Analyst Ratings January 23, 2026

Stephens Boosts Southern Missouri Bancorp Price Target Amid Solid Earnings and Stable Credit Trends

Bank benefits from strong EPS beat and disciplined capital strategy while facing modest revenue challenges

By Sofia Navarro SMBC
Stephens Boosts Southern Missouri Bancorp Price Target Amid Solid Earnings and Stable Credit Trends
SMBC

Stephens Investment Bank has increased its price target for Southern Missouri Bancorp (NASDAQ:SMBC) to $73 from $71, maintaining an Overweight rating following the bank’s fiscal Q2 2026 earnings beat. Despite a slight shortfall in pre-provision net revenue and revenue compared to expectations, Southern Missouri Bancorp showed resilience through strong earnings per share, stable credit metrics, and prudent capital management. The stock remains appealing at current valuation levels, with favorable growth prospects relative to its price.

Key Points

  • Stephens raises Southern Missouri Bancorp price target to $73 while maintaining an Overweight rating, reflecting confidence in the bank’s valuation and growth potential.
  • Southern Missouri Bancorp exceeded fiscal Q2 2026 EPS expectations driven by strong fees and stable credit trends, despite a slight dip in pre-provision net revenue and revenue shortfall.
  • The bank demonstrates sound capital management through consistent dividend payments, share repurchases, and merger activities, supporting balanced financial strategy.

Stephens has raised its price target for Southern Missouri Bancorp (NASDAQ: SMBC) to $73 from a previous target of $71, reaffirming an Overweight rating on the shares. This adjustment closely aligns with InvestingPro's Fair Value estimate, indicating that the bank's stock remains undervalued even as it trades near its 52-week high of $65.64.

The revision follows Southern Missouri Bancorp’s fiscal second-quarter 2026 performance, where earnings per share (EPS) surpassed forecasts. Stephens attributes this success to robust fee income and improving credit conditions, which together contributed to a reduction in the loan loss provision expense. Over the trailing twelve months, the bank has sustained profitability with a diluted EPS of $5.78 and is trading at an attractive price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.03.

While pre-provision net revenue for the recent quarter fell 2% short of consensus expectations—impacted by lower net interest income and elevated operating expenses—credit trends within the bank remained steady, according to Stephens. The firm anticipates a moderation in net charge-offs and loan loss provisions over the upcoming year, alongside slower expansion in net interest margins as the influence of back book loan repricing diminishes.

Currently, Southern Missouri Bancorp is valued at 1.45 times tangible book value per share. Stephens views the bank’s capital strategy as increasingly balanced, noting its combined approach through stock repurchases and merger and acquisition activity. The bank has an established track record of capital management, maintaining dividend payments for 32 consecutive years and consecutively raising dividends for 14 years. Moreover, with a price/earnings to growth (PEG) ratio of just 0.42, SMBC appears attractively valued relative to its anticipated growth trajectory. For those seeking further analysis, InvestingPro provides a comprehensive evaluation of SMBC’s valuation and growth metrics via its Pro Research Report.

Additionally, Southern Missouri Bancorp reported its financials for the fiscal second quarter of 2025, posting EPS of $1.62. This figure exceeds analysts’ consensus estimate of $1.54, representing a 5.19% beat. However, revenue for the quarter amounted to $49.65 million, slightly below the expected $49.96 million. This juxtaposition underscores the bank’s ability to outperform earnings expectations despite facing a marginal revenue shortfall. Market participants continue to monitor how Southern Missouri Bancorp will address this revenue variance in future reporting periods.

The recent earnings results remain a key focal point for investors and analysts following Southern Missouri Bancorp, offering insights into the institution’s financial robustness and operational efficiency amid evolving market conditions.

Risks

  • The bank’s pre-provision net revenue in Q2 was 2% below consensus due to lower net interest income and higher operating expenses, which could impact near-term profitability.
  • A minor revenue shortfall versus forecasts highlights potential challenges in revenue growth that the bank will need to address.
  • Expectations of slower net interest margin expansion due to moderating back book loan repricing may constrain future earnings growth.

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