Analyst Ratings February 2, 2026

RBC Keeps $230 Target on AMD Ahead of Earnings; Analyst Flags Valuation and Supply Constraints

RBC reiterates Sector Perform and cautions on premium valuation even as it expects upside from server demand and AI engagements

By Hana Yamamoto AMD
RBC Keeps $230 Target on AMD Ahead of Earnings; Analyst Flags Valuation and Supply Constraints
AMD

RBC Capital maintained its Sector Perform rating and $230 price target on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) ahead of the company's scheduled earnings report. The bank's analyst expects AMD to top estimates and raise guidance on robust server demand and market share gains, but remains cautious on valuation, wafer supply constraints, and longer-term competitive risks tied to customers' in-house ASIC programs.

Key Points

  • RBC Capital maintained a Sector Perform rating and a $230 price target on AMD ahead of earnings, expecting a beat and raised guidance driven by server demand and processor share gains.
  • RBC expects management to reaffirm MI455 and Helios AI accelerator ramp timelines despite concerns about wafer supply constraints and rack-scale execution risks.
  • Multiple other analysts updated their views on AMD, with price targets ranging from $300 to $350, and firms pointing to AI-driven revenue upside as well as execution and supply concerns.

RBC Capital has held its Sector Perform rating and $230.00 price target on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) as the chipmaker prepares to report quarterly results tomorrow, according to InvestingPro data. The stock has slipped 5.8% over the past week, though it still shows a roughly 104% gain over the last 12 months.

RBC analyst Srini Pajjuri expects AMD to beat consensus estimates and to lift guidance, attributing the anticipated outperformance to healthy demand in servers and continued processor market share gains. The firm expects management to reiterate previously disclosed timelines for scaling the MI455 and Helios AI accelerators despite recent market worries about wafer supply limitations and risks tied to rack-scale execution.

On AI-related revenue, RBC noted that AMD management appears confident it will secure the initial gigawatt opportunity with OpenAI, and that expectation is already built into the firms projections. Nevertheless, the analyst said further near-term upside to AI revenue is constrained by supply issues.

Valuation remains a point of caution for RBC. The analyst highlighted that AMD currently trades at a 45% premium to NVIDIA and carries a price-to-earnings ratio of 124, a level that InvestingPro data suggests is high relative to near-term earnings growth expectations. RBC also pointed to potential longer-term competitive pressures as notable customers - including Meta, Microsoft, and OpenAI - have in-house ASIC programs scheduled to begin launching in 2026-2027.

RBCs full Pro Research Report is available to subscribers who want a deeper examination of the companys standing in the competitive semiconductor landscape.


Beyond RBCs note, several other firms have updated their views and price targets on AMD in recent days:

  • Cantor Fitzgerald retained an Overweight rating and a $350 price target, forecasting that AMD will modestly top earnings for the December quarter and raise guidance for the March quarter.
  • Wells Fargo reiterated its Overweight stance with a $345 target, while flagging concerns about potential delays in the MI450-series chips.
  • Piper Sandler raised its price target to $300, citing possible revenue and earnings-per-share upside for the December 2025 quarter related to developments in artificial intelligence.
  • Aletheia offered a positive outlook on AMDs server CPU business, projecting a 42% year-over-year revenue increase for fiscal 2026.
  • Bank of America Securities increased its price target on Sanmina-SCI Corp. to $190, noting potential revenue from AMD rack builds.

Collectively, these analyst moves underscore persistent interest and varied opinions among sell-side firms about AMDs near-term results and longer-term growth trajectory. Some firms are projecting upside tied to AI and server demand, while others emphasize execution and supply risks as reasons for caution.


As AMD approaches its earnings release, investors will be watching closely for confirmation on supply timelines for AI accelerators and any updates to guidance that reflect server demand and OpenAI-related opportunities. Valuation metrics and the potential impact of customer-owned ASIC programs remain central considerations for analysts evaluating the companys medium-term outlook.

Risks

  • Wafer supply constraints could limit near-term AI revenue growth and the ability to scale AI accelerators - impacting the semiconductor and data-center hardware sectors.
  • Rack-scale execution risks may slow deployment of AMD-powered server solutions, affecting server OEMs and hyperscaler partnerships in the cloud infrastructure sector.
  • Longer-term competitive threats as key customers (Meta, Microsoft, OpenAI) plan in-house ASIC programs launching in 2026-2027, which could reduce addressable market for AMD in AI hardware.

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