Analyst Ratings January 23, 2026

Seaport Global Lowers Quaker Chemical to Neutral Amid Valuation Gains and Demand Caution

Despite Strong Financials and Expansion Plans, Market Headwinds Temper Buy Recommendation

By Derek Hwang KWR
Seaport Global Lowers Quaker Chemical to Neutral Amid Valuation Gains and Demand Caution
KWR

Seaport Global Securities adjusted Quaker Chemical's stock rating from Buy to Neutral due to recent share price increases and signs of weaker demand in key industrial sectors. While the company is expected to secure moderate new business growth and benefits from a forthcoming China facility, challenges in automotive, metals, and industrial markets are weighing on near-term prospects. Financial metrics indicate a premium valuation relative to some estimates, though firm fundamentals and shareholder-friendly actions offer support.

Key Points

  • Seaport Global downgraded Quaker Chemical (KWR) from Buy to Neutral amid recent strong share price gains and subdued demand projections.
  • Quaker Chemical's EV/EBITDA valuation has increased significantly since early 2025, suggesting a premium relative to some analyst estimates, though fair value assessments still indicate potential undervaluation.
  • The company is expected to deliver 2%-4% new business growth through the first half of 2026 and benefit from a new China-based manufacturing facility starting mid-year, despite near-term demand softness in automotive, metals, and industrial sectors.

On Friday, Seaport Global Securities shifted its rating for Quaker Chemical Corporation (NYSE: KWR) from Buy to Neutral. The decision followed notable share price appreciation alongside indications of decelerating demand. Trading recently near $160.40, the stock hovers close to its peak of $162.10 over the past 52 weeks, reflecting a robust 28.66% gain in price over the last six months.

The research firm observed that Quaker Chemical's shares have reached its previously set price target of $160. Notably, the company's valuation in terms of enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) has rebounded from multi-year lows around 8.0x in early 2025 to 10.2x when adjusted for diminished 2026 EBITDA projections. Data from InvestingPro places the current EV/EBITDA ratio at 12.65, indicating the stock might be trading at a premium above Seaport's valuation estimates. Yet, InvestingPro's Fair Value assessment suggests the stock could still be undervalued in broader terms.

Seaport Global conveyed sustained confidence in Quaker Chemical's ability to continue securing new business wins anticipated in the range of 2%-4% through the first half of 2026. The firm's outlook also highlights strategic potential tied to Quaker's upcoming China manufacturing facility, set to commence operations around mid-2026.

The rating downgrade reflects an environment of sluggish demand within automotive, primary metals, and industrial end markets, particularly in the fourth quarter of 2025 and extending into early 2026. Nevertheless, the firm noted that easing interest rates and reduced uncertainty in trade policies could emerge as modest tailwinds beginning in the second quarter.

Seaport also acknowledged ongoing restructuring within Quaker Chemical designed to enhance operating leverage and shift resources toward higher-growth applications. However, the research house cautioned about a "near-term disconnect between recent share-price outperformance and underlying market weakness," signaling concerns that stock gains may not fully align with current fundamental momentum.

Financially, Quaker Chemical demonstrates strong liquidity, with investing data showing liquid assets comfortably exceed short-term liabilities, and a favorable current ratio of 2.47. Additionally, management's aggressive share buyback activity possibly underscores internal confidence in long-term prospects.

Analyst consensus projects a return to profitability this fiscal year, with earnings per share (EPS) forecasted at $7.21 for 2025. For a deeper evaluation, comprehensive Pro Research Reports covering Quaker Chemical and over 1,400 U.S. equities remain accessible via InvestingPro.

Supplementing the analyst commentary, Quaker Houghton released its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, outperforming analyst expectations. The company posted an EPS of $2.08, exceeding forecasts by $0.03, and generated revenues of $494 million, surpassing projected $474.95 million. These indicators reinforce the company's solid operational performance and have been favorably received by investors.

Moreover, Quaker Houghton's Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.508 per share, payable January 30, 2026, to shareholders recorded as of January 16, 2026. This dividend commitment exemplifies the company's dedication to shareholder returns and signals an ongoing healthy financial position.

Overall, these recent financial results and dividend distribution reflect a continuation of Quaker Houghton's operational strength and offer useful insights into its current business trajectory.

Risks

  • Sluggish demand in key end markets such as automotive, primary metals, and industrial sectors may constrain near-term revenue growth and profitability for Quaker Chemical.
  • A disconnect exists between strong recent share price performance and underlying market weakness, indicating potential volatility or valuation risk.
  • Slower EBITDA growth forecasts for 2026 have led to adjustments in valuation multiples, posing risk if the company cannot reverse this trend amid macroeconomic uncertainties.

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