Commodities

Price movements and fundamentals across major commodities.

Analysis and reporting on commodities such as oil, natural gas, gold, industrial metals, and agricultural products. Focuses on supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical risks, inventory trends, and macro drivers affecting commodity markets.

Articles

824 total articles

U.S. SPR Swap Hinges on High Premiums That Could Limit Industry Uptake

U.S. SPR Swap Hinges on High Premiums That Could Limit Industry Uptake

The U.S. Department of Energy has structured an exchange of barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve that requires energy firms to return more oil than they borrow, with premiums set between 18% and 22% in additional barrels. The program is part of a broader International Energy Agency effort to release 400 million barrels to restrain prices am…

Will Coffee Follow Cocoa’s Collapse? Traders Brace for a Price Drop

Will Coffee Follow Cocoa’s Collapse? Traders Brace for a Price Drop

At the National Coffee Association’s annual meeting in Tampa, analysts and traders compared the recent trajectory of coffee prices with last year’s dramatic collapse in cocoa. High retail prices, shifts in consumer behavior and an anticipated recovery in Brazilian output are cited as forces pushing arabica prices lower, though some industry partici…

OCBC Sees Brent Holding Near $100/bbl as U.S.-Iran Tensions Keep Strait of Hormuz Flows Severely Constrained

OCBC Sees Brent Holding Near $100/bbl as U.S.-Iran Tensions Keep Strait of Hormuz Flows Severely Constrained

OCBC said oil prices are likely to remain above $100 per barrel in the near term due to little sign of de-escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict. With tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz reduced to a trickle and mitigation measures unable to fully close the gap, the bank expects Brent to average around $100 through mid-2026 before easing to a…

Trump Delays Beijing State Visit as Iran Conflict Disrupts U.S.-China Reset

Trump Delays Beijing State Visit as Iran Conflict Disrupts U.S.-China Reset

President Donald Trump on March 17 announced he is postponing a planned state visit to Beijing that had been scheduled for March 31-April 2, citing disruptions from the war with Iran. The president said the meeting is being reset with China and will now occur in roughly five to six weeks. The delay complicates efforts to ease tensions between Washi…

PDVSA Board Confirms Asdrubal Chavez to Lead U.S. Units Including Citgo

PDVSA Board Confirms Asdrubal Chavez to Lead U.S. Units Including Citgo

Venezuela's state oil company has formally ratified Asdrubal Chavez as head of its U.S. subsidiaries, including Citgo, a move that still requires U.S. Treasury approval and comes after a prior U.S. visa denial and comments of U.S. support for the interim Venezuelan administration. Three other directors were also named to the subsidiaries' boards.

Cuba Restores Much of Power Grid While Millions Remain in the Dark

Cuba Restores Much of Power Grid While Millions Remain in the Dark

Cuban officials said the national electrical grid has been reconnected across much of the island from Pinar del Rio to Holguin after a nationwide collapse left roughly 10 million people without power. Despite reconnection efforts, electricity generation remains severely limited due to fuel shortages and obsolete infrastructure, leaving many househo…

White House Seeks Alternative Fertilizer Supplies from Venezuela, Eyes Morocco

White House Seeks Alternative Fertilizer Supplies from Venezuela, Eyes Morocco

On March 17, the White House said it is pursuing additional fertilizer sources, including licenses for Venezuela and talks with Morocco, to offset disruptions caused by the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran. Officials framed the moves as an insurance policy to reduce impacts on U.S. farmers, while European officials explore U.N.-style export corridors …

UBS Reaffirms Gold’s Safe-Haven Role as Prices Pull Back

UBS Reaffirms Gold’s Safe-Haven Role as Prices Pull Back

Gold has retreated from its early-March peak but UBS says its fundamental case as a portfolio diversifier and safe haven endures. Strategist Joni Teves cites persistent strategic demand and potential upside if growth softens and stimulus returns, while noting near-term pressure from higher real rates, a firmer dollar and market focus on oil-driven …

Brokers Lift Oil Price Targets as Strait of Hormuz Disruptions Tighten Supply

Brokers Lift Oil Price Targets as Strait of Hormuz Disruptions Tighten Supply

Three leading brokerages have raised their crude price forecasts after disruptions related to the Iran conflict restricted tanker movements through the Strait of Hormuz. Analysts cited sharply reduced loading activity, limited alternative export capacity, and the limited offset from coordinated reserve releases as factors tightening an already frag…

Goldman Sees Tighter European Gas Market Pushing TTF Higher in Q2

Goldman Sees Tighter European Gas Market Pushing TTF Higher in Q2

Goldman Sachs warns that disruptions to LNG supply and diversions toward Asia are narrowing European gas physical balances, likely driving prompt TTF prices higher in the second quarter. The bank reiterates a Q2 TTF forecast of 63 EUR/MWh but says prices may need to climb further if outages persist.

Oil Climbs Over 2% as Strait of Hormuz Disruptions Amplify Supply Concerns

Oil Climbs Over 2% as Strait of Hormuz Disruptions Amplify Supply Concerns

Crude oil futures rose more than 2% in early trading as market participants reassessed supply risks stemming from an effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and limited international support for naval escorts. Brent and U.S. West Texas Intermediate both rebounded following losses in the prior session, while policymakers and major banks adjusted t…