Currencies January 15, 2026

Asian Currencies Show Stability Amid Yen Pressure and Won Rebound

Japanese Yen Nears 18-Month Low with Snap Election Concerns; South Korean Won Retreats After Brief Rally

By Caleb Monroe
Asian Currencies Show Stability Amid Yen Pressure and Won Rebound

Asian currency markets exhibited relative stability on Thursday, with the Japanese yen hovering near its lowest level in 18 months due to concerns over a possible snap election. Meanwhile, the South Korean won retreated after a temporary gain triggered by supportive remarks from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. The U.S. dollar index remained steady near one-month highs as investors weighed geopolitical and monetary developments across the region.

Key Points

  • Japanese yen weakens near 18-month lows amid speculation of a snap election under Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, with expectations of expansionary fiscal policies dampening currency strength.
  • South Korean won reverses recent gains following verbal support from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who underscored Korea's important economic role to the U.S.
  • The U.S. dollar index remains steady near recent highs, influenced by steady U.S. policy signals and reassurances regarding Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's position.

On Thursday, most Asian currencies remained closely aligned with flat trading ranges as the Japanese yen approached its lowest valuation in 18 months. This depreciation stems from speculation surrounding a potential snap election in Japan. Recent comments from Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi have introduced market uncertainty, given her inclination towards expansionary fiscal policies, increased government spending, and sustaining accommodative monetary stances. These policies suggest a continued delay in normalization of the Bank of Japan's monetary policy, potentially widening the yield gap against the U.S. dollar and exerting downward pressure on the yen.

Overnight trading saw the USD/JPY rate decline by 0.4%, marking a slight respite, but earlier gains kept the pair near a one-and-a-half-year high, signaling persistent overall yen weakness. Meanwhile, Japanese authorities issued cautions against excessive currency fluctuations, which contributed to some stabilization despite ongoing fragile sentiment.

In South Korea, the Korean won reversed a sharp upward move that had been fueled by the supportive stance of U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent. The dollar-to-won exchange rate climbed 0.7% following an 0.8% drop in the previous session when Bessent publicly stated that the won’s depreciation was inconsistent with South Korea’s strong economic fundamentals. Highlighting the country's vital role, Bessent emphasized South Korea’s significant contributions to key industries supporting the American economy, acknowledging it as a critical partner in Asia.

Additionally, the Bank of Korea maintained its benchmark interest rate at 2.5%, signaling an end to its current phase of easing monetary policy, which plays a crucial role in financial market expectations and currency valuations.

Elsewhere in Asia, currency movements were subdued amid mixed signals from Washington. U.S. President Donald Trump reassured markets by denying plans to remove Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell despite an ongoing criminal probe. This announcement helped ease concerns about potential interference in Federal Reserve independence, though caution remained due to persistent policy uncertainties in the U.S.

Regarding major regional currencies, the onshore Chinese yuan experienced a marginal decline against the dollar, while the offshore yuan remained largely unchanged. The Singapore dollar advanced slightly, and the Indian rupee stabilized after modest fluctuations. Meanwhile, the Australian dollar showed little change in value against the U.S. dollar as markets adjusted to these developments.

Risks

  • Potential expansionary fiscal and accommodative monetary policies in Japan could hinder Bank of Japan’s interest rate normalization, affecting the yen and global yield differentials.
  • Policy uncertainties in the U.S., despite reassurances about the Federal Reserve’s independence, may continue to influence Asian currencies and investor confidence.
  • Ongoing currency volatility in South Korea and Japan may impact regional trade dynamics and investor sentiment, particularly in export-driven sectors.

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