Analyst Ratings January 26, 2026

Wolfe Research Lowers CubeSmart to Peerperform; Analysts Mixed on Near-Term Outlook

Firm cites potential pause in share momentum despite later earnings growth; other brokerages adjust ratings and targets

By Jordan Park CUBE
Wolfe Research Lowers CubeSmart to Peerperform; Analysts Mixed on Near-Term Outlook
CUBE

Wolfe Research downgraded CubeSmart from Outperform to Peerperform, citing an expectation that shares may remain flat until clearer evidence of future growth appears. The REIT is trading near its fair value and recent analyst moves show a mix of cautious stances and continued conviction about longer-term prospects.

Key Points

  • Wolfe Research downgraded CubeSmart from Outperform to Peerperform, expecting shares to track peers in the near term rather than outperform.
  • CubeSmart is trading near its Fair Value at $38.24 with a P/E of 24.82 and a 7.66% year-to-date return; the company has a 22-year dividend payment history.
  • Quarterly results were mixed: Q3 2025 EPS missed at $0.36 versus $0.38 forecast, while revenue beat at $285.08 million versus $281.89 million; other brokers adjusted ratings and targets accordingly.

Wolfe Research moved CubeSmart (NYSE:CUBE) from an Outperform rating to Peerperform on Monday, signaling a shift in the brokerages near-term view of the self-storage real estate investment trust. The research firm said that while the company may ultimately generate stronger earnings, its shares could undergo a period of limited price appreciation before that growth becomes visible to investors.

Market data from InvestingPro indicates CubeSmart shares are trading near what that service defines as Fair Value. The stock was priced at $38.24 and carries a price-to-earnings multiple of 24.82. The company has returned 7.66% year-to-date and is noted for a 22-year run of uninterrupted dividend payments, according to InvestingPro Tips.

Wolfe Research framed its downgrade around a timing issue: the firm believes CubeSmart has "potential for meaningful earnings growth in 2027," but that the realization of those results may not immediately translate into stronger share performance. In Wolfe Researchs words, "company shares are likely to pause for some time until this growth is more apparent."

That reclassification - from Outperform to Peerperform - indicates Wolfe Research now expects CubeSmart to move broadly in line with its sector peers in the near term, rather than outperform the market as previously anticipated.


CubeSmarts recent quarterly figures provide a mixed backdrop for these analyst adjustments. For third-quarter 2025 results, the REIT reported earnings per share of $0.36, slightly below the $0.38 forecast. Revenue, however, exceeded expectations at $285.08 million versus an anticipated $281.89 million.

Other brokerages have also revised their stances. KeyBanc lowered its rating from Overweight to Sector Weight, expressing concerns about the companys 2026 growth outlook even after CubeSmart raised guidance for the third consecutive quarter. RBC Capital kept an Outperform rating on the stock but trimmed its price target to $46.00 from $47.00, citing better-than-expected move-in rates. Truist Securities reduced its price target to $42.00 from $48.00 while maintaining a Buy rating.

In contrast to some of the more cautious moves, RBC Capital reiterated CubeSmart as its "top idea for 2026," highlighting the companys urban footprint as a favorable characteristic. The range of analyst actions illustrates a split between tempered short-term expectations and more optimistic longer-term views among industry analysts.


Investors assessing CubeSmart must weigh an earnings outlook that some firms see materializing in 2027 against a consensus that shares may not advance materially until that growth trajectory becomes clearer. The stocks current valuation metrics and recent operating results form the immediate context for those divergent analyst perspectives.

Risks

  • Near-term share stagnation - Wolfe Research expects the stock may pause until 2027 earnings growth is more apparent, which could keep returns muted for investors - impacts equity investors and REIT-focused portfolios.
  • Growth outlook uncertainty for 2026 - KeyBanc's downgrade to Sector Weight reflects concerns about 2026 growth, posing downside risk to earnings expectations and market sentiment - impacts real estate and financial analysts covering the sector.
  • Analyst divergence - Mixed actions from brokers (price target reductions and maintained top-pick declarations) increase uncertainty about consensus valuation and near-term price direction - affects market trading and investor decision-making in real estate equities.

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