Analyst Ratings January 30, 2026

RBC Cuts United Rentals Price Target to $1,041 After Mixed Quarter; Outperform Rating Stays

Analyst trims valuation as margin pressures offset revenue growth; demand from large projects supports utilization but raises delivery costs

By Derek Hwang URI
RBC Cuts United Rentals Price Target to $1,041 After Mixed Quarter; Outperform Rating Stays
URI

RBC Capital reduced its 12-month price target for United Rentals (URI) to $1,041 from $1,123 while keeping an Outperform rating after the equipment rental company reported a mixed fourth-quarter. Revenue advanced but margins contracted, and guidance for 2026 was largely consistent with consensus, a factor RBC says helps explain recent stock movement. The shares trade well below the revised target and show a price-to-earnings ratio that is high relative to near-term earnings growth.

Key Points

  • RBC Capital lowered its price target on United Rentals to $1,041 from $1,123 but retained an Outperform rating.
  • United Rentals reported annual revenue of $16.1B with 4.91% growth and diluted EPS of $38.61; Q4 adjusted EPS missed estimates at $11.09 versus $11.78 expected, and Q4 revenue was $4.21B versus $4.24B expected.
  • Demand remains relatively supportive, particularly from larger projects, but higher delivery costs are creating near-term margin pressure that RBC expects to be temporary.

Overview

RBC Capital has lowered its price target on United Rentals (NYSE: URI) to $1,041.00 from $1,123.00, while maintaining an Outperform rating on the equipment rental firm. The stock currently trades at $787.04 and carries a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.39, a level identified as high relative to near-term earnings growth.

Quarterly results and financials

The adjustment in RBC’s valuation follows United Rentals’ mixed fourth-quarter performance. The company reported annual revenue of $16.1 billion, representing 4.91% growth year over year, and a diluted earnings per share of $38.61. For the fourth quarter specifically, United Rentals posted adjusted EPS of $11.09, missing the analyst consensus of $11.78, and revenue of $4.21 billion, slightly below the expected $4.24 billion.

Analyst rationale

RBC Capital analyst Sabahat Khan flagged that revenue growth in the period was counterbalanced by ongoing margin pressure. The bank noted that United Rentals’ guidance for 2026 came in largely in line with consensus estimates that were in place before the earnings release. RBC interprets recent stock moves as partly reflecting a reversal of gains the shares had accumulated ahead of the results.

Demand and margin dynamics

RBC described the near-term demand backdrop as relatively supportive, especially for larger projects. However, those larger project opportunities have been associated with higher delivery costs that are weighing on margins. The analyst expects these margin headwinds to be temporary, anticipating improvement as the project mix stabilizes and a greater portion of the company’s fleet is placed on rent.

Market context and other developments

No recent mergers or acquisitions have been reported for United Rentals, and there have been no new analyst upgrades or downgrades announced following the results. Investors continue to monitor the company’s operational execution, margin recovery, and fleet utilization as indicators of whether the temporary pressures ease.

Conclusion

RBC’s cut to the price target narrows the implied upside from current trading levels but leaves an Outperform stance in place, reflecting a view that demand conditions support the business even as delivery-related costs compress margins in the near term.


Note: This piece reports on analyst actions, company results, and market reaction as presented in public disclosures and analyst commentary.

Risks

  • Persistent margin pressure - higher delivery costs associated with large projects could continue to compress margins in the near term, impacting profitability and sector participants in equipment rental and construction.
  • Stock volatility from reversal of pre-earnings gains - recent share price movements partly reflect a pullback of gains recorded before the earnings release, creating potential near-term market volatility.
  • Limited upside from guidance in line with consensus - 2026 guidance being largely consistent with pre-release estimates may constrain short-term re-rating and affects investor expectations in the industrials and construction equipment sectors.

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