north of 50%. So over time, as we start to see those mature, we would expect a consolidated margin in the next 36 months, pending these acquisitions coming together, to expand above and beyond 30% for the overall ecosystem. The key is making sure that we take the costs out of these businesses. One important distinction that I’m sure many of you are thinking, and I want to address upfront, is we are going to operate these pillars individually with their own leaders and their own, call it, CEOs, sort of presidents of those businesses.
These are people that are foundationally subject matter experts in those disciplines, not taking those businesses and trying to have e-commerce people run them. We believe in having independence for entrepreneurs to be able to operate as subject matter experts. Where consolidation will exist is twofold: One, from a financial and treasury standpoint, wanting to make sure that we’re taking out any redundant back-office costs....From a data consolidation standpoint, meaning that each of these businesses are obligated to remit their financials sign up for our code of conduct and the way we want to do business, and contribute data in a form and a manner to the overall ecosystem that matters. We feed that data into a data fabric, which is being operated by a third party, and we partner with a master wrapper loyalty program functioned and partnered with Bilt, B-I-L-T.
You can do your research and find out what they do today. We, as you can tell, as a company, believe in partnering and buying as opposed to building everything because technology moves so fast. The operators are really in their own little cocoon, and we are acting as aggregators. The most important aggregation of where we think we’re going to get the real cost synergy is lowering the CAC for each of them, finding administrative costs that can be eliminated, and sharing in treasury management efficiency. That’s ultimately why we are so confident that this business, in short order, 3 years, can be in a normal mid-cycle environment, can be mid-single digit to high-single digit EBITDA contribution because of those factors.
Jonathan Matuszewski, Analyst, Jefferies: Very helpful. CAC is a nice segue just for a follow-up. Would love to just hear how you’re thinking about measuring the success of your ads pilot with instant checkout and maybe the types of customer activation or the volume of activation that you’d maybe need to see to divert more advertising dollars to that experimental channel? Thanks, Marcus.
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: We’re talking about-- You’re talking about chat?
Jonathan Matuszewski, Analyst, Jefferies: Yes.
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: Yeah. It’s, it’s too early. I mean, it’s been a couple of weeks. We were one of the pilot programs with them in getting launched. It’s really early in the innings, so there’s a lot of learnings that have to happen. One thing that we have noticed in the last several months is that layering in different learning machines and different technologies is allowing us to get better. Let me be really clear. We are nowhere, nowhere near where we need to be in the next 12-24 months. We’ve started to engage with outside third parties to help us assess our tech infrastructure, look at our overhead, look at the connectivity between everything, and look at integrations.
We recently engaged with Alvarez, and they’ll be doing a full study for us, particularly in light of all of these acquisitions, to make sure that we’re squeezing out every last dollar and capturing every last bit of information.
Jonathan Matuszewski, Analyst, Jefferies: Thank you.
Bernie McTernan, Analyst, Needham: Your next question comes from Bernie McTernan at Needham. Bernie, your line is now open.
Unknown Analyst, Analyst, Unknown: Great. Thanks for taking the question. Just kind of follow up on Pillar 2. I want to make sure I understood the right thing. You said a large acquisition happening in Pillar 2 for origination. Should we assume then that all those, you know, whether it’s insurance, home warranties, HELOCs, all that will be after the acquisition, you’ll be able to offer all of that on a 1P basis, and then, you know, partnering with, you know, big residential brokerage to basically sell those services?
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: The way I’d like you to think about it is there’s kind of like a two- a two funnel approach. Funnel number one is using all of the customer engagement from pillar one and pillar three to offer all of those services in pillar two. That’s a little bit harder hill to climb quickly. You can get there over time after you build trust, after you improve your customer service experience, after people understand the connectivity. The acquisition in pillar two, around the brokerage services, provides instant, I would call it, integration. I would expect on day two of that acquisition that the products and services that we have lined up, whether it be with the credit union, whether it be with the insurance companies, whether it be with the warranty companies, whether it be with the titling companies, would immediately be embedded.
The piece we like most about this potential acquisition in pillar 2 is that it has already started some of those services and has seen early success, but doesn’t necessarily, in our opinion, have the technology or the capital to invest in technology that can supercharge that. When you think about that real estate brokerage network, what you’re really talking about is thousands, if not tens of thousands of sales agents who are commission-based. That’s how they sell things. We believe that there’s an interesting and proper way to motivate those agents to receive commissions, not only from the things they’re permitted to inside of their real estate license, but also to be able to sell other products and services in the ecosystem for commissions that are compliant with whatever the state regulation is.
When you can pick up a 10,000 person army of salespeople who are commission-based, who are hungry to provide value to customers only on things they need, you get instant activation. I would expect that within 12 months of making that acquisition, we would be running at relatively full steam, looking for attachment in a more traditional manner.
Unknown Analyst, Analyst, Unknown: Okay, understood. That, that’s really helpful. Thanks, Marcus. Then just a quick follow-up. I know we’re not calling it guidance, but directional commentary on 2026 for low to mid-single-digit revenue growth, is that inclusive or exclusive of Kirkland?
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: Let me, let me take my time here and go very clear. In, in the mid-single-... revenue growth numbers that we’re talking about, that is omni-channel. Excuse me, that is e-commerce only. Low to mid-single-digit is e-commerce only. Kirkland’s will have similar growth at the same time. When we close on that acquisition for Q2, we’re gonna provide you a forecast. What you can expect out of our base business for 2026 is low to mid-single, hopefully closer to mid-single-digit growth for the full year. Margin expectation for that base business, we were 24.7 in ’24 excuse me, in 2025. We want to get to 25%, which is the midpoint, and that’s, that’s a push, particularly with all the noise around tariffs.
The more recent noise, as in, like, Saturday, we wanna, we wanna get ourselves to 25. On the sales and marketing expense, we’re probably gonna look maybe flat to similar in 2026 versus 2025. I’m hedging myself a little bit there because I think we have some unlocks that haven’t fully been realized, and we expect nice improvement in EBITDA every single quarter over its previous year, with the outside spot, stretch, stretch, stretch goal in Q3 of profitability, a little less of a stretch in Q4 for profitability of 2026. That does not include any of the larger acquisitions we’re talking about.
I promise you this, the shareholder letter and the amount of disclosures that we’ve provided, they will continue to be as robust as we’re providing them now, so that when we do make an acquisition, you will understand how one plus one equals two. There will be no hiding the weenie. You’ll understand it full throttle. What we have to tell you, though, in order to make the numbers work long term, it takes from the moment we get the keys, because we can’t influence change before we close, but from the moment we get the keys, in some cases, 90-120 days, in other cases, when you’re getting out of leases or getting out of distribution centers or consolidating contracts, it could take anywhere from 8-12 months. We will show you that when we lay it out.
We’ll show you what it looks like, we’ll show you what we think the pro forma could look like, and we’ll show you maybe like a two, three-year cadence of what that could look like as well. I will tell you, I’m really excited by what we’re seeing in the early forecast. Again, none of this contemplates a housing recovery. If the housing recovery happens, you know, we’re gonna be in much better shape.
Jonathan Matuszewski, Analyst, Jefferies: Great. Thanks for walking through all that again. Thanks.
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: Yep.
Operator: Your next question comes from Thomas Forte with Maxim Group. Thomas, your line is now open.
Thomas Forte, Analyst, Maxim Group: Great. Marcus and Adrian, congrats on the improvement in the quarter and the year. Regarding the Everything Home ecosystem and pillars, the first question, I’ll wait for the answer and then one follow-up. Marcus, when I look at each pillar, how do you determine when to work with a strategic partner versus when to op-- own and operate an asset? On the surface, it seems like pillar one is all owned, and pillars two and three are more partnerships or combinations of owned and partnerships.
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: Pillar one is largely owned, but we are working on some larger licensing transactions with both the existing brands we have and some of the brands that we’re acquiring. Secondly, we already have the relationship in Canada, where we licensed and sold the intellectual property in Canada. We expect them to start opening stores, and they’ll be contributory. For the most part, Tom, you’re right. The bulk of it is, is owned. In pillar two, the delineation between when we should be in it and when we shouldn’t be in it is when there’s a lot of regulatory complexity to it and a lot of what I would call balance sheet risk.
We are not in a position, and probably won’t be in the near future, to take on any balance sheet risk around claims or around reserves or around insurance or around financing or any of those things. We just don’t believe that we are subject matter experts in that result. We are an origination machine, and we expect to make money through all of these different transactions, including the brokerage services, in all of those. I would never expect us, in the short term, to be anything more than an insurance agency, a seller of warranties, a provider of financing. What we like about that is that there’s no inventory requirement, there’s no capital requirement, there’s no reserve requirement, and the money flows pretty nicely. There also isn’t a big staff required to execute those.
While some have said to me, "Oh, you’re giving up margin by not being the bank or not being the insurance company," there is truth in that, but what they forget is all of the costs associated with doing that and the regulatory complexity with doing that, that is not where we want to spend our time nor our money. In pillar three, we want to own as much of that as we can, including providing the home services, installation services, and all the products that go with it. We believe that that is a gateway to meeting the homeowner where they need us most. The margins are explosive, and the opportunity to surprise and delight and upsell is easier if we’re controlling the journey than a third party is controlling the journey.
Thomas Forte, Analyst, Maxim Group: Great. Then for my follow-up, can you walk us through, recognize it’s still early, your vision for the home operating system and the home OS? I know you’ve talked about it a couple of times.
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: I liken the home operating system similar to how I liken loyalty. It’s a wrapper around the entire ecosystem. Many people know home operating systems because they have a Alexa or they have a Ring doorbell. At the end of the day, society and homeowners and renters are moving towards a connected home. While it’s nice to connect your lights and your AC and your TV and your radio and all those things, that isn’t what we believe is the most important part of the operating system. The most important feature of the operating system, in our opinion, is a real estate ledger, a blockchain ledger that captures all of the important documents for two different sets of items.
One, the homeowner themselves and all the things that make up everything that they do, and the home asset itself, including title, deed, survey, insurance, maintenance records. We know that the homeowner is portable. They’re gonna move in and out, and that home stays relatively constant. We like it on blockchain because we think it, over time, provides integrity for insurance providers, lenders, home buyers, maintenance providers, warranty providers, to see the true health report and the true lineage of that asset, giving people an opportunity. No different than if you drive a car and you don’t have an accident over time, you get better rates. People have to know what the health is. We think blockchain’s a great way to do that.
If you look at that particular product being existent back when the Palisades fire happened and all those folks had no records of anything that happened, we wanna solve problems like that, both ’cause people are transient, both because people buy and sell houses every seven years, and because there’s these catastrophic events that cause that to be necessary. You would access that information both through an app and through a touchscreen in your home as a feature, as a benefit, as a nice-to-have, in addition to the important center of the universe with LifeChain. Of course, you’ll be able to handle your lights and handle your alarm and handle your doorbell and your AC and all those other things that we’re all used to, but that should be features and benefits, not the core deliverable.
We expect to be developing a good chunk of that over the next 12 months and hope to launch something like that in partnership in 2027.
Seth Sigman, Analyst, Barclays: Thanks, Marcus.
Operator: Your final question comes from Seth Sigman from Barclays. Seth, your line is now- Oh, oh, please stand by while we bring up Seth.
Seth Sigman, Analyst, Barclays: Can you guys hear me?
Operator: Seth, your line is now open.
Seth Sigman, Analyst, Barclays: Hey, guys. How are you? Thanks for taking the question-
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: Great, thank you.
Seth Sigman, Analyst, Barclays: -and the progress. I wanted to go back to your comment about low to mid-single-digit revenue growth early this year. Is that meant to say what you’re running right now? If so, can you just bridge us versus, I think it was down 6% in the fourth quarter, year-over-year. What is driving the top-line improvement, maybe across categories, perhaps consumer cohorts? What are you seeing? Because obviously, that would be a pretty meaningful improvement. Thanks so much.
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: Yeah. A couple things. We have seen positive year-over-year growth starting in January through today. It’s low to mid-single digit. It is our goal over the course of the year to push ourselves towards mid-single digit and hopefully even bust through that. Here’s what’s ultimately changed. We have really done a nice job of cleaning up the assortment online. We’ve done a nice job, plenty of work to do left on improving the pricing. We’ve gotten better at marketing and getting people in our ecosystem to come back for the second and third purchase. We’re being very diligent about the kind of marketing dollars that we’re spending, spending a little bit more on new technology, including a new pilot with chat, new techniques around SMS. We believe that the omni-channel launch will help just create general awareness.
We are not pleased, I know this is gonna sound funny, we are not pleased with low to mid-single-digit growth. We wanna be conservative, and we want to outperform that in the market, but we also wanna build our cash flow and our projections around something we know we can hit. If you go back and you look at the last 4 or 5 quarters, we’ve been pretty good at saying we’re gonna do something and delivering it. I think that’s the key to this business. We know we need to earn that trust and earn that confidence, and the only way to do that is set realistic expectations, meet them or exceed them.
So much of it, Seth, came from cleansing things, getting rid of vendors with bad margins, getting rid of SKUs with bad margins, getting rid of products on the website that had no relevance to our site, cleaning up how we’re presenting brands, figuring out how we’re ultimately going to get the customer back for their second purchase that may have come through on a PLA ad. We can’t keep just buying the customer. We have to earn, win, and maintain that customer, and that’s what we’re starting to see happen. When we look at Q1, just to give clarity around it, we are expecting, call it 3%-5% in revenue improvement in Q1, and we are stretching for about a 30% improvement in EBITDA margin year-over-year from Q1 of last year.
We’re expecting margins to be. Where they’re trending now is where we think they’re gonna end. They’re around 24.5% to 24.7%. That starts to get a little bit of pressure as we start indexing into patio. When we get into Q2, we would expect to see that same 3% to 5% growth. We think there’ll be a little bit of pressure on margins because more in the patio, probably pushing closer to like 21%, 24.1%, 24.2%. We expect EBITDA improvement again in Q2.
Then when we get into Q3 and 4, is when we think we’re gonna start to see a little bit more wind in our sails, where we expect that revenue to maybe be 5%, 5.5%, hopefully forcing it to 6%, getting the margins to stabilize around 25% in Q3 and Q4, and having taken more costs out. Which is what’s giving us confidence to have a stretch, stretch, stretch goal to make some money in Q3. We know we’ll be better in Q3, we don’t know if we can get all the way to zero. Then in Q4, as we just reported, I think a $4.4 million EBITDA loss, getting to zero or above.
We know we have time, and we know I have work to do, but that is something that’s really exciting in our company, that we’re doing it the right way. We’re building, we’re growing, we’re adding customers, we’re generating revenue, we’re making acquisitions. We are no longer in, "Holy crap, the place is burning down, and we need to cut stuff." We’re now in the kind of mode that caused me to leave my old company for this, full-time.
Seth Sigman, Analyst, Barclays: Yep. All right, very helpful. Thanks so much. I’ll leave it there.
Operator: There are no.
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: If there are no more questions...
Operator: Please go ahead, Mike.
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: Thank you. No more questions? Yep. Do we have any more questions?
Operator: There are no further questions at this time. I would love to turn the call back to Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, for closing remarks.
Marcus Lemonis, Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.: Great. Thank you so much. We look forward to seeing you on our next quarter call. Take care. Bye-bye.
Operator: This concludes today’s call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.