Analyst Ratings January 26, 2026

Wolfe Research Raises Rating on National Storage Affiliates Trust as Earnings Show Signs of Stabilizing

Analyst lift follows multi-year earnings slide; dividend track record and recent upgrades draw investor attention

By Sofia Navarro NSA
Wolfe Research Raises Rating on National Storage Affiliates Trust as Earnings Show Signs of Stabilizing
NSA

Wolfe Research upgraded National Storage Affiliates Trust (NYSE: NSA) from Underperform to Peerperform, citing indications that the self-storage REIT's earnings may be stabilizing after multiple years of decline. The firm removed its price target in line with its Peerperform policy. NSA currently trades at a high P/E relative to peers but continues to offer a strong dividend yield and has registered positive year-to-date performance. Additional analyst action from Morgan Stanley also moved the stock to a more neutral stance, while recent quarterly results showed an EPS beat alongside a revenue shortfall.

Key Points

  • Wolfe Research upgraded NSA from Underperform to Peerperform and removed its price target consistent with Peerperform policy - impacts real estate and REIT sector sentiment.
  • NSA trades at a P/E of 54, notably above industry averages, while maintaining an 11-year dividend growth streak and a 6.98% dividend yield - relevant to income-focused investors and REIT valuations.
  • Third-quarter 2025 results were mixed: EPS beat at $0.17 versus $0.15 expected, while revenue missed at $170.25 million against $188.95 million forecast, and Morgan Stanley also moved to a more neutral rating.

Wolfe Research on Monday elevated National Storage Affiliates Trust (NYSE: NSA) from an Underperform rating to Peerperform, signaling a more neutral view of the self-storage real estate investment trust. In line with Wolfe's policy for Peerperform-rated names, the research firm removed its price target for NSA.

The upgrade comes as Wolfe Research analyst Keegan Carl pointed to data suggesting the company's earnings may be starting to stabilize after a sustained period of declines. Wolfe specifically noted that NSA has posted three straight years of lower earnings, covering 2023 through 2025.

InvestingPro data cited alongside the research shows NSA trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 54, which is materially higher than industry averages. At the same time, that data highlights a long-standing dividend track record for the REIT: an 11-year streak of dividend growth and a current yield of 6.98% for shareholders.

Market performance has reflected some resilience. The stock has returned 15.85% year to date, and investors are waiting for the next quarterly update, with the company expected to report earnings on February 25.


Recent company results offer a mixed picture. National Storage Affiliates Trust's third-quarter 2025 earnings per share came in at $0.17, beating consensus estimates of $0.15. Revenue for that quarter, however, missed expectations: the company reported $170.25 million in revenue versus forecasts of $188.95 million, a negative surprise of 9.9%.

Alongside Wolfe's move, Morgan Stanley has adjusted its view on NSA, upgrading the REIT from Underweight to Equalweight and raising its price target from $30.00 to $32.00. Morgan Stanley indicated that some of the earlier challenges faced by the company may already be reflected in its valuation, noting the stock trades at a discount to peers.

Taken together, the analyst actions and the most recent quarterly figures underline a period of transition for National Storage Affiliates Trust: earnings have weakened over the past three years, yet dividend continuity and positive year-to-date returns have prompted at least two firms to adopt more neutral or cautious-optimistic positions.

Investors and market participants will be watching the upcoming earnings release for further evidence on whether the company’s earnings trajectory is indeed leveling off after the extended decline.

Risks

  • Sustained earnings weakness - NSA has recorded three consecutive years of earnings declines from 2023 through 2025, creating uncertainty for earnings recovery and affecting the REIT sector.
  • Revenue shortfall risk - Third-quarter 2025 revenue underperformed expectations by 9.9%, highlighting top-line pressure that could influence near-term profitability and investor confidence in storage REITs.
  • Valuation disconnect - With a P/E of 54, NSA trades materially above industry averages, introducing valuation risk if earnings do not stabilize as analysts hope; this affects equity investors and relative valuation comparisons within real estate.

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