Analyst Ratings January 30, 2026

TD Cowen trims Thermo Fisher target to $683, cites cautious guidance despite beat

Analyst keeps Buy rating as Q4 outperformance is offset by soft near-term guidance and unique Q1 headwinds

By Sofia Navarro TMO
TD Cowen trims Thermo Fisher target to $683, cites cautious guidance despite beat
TMO

TD Cowen lowered its price objective on Thermo Fisher Scientific to $683 from $696 while retaining a Buy stance. The change follows a fourth-quarter beat but conservatively guided organic growth for the coming quarter and fiscal 2026, with first-quarter EPS falling well below analyst expectations. Other broker notes and a strategic AI partnership with NVIDIA contribute to a broadly positive but cautious market view.

Key Points

  • TD Cowen cut its price target on Thermo Fisher to $683 from $696 but retained a Buy rating - impacts equity investors and the healthcare/life sciences sector.
  • Thermo Fisher reported about 1.3% organic growth in Q4, beating expectations, but issued Q1 and full-year 2026 organic growth guidance below consensus - relevant to biopharma and tools suppliers.
  • The company announced an AI-focused partnership with NVIDIA and disclosed planned executive departures in 2026 - this affects lab automation, AI-integration in scientific workflows, and corporate leadership stability.

TD Cowen has adjusted its price target on Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (TMO) to $683.00 from $696.00 and continues to carry a Buy rating on the life sciences company. The firm’s revision follows quarterly results that included roughly 1.3% organic growth in the fourth quarter, a performance that exceeded expectations yet was paired with forward guidance that disappointed many investors.

The company, which has a market capitalization of $217.73 billion, reported a mixed picture: solid recent organic growth contrasted with first-quarter and full-year 2026 organic growth targets that came in below consensus. TD Cowen highlighted that the company’s first-quarter earnings per share were "well below" analyst expectations. The research note described post-report trading as a "rollercoaster," pointing to investor reassessment of near-term momentum.

TD Cowen emphasized that the first quarter is subject to "unique factors" that are weighing on performance, and that full-year 2026 guidance broadly reflects the company’s prior statements even though sell-side consensus had been more optimistic. Despite the cautious guidance, the research house signaled confidence that improvements in biopharma demand are not fully captured in Thermo Fisher’s forecasts, writing that the balance of probability favors upside relative to the company’s conservative outlook.

Market commentary from other brokerages underscores a generally favorable view of Thermo Fisher. Stifel raised its target to $700 and kept a Buy rating, while Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $685 price objective, projecting roughly 21% upside from current levels. KeyBanc Capital Markets described signs of recovery in the life sciences tools sector and identified Thermo Fisher as a leader within that rebound.

In parallel with analyst activity, Thermo Fisher announced a strategic collaboration with NVIDIA to develop AI-enabled laboratory solutions intended to boost automation, accuracy, and speed by combining Thermo Fisher instruments and software with NVIDIA’s AI infrastructure. The company also disclosed upcoming executive departures, with Michel Lagarde and Frederick M. Lowery set to leave their roles in 2026 to pursue other opportunities.


Bottom line - Analysts remain largely supportive of Thermo Fisher, but recent guidance and a weak first-quarter EPS print have prompted conservative targets and active debate among brokerages about the timing of a sustainable recovery in demand.

Analyst consensus - Wall Street consensus for Thermo Fisher currently sits at 1.56, a Strong Buy reading, reflecting continued favorable positioning by analysts despite the recent guidance caution.

Risks

  • Near-term guidance risk - First-quarter and full-year 2026 organic growth targets were below consensus and Q1 EPS came in well below expectations, creating downside risk for near-term share performance; impacts equities in the life sciences and healthcare sectors.
  • Execution uncertainty - The company cited "unique factors" affecting Q1 performance, indicating short-term operational or market headwinds that could affect revenue and margin trajectories in the life sciences tools market.
  • Leadership transitions - The announced departures of Michel Lagarde and Frederick M. Lowery in 2026 introduce management succession risk, which could influence strategic execution and investor confidence in the communications and laboratory services segments.

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