Currencies April 7, 2026

Dollar Falls as Two-Week Iran Ceasefire Spurs Risk-On Market Move

Global currencies and cryptocurrencies rally after U.S. president announces temporary truce with Iran ahead of Strait of Hormuz deadline

By Maya Rios
Dollar Falls as Two-Week Iran Ceasefire Spurs Risk-On Market Move

At the opening of Asian trade, the U.S. dollar weakened to a two-week low and a range of currencies strengthened after U.S. President Donald Trump said he had agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran. The announcement, made shortly before a deadline tied to the Strait of Hormuz, pushed markets into a risk-on stance and coincided with gains in major cryptocurrencies.

Key Points

  • The U.S. dollar fell to a two-week low after President Trump said he agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran, prompting a broad risk-on reaction in markets.
  • Major currencies strengthened: yen to 158.68 per dollar, euro to $1.167, pound to $1.3385, Australian dollar to $0.7068, and New Zealand dollar to $0.5810.
  • Cryptocurrencies rose in tandem with the currency moves, with bitcoin at $71,664.41 and ether at $2,234.78; the U.S. dollar index dropped 1.0% to 98.97.

SINGAPORE, April 8 - The U.S. dollar slipped to its softest level in two weeks at the start of Asian trading on Wednesday, as a number of major currencies rallied following a short-term de-escalation between the United States and Iran.

President Donald Trump said he had agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran. The comment came less than two hours before his deadline for Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Markets reacted quickly, rotating into risk assets and pushing the greenback lower against several peers.

In currency moves, the yen strengthened by 0.6% against the dollar, trading at 158.68 yen per dollar. The euro rose 0.7% to $1.167, while the British pound gained 0.7% to $1.3385. The Australian dollar climbed 1.3% to $0.7068 and the New Zealand dollar jumped 1.4% to $0.5810.

The U.S. dollar index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six currencies, was down 1.0% at 98.97, marking a two-week low for the measure. The market reaction was not limited to traditional currency markets: cryptocurrencies also advanced, with bitcoin up 3.4% at $71,664.41 and ether rising 5.7% to $2,234.78.

Trump had earlier issued threats of widespread attacks on Iran's civilian infrastructure. After the announcement of a two-week ceasefire, market sentiment shifted in favor of higher-risk assets. The move occurred shortly before the expiration of the U.S. deadline tied to operations in the Strait of Hormuz, a key shipping lane referenced in the announcement.

Market participants saw an immediate reallocation toward assets perceived as more sensitive to risk appetite, reflected in the simultaneous strengthening of several currencies and the uptick in major cryptocurrencies.


Market context and immediate effects

  • Currency pairs and the dollar index moved decisively following the ceasefire announcement.
  • Cryptocurrencies recorded notable gains alongside the currency moves.
  • The shift toward risk assets took place within a narrow window before a stated deadline related to the Strait of Hormuz.

Risks

  • The ceasefire is limited to two weeks and the announcement came shortly before a deadline tied to reopening the Strait of Hormuz - if the truce does not hold, renewed geopolitical tension could reverse market moves, affecting currencies and risk assets.
  • Earlier threats of widespread attacks on Iran's civilian infrastructure were issued - the presence of such threats increases uncertainty and could contribute to abrupt market volatility if the situation changes.
  • Markets moved rapidly into a risk-on posture within a short timeframe around the deadline - such swift sentiment shifts can lead to heightened short-term volatility in currency and cryptocurrency markets.

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