Analyst Ratings January 26, 2026

Rothschild Redburn Begins Coverage of Chime Financial, Assigns Neutral Rating and $29 Target

Analyst flags faster growth via partner model but warns that rising lending exposure could move credit risk onto Chime’s balance sheet

By Priya Menon CHYM
Rothschild Redburn Begins Coverage of Chime Financial, Assigns Neutral Rating and $29 Target
CHYM

Rothschild Redburn has opened coverage of Chime Financial (CHYM) with a Neutral rating and a $29.00 price target. Analysts cited the fintech’s partner-led approach for enabling faster expansion without heavy bank infrastructure, while cautioning that an increasing share of lending will shift credit risk to Chime as partner banks near capacity limits. Recent earnings and follow-up analyst moves have highlighted both revenue momentum and differing views among Wall Street firms.

Key Points

  • Rothschild Redburn begins coverage of Chime Financial with a Neutral rating and $29.00 price target, while analysts’ targets range from $19 to $40.
  • Research highlights Chime’s partner-led model as a growth engine that avoids heavy bank infrastructure costs, but warns that increasing lending exposure shifts credit risk toward Chime.
  • Chime reported Q3 2025 revenue growth of 29% to $572M–$582M, improved adjusted EBITDA margin to 5%, and management raised its full-year outlook; several brokerages updated or initiated coverage following the results.

Rothschild Redburn initiated coverage of Chime Financial (NASDAQ:CHYM) with a Neutral rating and set a $29.00 price target. The firm noted the company currently trades at $26.46, which is modestly above InvestingPro’s Fair Value assessment, and highlighted that analyst price targets across the market range from $19 to $40.

The research team pointed to Chime’s partner-led distribution model as a key enabler of faster customer growth while sidestepping the costs and complexity of owning full bank infrastructure. However, Rothschild Redburn emphasized that Chime’s strategy is shifting toward lending-driven revenue, a move that introduces new constraints.

Rothschild Redburn explained that credit risk ultimately resides with Chime and that as partner banks approach capacity limits imposed by Durbin-related restrictions, an increasing portion of originated loans will likely migrate onto Chime’s own balance sheet. The firm cited InvestingPro data showing Chime’s liquid assets exceed short-term obligations and noted a current ratio of 4.94, but it also flagged that the company was unprofitable over the last twelve months.

On the outlook, Rothschild Redburn identified near-term upside to fiscal year 2026 estimates tied to higher MyPay pricing and anticipated tighter cost controls. Those potential gains, the research note said, are counterbalanced by a structural shift toward more cyclical, credit-exposed revenue streams that the firm expects will exert downward pressure on Chime’s valuation multiple over time.


Recent corporate and analyst developments

Chime reported third-quarter 2025 results showing revenue up 29% year-over-year, reaching a range between $572 million and $582 million. The company also improved its adjusted EBITDA margin by 9 percentage points to 5%, and management subsequently raised the company’s full-year outlook.

Following the earnings release, several brokerages updated or initiated coverage. Morgan Stanley reiterated an Overweight rating and maintained a $40.00 price target. Goldman Sachs upgraded Chime from Neutral to Buy, citing the potential upside from the new Chime Card to push revenue metrics beyond expectations. B.Riley initiated coverage with a Buy rating, pointing to the company’s profitability and growth potential.

In addition to analyst activity, Chime announced internal leadership changes, promoting three executives to senior roles including elevating Mark Troughton to President as part of its ongoing product expansion.


What this means for investors

Rothschild Redburn’s initial Neutral rating reflects a balance between growth opportunities tied to the partner model and rising credit exposure as lending becomes a larger component of Chime’s business. The firm’s view recognizes near-term levers for upside while underscoring longer-term valuation risks associated with a heavier credit profile.

Risks

  • Credit risk concentration - As partner banks hit Durbin-related capacity limits, a greater share of loans may move onto Chime’s balance sheet, increasing the company’s direct exposure to consumer credit cycles. Sectors affected: financial services and consumer lending.
  • Valuation pressure from revenue mix - A shift toward more cyclical, credit-exposed revenues could compress Chime’s valuation multiple over time, impacting investors and fintech comparables in the payments and banking technology sectors.
  • Profitability uncertainty - Despite liquid assets that exceed short-term obligations (current ratio of 4.94), Chime remained unprofitable over the last twelve months, posing execution and margin risks to the fintech and payments ecosystems.

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