Analyst Ratings February 4, 2026

Stifel Raises Monolithic Power Systems Price Target to $1,300 Ahead of Earnings

Analyst uplift follows expectations for a December-quarter beat and potential guidance raise; Truist also lifts target amid AI infrastructure demand

By Derek Hwang MPWR
Stifel Raises Monolithic Power Systems Price Target to $1,300 Ahead of Earnings
MPWR

Stifel has increased its 12-month price objective on Monolithic Power Systems to $1,300 from $1,250 while keeping a Buy rating ahead of the company's upcoming quarterly results. The research house projects a December-quarter outperformance driven by broad customer contributions, robust hyperscaler capex, stronger SSD storage demand and signs of an analog recovery. Truist also raised its target, and the company declared a quarterly dividend.

Key Points

  • Stifel increased its price target on Monolithic Power Systems to $1,300 from $1,250 and kept a Buy rating ahead of the company’s earnings.
  • Stifel projects a December-quarter beat supported by additional customer contributions, strong hyperscaler capex, robust SSD storage demand and signs of analog recovery; December-quarter revenue is estimated at $740.0 million with non-GAAP EPS of $4.73.
  • Truist also raised its price target to $1,375 and the company declared a quarterly dividend of $1.56 per share payable Jan 15, 2026 to holders of record Dec 31, 2025.

Stifel has raised its price target on Monolithic Power Systems (NASDAQ:MPWR) to $1,300 from $1,250 and retained a Buy rating as the company approaches its next earnings release. The shares are trading at $1,164.83, about 0.97% below a 52-week high of $1,199.76, after returning 78.96% over the past year.

The research firm expects Monolithic Power to top consensus estimates for the December quarter. Stifel cites a mix of additional customer contributions, strong capital expenditure results from hyperscalers, healthy storage demand for SSD power delivery and emerging indications of a broader recovery in analog markets as the basis for its view.

Stifel’s model sets December-quarter revenue at $740.0 million, implying a 0.4% sequential rise, and non-GAAP earnings per share of $4.73. For the first quarter of 2026, the firm said it expects Monolithic Power to lift guidance versus Stifel’s current estimate of $732.6 million in revenue - a 1.0% sequential decline in the firm’s baseline - and non-GAAP EPS of $4.62.

Stifel’s new price target is derived from an 18.8x enterprise value-to-sales multiple. The research house indicated it expects analysts to revise estimates upward after the company’s earnings release on Tuesday.

Data from InvestingPro cited in the research note shows Monolithic Power has maintained strong financial health, with an overall score labeled as "GREAT" at 3.45. That assessment is supported by 30.48% revenue growth over the last twelve months.

Analyst target prices compiled by InvestingPro span a range from $920 to $1,375, with a consensus recommendation score of 1.44. The stock currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.22. InvestingPro’s Fair Value assessment included in the dataset suggests the shares appear overvalued despite the recent run-up.

In related analyst activity, Truist Securities raised its price objective on Monolithic Power from $1,163.00 to $1,375.00 while maintaining a Buy rating. Truist highlighted the company’s strong positioning within the AI infrastructure market, particularly for high-performance power solutions deployed in data centers.

On the shareholder return front, Monolithic Power Systems declared a quarterly dividend of $1.56 per share of common stock. The dividend is scheduled to be paid on January 15, 2026, to holders of record at the close of business on December 31, 2025.


These recent updates combine analyst-led valuation adjustments, expectations for near-term operational outperformance and a cash-return action via dividend. Investors will watch the company’s upcoming earnings release and any subsequent guidance adjustments closely, given the potential for estimate revisions cited by Stifel.

Risks

  • Valuation concerns: InvestingPro’s Fair Value assessment indicates the stock appears overvalued, which could affect investor returns if growth expectations do not materialize - impacts equity markets and semiconductor sector sentiment.
  • Analyst estimate dispersion: InvestingPro analyst targets range from $920 to $1,375, reflecting uncertainty around future performance and valuation - impacts sell-side coverage and investor expectations in semiconductor and data-center related hardware markets.
  • Guidance uncertainty: Stifel expects the company to raise Q1 2026 guidance relative to its current estimates, but the actual guidance may differ, affecting forward-looking revenue and earnings expectations - impacts corporate guidance sensitivity in technology hardware and infrastructure sectors.

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