Commodities

Price movements and fundamentals across major commodities.

Analysis and reporting on commodities such as oil, natural gas, gold, industrial metals, and agricultural products. Focuses on supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical risks, inventory trends, and macro drivers affecting commodity markets.

Articles

824 total articles

OCBC: China Less Vulnerable to Iran-Driven Oil Disruptions Than Regional Peers

OCBC: China Less Vulnerable to Iran-Driven Oil Disruptions Than Regional Peers

OCBC analysts argue that China's economy is comparatively insulated from oil shocks arising from the U.S.-Israel war with Iran because Chinese ships continue to transit the Strait of Hormuz, the nation holds substantial oil reserves, and oil plays a smaller role in its electricity generation. Rapid electrification and renewable capacity growth furt…

Oil Climbs 20% as Escalation with Iran Stokes Supply Concerns

Oil Climbs 20% as Escalation with Iran Stokes Supply Concerns

Oil futures rose roughly 20% in early trading on Monday, reaching levels not seen since July 2022, as the widening U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran raised concerns about tighter crude supplies and sustained interruptions to shipments passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Market commentary highlighted reports that some Middle Eastern producers are cu…

Gold Retreats as Iran Conflict Drives Rally in Oil and the Dollar

Gold Retreats as Iran Conflict Drives Rally in Oil and the Dollar

Gold prices declined in early Asian trade as a rapid escalation in hostilities involving the U.S., Israel, and Iran redirected heavy flows into oil and the dollar. Bullion remained supported above $5,000 an ounce, but was outpaced by a sharp rise in crude and a stronger dollar after strikes on Iranian oil infrastructure and attacks on shipping in t…

Oil surges past $111 as Mideast conflict intensifies supply concerns

Oil surges past $111 as Mideast conflict intensifies supply concerns

Oil prices climbed sharply in early Asian trading as the widening conflict involving the U.S., Israel and Iran raised fears of prolonged supply disruptions. Brent futures for May briefly topped $111.04 a barrel before easing to $107.92 by 18:08 ET (23:08 GMT). The conflict entered its tenth consecutive day after air strikes hit oil facilities in Te…

U.S. Oil Surges to Multi-Year High as Regional Conflict Raises Supply Concerns

U.S. Oil Surges to Multi-Year High as Regional Conflict Raises Supply Concerns

U.S. crude oil futures jumped sharply on March 9 as an expanding conflict involving the United States, Israel and Iran stoked concerns about tighter supplies and potential prolonged disruption to shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. West Texas Intermediate spiked to levels not seen since July 2022, after a week of steep gains, while developments…

Bank of America: Historical Oil Shocks Tend to Favor U.S. and Canadian Dollars

Bank of America: Historical Oil Shocks Tend to Favor U.S. and Canadian Dollars

Bank of America analysts say past oil supply shocks have consistently boosted currencies of oil producers, notably the U.S. dollar and Canadian dollar, while weighing on currencies of energy importers such as the New Zealand and Australian dollars. The bank flags CADJPY and NZDUSD volatility as hedges that currently look attractively priced relativ…

Katyusha Rockets Strike Near U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Officials Say

Katyusha Rockets Strike Near U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Officials Say

Katyusha rockets were fired toward the U.S. embassy in central Baghdad on March 7, triggering explosions and sirens. Initial reports left damage and casualty status unclear, though a senior Iraqi security official said the C-RAM defence system intercepted one rocket and none struck inside the compound, with no American casualties. Iraqi authorities…

RBC Keeps Bullish Stance on Copper as Prices Rise Despite Inventory Buildup

RBC Keeps Bullish Stance on Copper as Prices Rise Despite Inventory Buildup

RBC Capital Markets says valuations for copper miners have climbed markedly since December, even as warehouse stocks have swelled. EV/EBITDA at spot prices for its coverage has risen about 20% and P/NAV roughly 10%, while copper itself is up about 14% year-to-date. The bank cites a so-called "halo trade" into commodities, seasonal and price-sensiti…

Goldman Warns Hormuz Disruptions Could Drive Oil Above 2008 and 2022 Peaks

Goldman Warns Hormuz Disruptions Could Drive Oil Above 2008 and 2022 Peaks

Goldman Sachs' commodities strategists say recent disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz have increased the probability that global oil prices - particularly refined product values - could rise above the 2008 and 2022 peaks if reduced flows persist through March. The bank notes shipping through the chokepoint has fallen substantially, alternative …

U.S. Pump Prices Spike as Conflict with Iran Disrupts Fuel Flows

U.S. Pump Prices Spike as Conflict with Iran Disrupts Fuel Flows

Retail gasoline and diesel prices across the United States have surged following recent hostilities involving the U.S., Israel and Iran, driving oil above $90 a barrel and lifting pump prices to levels not seen in months. The rise has hit Midwestern and Southern states hard, intensifying pressure on households and supply chains that rely heavily on…

Iran conflict lifts U.S. Gulf heavy crudes to multi-year highs

Iran conflict lifts U.S. Gulf heavy crudes to multi-year highs

Heavy crude grades from the U.S. Gulf Coast surged as Middle Eastern output curbs and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz pushed buyers toward U.S. barrels. Mars sour traded at an $11 premium to WTI, its highest level since April 2020, while benchmark Brent settled at $92.69 a barrel amid the supply disruption.

Goldman Sachs Says Oil Could Top $100 Next Week if Hormuz Flows Do Not Recover

Goldman Sachs Says Oil Could Top $100 Next Week if Hormuz Flows Do Not Recover

Goldman Sachs warned that oil prices may climb above $100 per barrel as early as next week unless there is evidence of a near-term recovery in crude and product flows through the Strait of Hormuz. The bank said it will revisit its price outlook if its assumption of a gradual normalization of flows over the coming days is not validated. Current base…