Analyst Ratings January 28, 2026

TD Cowen Cuts Qorvo Price Target to $80 as Guidance Weakens for FY2027

Analyst trims target while maintaining Hold; mixed signals from stronger HPA performance and softer mobile outlook

By Priya Menon QRVO
TD Cowen Cuts Qorvo Price Target to $80 as Guidance Weakens for FY2027
QRVO

TD Cowen lowered its price objective for Qorvo Inc. (QRVO) to $80 from $95 and kept a Hold rating after the semiconductor supplier posted a stronger-than-expected December 2026 quarter but issued cautious guidance for fiscal 2027. The firm flagged declines in the Android RF business and revised expectations for Apple-related sales, even as Qorvo's High Performance Analog segment and potential margin expansion were highlighted. Other brokerages have also adjusted targets amid below-consensus March quarter guidance.

Key Points

  • TD Cowen cut its price target on Qorvo to $80 from $95 and maintained a Hold rating; the stock was trading near $79.
  • Qorvo beat December 2026 quarter expectations but issued weak guidance for fiscal 2027, forecasting a high-single-digit percentage revenue decline year-over-year.
  • TD Cowen expects an approximately $300 million year-over-year decline in Qorvo’s Android RF business; HPA segment shows double-digit growth and gross margins could expand above 50%.

TD Cowen has trimmed its 12-month price target on Qorvo Inc. (NASDAQ: QRVO) to $80, down from $95, while retaining a Hold endorsement. The stock was trading near $79 at the time of the note, close to the new target level.

The research house’s adjustment follows Qorvo’s release of results for the December 2026 quarter, which exceeded expectations, and a simultaneously conservative outlook for fiscal 2027. Management guided to a high-single-digit percentage revenue decline year-over-year for the fiscal year, a projection that prompted a reassessment of near-term valuations.

Revenue and segment dynamics

TD Cowen attributed a substantial portion of the anticipated revenue reduction to Qorvo’s Android radio frequency (RF) business, forecasting an approximately $300 million year-over-year decline. The firm connects that drop to the company’s strategic exit from low-end sales and persistent memory pricing headwinds.

Apple-related revenue was also re-evaluated. TD Cowen now expects Apple-linked sales to be roughly flat year-over-year, a departure from prior expectations for growth. The analyst note cites share losses in Ultra High Band RF as a headwind that has been partially offset by wins tied to Apple’s 5G modem and iPad designs.

On a more positive note, TD Cowen observed that Qorvo’s High Performance Analog (HPA) business continues to deliver double-digit percentage growth. The firm also raised the prospect that gross margins could expand to above 50%.

Quarterly guidance and market reaction

Qorvo’s recent quarterly disclosure included fiscal third-quarter results that beat forecasts, driven in part by robust iPhone demand. For the March quarter, however, the company provided guidance of around $800 million in revenue, below the analyst consensus of $904 million. That guidance represents about a 19% decline from the prior quarter’s $993 million in revenue.

In response to Qorvo’s outlook, a number of brokerages have updated their targets. Piper Sandler cut its target to $90, citing a faster-than-anticipated contraction in the Android business. Craig-Hallum lowered its target to $95 but kept a Buy rating. Mizuho trimmed its target to $70, pointing to concerns about the company’s revenue guidance. Morgan Stanley reduced its target to $84 and highlighted pressures in Qorvo’s mobile-facing operations, including share loss in forthcoming iPhone models. KeyBanc retained a Sector Weight rating while recognizing the strong third-quarter performance amid Android-related headwinds.

Balance of signals

Data from InvestingPro mentioned alongside the coverage suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to a Fair Value calculation and cites analyst targets spanning $70 to $128. The same data indicate that Qorvo’s management has been actively repurchasing shares, a move commonly interpreted as leadership signaling confidence in long-term prospects.


The aggregate of mixed operational indicators, updated analyst targets and management buybacks has produced varied reactions across the broker community, leaving sentiment toward Qorvo split between cautious and opportunistic assessments.

Risks

  • Revenue headwinds from the Android RF business, driven by exit from low-end sales and memory pricing pressures, could pressure semiconductor market revenues and affect suppliers tied to mobile segments.
  • Below-consensus March quarter guidance (approx. $800M vs. $904M consensus) and a 19% sequential revenue decline raise uncertainty for near-term earnings and investor expectations in the semiconductor and mobile sectors.
  • Share losses in Ultra High Band RF for Apple-related products and broader mobile market share shifts introduce volatility for companies exposed to handset and modem supply chains.

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