Commodities February 4, 2026

U.S. Oil Slides as Washington and Tehran Agree to Oman Talks Despite Agenda Dispute

Markets ease after reports the bilateral meeting will go ahead; dollar strength adds downward pressure on crude

By Sofia Navarro
U.S. Oil Slides as Washington and Tehran Agree to Oman Talks Despite Agenda Dispute

U.S. crude futures fell on Thursday after the United States and Iran agreed to hold talks in Oman on Friday despite disagreements over what the meeting will cover. Prices retreated following a prior spike driven by concerns the talks might collapse, while a stronger dollar further pressured demand for dollar-priced oil.

Key Points

  • U.S. and Iran agreed to hold talks in Oman on Friday despite disagreement over the agenda; markets reacted with an initial easing of risk-driven price moves.
  • WTI fell 0.7 cents per barrel, or 1%, to $64.5 per barrel at 2347 GMT; Brent futures were set to resume trading at 0100 GMT.
  • A stronger dollar - the index rose 0.25% to 97.65 - further weighed on crude by reducing demand for dollar-priced oil.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell on Thursday as market attention focused on plans for talks between the United States and Iran that are set to take place in Oman on Friday, even though the two sides reportedly differ over the meeting's agenda.

At 2347 GMT, WTI was down 0.7 cents per barrel, or 1%, trading at $64.5 per barrel. Brent crude futures were scheduled to resume trading at 0100 GMT.

Earlier in the week, oil had jumped by roughly 3% after a media report raised the prospect that the planned U.S.-Iran discussions could fall apart. That spike reflected market concern that a breakdown in diplomacy might exacerbate already-elevated tensions in the Middle East.

According to reports, Iran seeks to address its long-running nuclear dispute with Western countries during the talks. The United States, however, has pushed to broaden the agenda to include Iran's ballistic missile program, its backing of armed proxy groups across the region, and its domestic human rights record.

Attempts to dial down tensions have been closely watched as the United States has been increasing its military presence in the Middle East. U.S. President Donald Trump has threatened to strike Iran, an OPEC member, a stance that market participants say could risk a wider confrontation in the oil-rich region.

Market commentary pointed to a cooling of the most acute fears about a collapse in talks as a factor easing prices. "Fears of the bilateral talks' collapse have moderated, leading to easing oil prices," said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst with IG, in a note.

Beyond geopolitics, currency moves added pressure on crude. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against a basket of peers including the yen and the euro, rose 0.25% to 97.65. A stronger dollar makes dollar-denominated crude more expensive for holders of other currencies, which can reduce foreign demand.


Market context:

  • Immediate tug-of-war between a potential diplomatic thaw and persistent security concerns in the Middle East.
  • Exchange-rate dynamics contributing to downward pressure on global crude demand.

Risks

  • The bilateral talks could still collapse, which previously triggered a near 3% surge in oil prices and would raise supply-risk premia in the energy sector.
  • Heightened U.S.-Iran tensions, including U.S. military buildup and threats of strikes, create the potential for a broader confrontation in the oil-rich Middle East, impacting energy markets and regional stability.

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