Currencies January 21, 2026

UBS CEO Affirms Dominance of U.S. Dollar Amid Global Tensions

Sergio Ermotti highlights limited alternatives to U.S. assets and cautious optimism on AI investments

By Hana Yamamoto
UBS CEO Affirms Dominance of U.S. Dollar Amid Global Tensions

During a panel at the World Economic Forum in Davos, UBS CEO Sergio Ermotti underscored the persistent dominance of the U.S. dollar as the primary investment currency despite ongoing geopolitical challenges. He emphasized that while diversification is gaining traction, the U.S. remains an indispensable investment hub. Ermotti also remarked on the inevitability of investing in both U.S. and Chinese markets and offered a measured outlook on the artificial intelligence sector, warning investors of selective risks within AI stock picking.

Key Points

  • Global investors face limited alternatives to U.S. dollar and U.S. assets despite geopolitical tensions.
  • Diversification is increasingly important but only some investors are reducing exposure to U.S. assets, making the U.S. a preferred investment destination for the foreseeable future.
  • U.S. and Chinese markets remain essential investment arenas; UBS CEO calls AI industry resilient but warns of risks in individual stock selection.

At the World Economic Forum panel held in Davos, Sergio Ermotti, Chief Executive Officer of Swiss banking giant UBS, addressed the investment landscape shaped by current geopolitical tensions. Speaking on Wednesday, Ermotti stated unequivocally that global investors confront very limited alternatives to the U.S. dollar and American financial assets.

“It is almost impossible for a big chunk of the system to bet against the dollar. There is no choice but the dollar,” Ermotti remarked, highlighting the currency’s entrenched role in global finance. Despite the growing emphasis on portfolio diversification strategies around the world, Ermotti observed that only select groups of investors are actively decreasing their U.S. asset holdings. He reinforced the view that the U.S. will remain the most compelling destination for capital deployment in the near future, describing alternatives as currently nonexistent.

During the same discussion, Ermotti characterized both the U.S. and China as unavoidable markets for investors, underscoring the significance of these two economies in global allocations. His comments reflect the dual necessity for international investors to maintain exposure to these dominant economies despite geopolitical complexities.

Shifting focus to the technology sector, the UBS CEO expressed a cautiously positive sentiment regarding artificial intelligence (AI) investments. He asserted confidence that the AI industry as a whole was unlikely to face a downturn or 'bust.' However, he advised prudence among investors, noting that those attempting to select individual AI stocks could face losses. He suggested that a broader investment approach would mitigate such risks.

Ermotti’s insights provide a clear signal to investors regarding the strategic imperatives driving currency and market choices amid an uncertain global environment, emphasizing the staying power of the U.S. dollar and the need for diversified yet targeted investment decisions within emerging sectors like AI.

Risks

  • Geopolitical tensions create uncertainty but have yet to deter broad investment in the U.S. dollar and assets, potentially amplifying concentration risk in portfolios.
  • Investors selecting individual AI stocks may encounter losses despite overall industry growth, highlighting stock-specific risk within technology investments.
  • Limited alternatives to U.S. assets could expose investors to increased sensitivity from U.S. economic changes and policy shifts.

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