Analyst Ratings January 23, 2026

TD Cowen Keeps Intel Shares on Hold, Flags Concerns Over Forward Guidance

Analyst highlights subdued momentum amid revenue beats and mixed ratings from other firms

By Leila Farooq INTC
TD Cowen Keeps Intel Shares on Hold, Flags Concerns Over Forward Guidance
INTC

TD Cowen has reiterated its Hold rating and set a $50 price target for Intel following an earnings report that met expectations but disappointed in future guidance. The firm expressed reservations about Intel's profitability outlook, tempered by the view that it is premature to dismiss the company’s prospects entirely. Meanwhile, other analysts present a wide range of opinions across price targets and ratings despite Intel's recent revenue outperformance.

Key Points

  • TD Cowen sustains Hold rating and revises down fiscal 2026 and 2027 estimates for Intel due to lowered margin and revenue expectations.
  • Intel's Q4 revenue beat by $236 million at $13.674 billion, prompting divergent analyst reactions ranging from upgrades to price targets to maintained or reduced ratings.
  • Valuation multiples implied in TD Cowen’s target indicate cautious optimism amid elevated stock price despite conservative earnings outlooks.

TD Cowen has upheld a Hold rating for Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC), matching it with a price objective of $50 per share in response to the chipmaker’s recent earnings release that aligned with market forecasts but provided revenue and margins outlooks that fell short of expectations.

The research firm observed that Intel's recent stock appreciation appears to be fueled more by optimistic projections about its long-term growth than by the underlying financial performance or immediate sales momentum. This cautious stance reflects concerns over sustainability amid industry headwinds.

While TD Cowen remains wary about the forecasted trajectory, noting downticks in anticipated margins and tempering revenue growth estimates for fiscal years 2026 and 2027, they also acknowledge that the company’s potential should not yet be discounted completely. The adjustment effectively challenges prevailing enthusiastic sentiments that previously bolstered Intel's share price.

The firm's updated price target implies a valuation multiple near 60 times earnings and about 4.7 times enterprise value relative to sales based on the 2027 fiscal outlook, indicating tempered expectations on profitability and growth.

Recent corporate financial disclosures reveal Intel generated $13.674 billion in revenue during the fourth quarter, surpassing analyst predictions by $236 million. This performance elicited positive reactions from some market participants; for instance, Benchmark Capital raised its price target to $57 while maintaining a Buy recommendation.

Conversely, other analysts have exhibited caution. Needham reiterated its Hold rating due to guidance figures that did not align fully with their forecasts, and Cantor Fitzgerald sustained a Neutral rating and set a $45 price target, remarking on the surprising 47% year-to-date increase in Intel’s stock value.

Rosenblatt Securities increased its price target from $25 to $30 but maintained a Sell rating, citing ongoing anticipation of favorable future announcements from Intel. Northland Capital Markets also lifted its price objective from $46 to $54 and maintained an Outperform rating, spotlighting potential upside in Intel’s Non-GAAP earnings per share.

This spectrum of analyst perspectives underscores a mixed market interpretation of Intel’s current operational performance and outlook.

Risks

  • Intel faces uncertainty in achieving projected revenue growth and margin improvements through fiscal 2026 and 2027, impacting investor confidence and stock valuations.
  • Disparity in analyst opinions reflects potential volatility in market perception, creating downside risk from overly optimistic pricing in Intel shares.
  • The underlying fundamental business realities may not support the recent rally, introducing risk of price corrections linked to guidance shortfalls.

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