Analyst Ratings January 23, 2026

TD Cowen Affirms Buy Rating for Check Point Software Amid Strategic Upgrades

Analyst confidence grows on firewall cycle momentum and new cybersecurity innovations

By Maya Rios CHKP
TD Cowen Affirms Buy Rating for Check Point Software Amid Strategic Upgrades
CHKP

TD Cowen has maintained its Buy rating on Check Point Software stock, setting a $285 price target that suggests considerable market upside. The firm highlights ongoing demand from firewall updates and rapid uptake of Harmony Email and SASE solutions as drivers for the company's positive near-term momentum. Additional analyst endorsements and recent product launches reinforce confidence in Check Point's competitive and financial positioning despite recent stock price weakness.

Key Points

  • TD Cowen maintains a Buy rating on Check Point Software, with a $285 price target suggesting significant upside.
  • Continued growth is expected from the firewall refresh cycle and accelerated adoption of Harmony Email and SASE solutions.
  • The launch of Exposure Management and Quantum Firewall Software R82.10 demonstrates Check Point's commitment to combating AI-driven cybersecurity threats, supporting a prevention-first security strategy.

TD Cowen continues to endorse Check Point Software (NASDAQ:CHKP) with a Buy rating, assigning a price target of $285.00, which indicates substantial upside from the current trading level of $178.16. The stock has recently declined by nearly 4%, nearing the 52-week low of $173.77.

The research team at TD Cowen anticipates sustained growth in the closing weeks of the fourth quarter. This optimism is anchored in the persistent firewall refresh cycle and a heightened adoption rate of the firm's Harmony Email and SASE cybersecurity solutions. These factors are expected to underpin Check Point's sales momentum moving into the next fiscal year.

Further bolstering the outlook is Check Point's recent restructuring of its go-to-market strategy. TD Cowen believes this overhaul will contribute positively to revenue growth and customer engagement effectiveness. Financial metrics also reinforce the company’s solid positioning; with gross profit margins reported at an impressive 87.97% and a PEG ratio of 0.77, there are indications that Check Point may be undervalued relative to its growth potential.

Additionally, data from TD Cowen's 2026 cybersecurity survey points to a rising budget focus on network security. This trend supports optimistic fiscal year 2026 forecasts for Check Point, aligning with broader industry spending patterns.

The firm also praises Check Point's defensive qualities amid the current market environment. The company's low beta of 0.59 suggests it experiences less volatility than the overall market, offering a relatively stable investment profile. For investors seeking deeper insights, InvestingPro provides access to extensive analyses, including over 10 ProTips and detailed valuations on numerous U.S. equities.

On the product innovation front, Check Point has launched Exposure Management, a cybersecurity platform designed to combat AI-driven threats. This platform integrates comprehensive threat intelligence and real-time monitoring to prioritize risks and automate vulnerability fixes. Complementing this is the release of Quantum Firewall Software R82.10, which introduces 20 new features aimed at enhancing AI integration and strengthening security across distributed networks with an emphasis on a prevention-first approach.

Analyst activity around Check Point reflects diverse viewpoints. Stephens upgraded the stock to Overweight, adjusting the price target to $240.00 due to improved growth expectation, whereas Truist Securities retained its Buy rating but lowered the target to $225.00, citing the company's strong profitability and expansion potential through platform developments. These perspectives highlight a nuanced consensus on the company’s trajectory.

Risks

  • Stock price recently declined nearly 4%, approaching its 52-week low, indicating potential market volatility in the short term.
  • Differing analyst opinions on valuation and growth prospects may contribute to market uncertainty around Check Point’s stock.
  • Market adoption rates and effectiveness of new product offerings like Exposure Management and Quantum Firewall Software could impact future revenue growth if adoption lags.

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