Commodities February 2, 2026

Russian Oil Transit Through Ukraine Falls to Decade Low Amid Pipeline Strikes

Expro data shows transit slid to 9.7 million tonnes in 2025 as Druzhba pipeline attacks persist

By Maya Rios
Russian Oil Transit Through Ukraine Falls to Decade Low Amid Pipeline Strikes

Analyst firm Expro reported that Russian oil moving through Ukraine fell to 9.7 million metric tons in 2025, marking the lowest level in a decade. The drop occurred against a backdrop of recurring attacks on the Russian segment of the Druzhba export pipeline. Slovakia and Hungary remained primary recipients, while the Czech Republic stopped taking oil via the route in 2025.

Key Points

  • Transit volumes through Ukraine fell to 9.7 million metric tons in 2025, a 10-year low according to Expro.
  • Attacks on the Russian segment of the Druzhba pipeline have been a recurring factor as transit declined.
  • Slovakia received 4.9 million tons and Hungary 4.35 million tons in 2025; the Czech Republic stopped purchases via this route in 2025.

Analyst Expro released data on Monday showing that Russian crude oil transit via Ukraine decreased to 9.7 million metric tons in 2025, the lowest annual total in ten years.

The fall in volumes coincides with regular Ukrainian attacks on the Russian section of the Druzhba oil export pipeline - a principal artery for shipments of Russian oil to Central Europe. Despite the ongoing four-year war between the two countries, Ukraine has continued to permit flows through its territory to supply neighboring markets.

Expro's figures detail the distribution of volumes in 2025: Slovakia received 4.9 million tons of oil via the Ukrainian transit network, while Hungary took 4.35 million tons. The Czech Republic, which had previously been a recipient on this route, ceased purchases through the corridor in 2025.


Year-on-year data in Expro's release illustrate a persistent downward trend in transit through Ukraine since the conflict began. Transit totaled 14.5 million tons in 2022, declined to 13.5 million tons in 2023, fell further to 11.4 million tons in 2024, and reached 9.7 million tons in 2025.

The data underscore a gradual contraction in the volumes of Russian oil moving across Ukrainian territory to Central European buyers. While Ukraine has not blocked the route outright, the availability and reliability of this corridor have been affected, according to the figures provided by Expro.


Key takeaways:

  • Russian oil transit via Ukraine hit 9.7 million metric tons in 2025, the lowest in a decade, per Expro.
  • Regular Ukrainian attacks on the Russian segment of the Druzhba pipeline have coincided with the decline in volumes.
  • Slovakia and Hungary continued to receive oil through the transit route in 2025; the Czech Republic stopped purchases via this corridor in 2025.

Context limitations: The Expro data provide annual volume totals and recipient breakdowns but do not include additional operational details or traffic schedules.

Risks

  • Ongoing attacks on the Druzhba pipeline could continue to disrupt flows - this affects oil supply to Central European markets such as Slovakia and Hungary.
  • A sustained decline in transit volumes may increase uncertainty for midstream and refining operations that depend on pipeline deliveries through Ukraine.
  • The cessation of Czech purchases via the route in 2025 highlights buyer-side shifts that could further alter regional oil trade patterns.

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