Analyst Ratings February 4, 2026

TD Cowen Lifts Amgen Price Target to $420, Cites Strong Q4 and Pipeline Momentum

Analyst firm keeps a Buy rating after Amgen posts better-than-expected Q4 results and issues fiscal 2026 guidance

By Priya Menon AMGN
TD Cowen Lifts Amgen Price Target to $420, Cites Strong Q4 and Pipeline Momentum
AMGN

TD Cowen raised its price objective on Amgen to $420 from $389 and retained a Buy rating, pointing to fourth-quarter revenue and EPS that outperformed expectations, fiscal 2026 guidance that eases concerns around product exclusivity, and a portfolio of 14 blockbusters plus an underappreciated pipeline that the firm says supports durable EPS through 2033.

Key Points

  • TD Cowen raised Amgen’s price target to $420 from $389 and retains a Buy rating, citing better-than-expected Q4 results and supportive fiscal 2026 guidance.
  • The firm points to volume-led growth across 14 blockbuster drugs and an "underappreciated" pipeline—MariTide, dazodalibep, xaluritamig, and olpasiran—that it expects to support EPS through 2033. Sectors impacted: biotech, pharmaceuticals, broader healthcare.
  • Amgen reported Q4 2025 EPS of $5.29 versus a $4.73 estimate; despite the beat the stock fell slightly in aftermarket trading, highlighting market sensitivity to near-term trading dynamics.

TD Cowen on Wednesday increased its price target for Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ:AMGN) to $420.00 from $389.00 while leaving its rating on the biotech stock at Buy. The research firm grounded its move in the company’s recent quarterly performance and forward-looking guidance.

According to TD Cowen, Amgen’s fourth-quarter revenue and earnings per share came in ahead of expectations. The firm highlighted Amgen’s fiscal year 2026 guidance as a counter to market worries about loss of exclusivity for key products, and cited volume-driven expansion across 14 blockbuster drugs within the company’s portfolio.

TD Cowen described Amgen’s pipeline as "underappreciated," naming specific programs it views as contributors to sustained earnings power. The analyst note lists MariTide, dazodalibep, xaluritamig, and olpasiran as pipeline assets that bolster expectations for durable earnings per share through 2033.

The research firm also identified several catalysts that could influence Amgen’s trajectory in fiscal year 2025. Those potential events include regulatory or commercial developments for Tezspire in eosinophilic esophagitis anticipated in the second half of 2026, Phase 3 readouts for dazodalibep in Sjögren’s disease, and possible updates on MariTide.

In its analysis of company guidance, TD Cowen noted Amgen’s fiscal year 2026 outlook projects revenue in a range between $37.0 billion and $38.4 billion, with earnings per share expected to fall between $21.60 and $23.00.

Separately, Amgen reported robust financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025. The company delivered an EPS of $5.29, topping the forecast of $4.73. The beat was attributed in the company’s reporting to strong product performance and promising developments within its pipeline.

Despite the stronger-than-expected quarterly results, Amgen’s stock slipped slightly in aftermarket trading. The company’s earnings call emphasized its financial condition and strategic initiatives, with discussion of operational approaches and outlook that the firm said reflect ongoing efforts to sustain performance. The earnings call also underscored management’s focus on the product pipeline.

Investors and market participants will likely watch the named pipeline programs and the items TD Cowen identified as catalysts, as well as how actual product volumes and upcoming readouts track against the firm’s expectations and Amgen’s fiscal 2026 guidance.


Notable facts from TD Cowen and Amgen:

  • TD Cowen raised its Amgen price target to $420.00 from $389.00 and maintained a Buy rating.
  • The firm cited better-than-expected Q4 revenue and EPS, and fiscal 2026 guidance that addresses exclusivity concerns.
  • TD Cowen highlighted volume-led growth across 14 blockbuster drugs and listed MariTide, dazodalibep, xaluritamig, and olpasiran as key pipeline contributors to durable EPS through 2033.
  • Potential catalysts noted include Tezspire for eosinophilic esophagitis in the second half of 2026, Phase 3 dazodalibep readouts in Sjögren’s disease, and possible updates on MariTide.
  • Amgen’s FY2026 guidance projects revenue of $37.0 billion to $38.4 billion and EPS of $21.60 to $23.00.
  • Amgen reported Q4 2025 EPS of $5.29 versus a forecast of $4.73; the stock dipped modestly in aftermarket trading.

Risks

  • Market concern about loss of exclusivity for key products - the article cites fiscal 2026 guidance as a response to those concerns. Sectors impacted: pharmaceuticals and healthcare.
  • Uncertainty around timing and outcomes of potential catalysts, including Tezspire developments in the second half of 2026 and Phase 3 readouts for dazodalibep in Sjögren’s disease - these events could influence expectations. Sectors impacted: biotech and drug development.
  • Near-term share-price volatility despite strong fundamental results, as evidenced by the slight aftermarket decline following the Q4 EPS beat - market and investor sentiment risk for equity investors.

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