Analyst Ratings January 26, 2026

RBC Capital nudges APA price target higher to $26 as operational gains accumulate

Analysts weigh improved consistency, cost savings and upcoming Permian update amid a flurry of coverage and strategic moves

By Caleb Monroe APA
RBC Capital nudges APA price target higher to $26 as operational gains accumulate
APA

RBC Capital raised its price target on APA Corp. to $26.00 from $25.00 while leaving its Sector Perform rating intact, citing better operational consistency and continued improvement. APA shares trade near their 52-week high, and several analysts have updated coverage as the company reports sizeable cost savings, an agreement to divest an Australian gas network asset, and forward catalysts tied to a fourth-quarter 2025 earnings cadence.

Key Points

  • RBC Capital raised its APA price target to $26.00 from $25.00 and kept a Sector Perform rating; APA trades at $25.80, about 7% below its 52-week high of $27.72 - impacts energy and equity markets.
  • APA reported $300 million in realized cost savings year-to-date and now expects $350 million in run-rate savings by end of 2025, ahead of schedule - affects corporate margins and cash flow expectations in the energy sector.
  • Upcoming fourth-quarter 2025 catalysts include a Permian inventory and economic update and discussion of exploration activities, with investor focus on Permian inventory duration, Egyptian gas dynamics and controllable spending - relevant to oil & gas exploration and production investors.

Overview

RBC Capital has lifted its target price for APA Corp. (NASDAQ:APA) to $26.00 from $25.00 and has maintained a Sector Perform rating on the stock. APA is trading at $25.80, which the firm notes sits roughly 7% below the company's 52-week peak of $27.72.

Operational trends and valuation

The research note from RBC points to a string of stronger quarters and greater operational consistency at APA, saying the company is "turning the ship." That operational momentum is reflected in a reported price-to-earnings ratio of 6.25 and a dividend yield of 3.88%. Data from InvestingPro cited in the note shows APA has sustained dividend payments for 56 consecutive years.

Near-term catalysts

RBC identified several catalysts that could influence investor sentiment going forward. Chief among these is an upcoming Permian inventory and economic update that the firm expects during APA's fourth-quarter 2025 earnings call and anticipates a favorable reception from the market. The research note also stated exploration activities could receive meaningful attention during that same call.

Investor conversations highlighted in the note center on several topics: the duration of Permian inventory, Egyptian gas exploration and production along with pricing dynamics, other international exploration prospects, and the company’s efforts to discipline controllable spending while improving operations.

Cost reductions and strategic moves

APA has reportedly exceeded its cost reduction targets, realizing $300 million in savings year-to-date, and now projects $350 million in run-rate savings by the end of 2025, ahead of its prior timeline. In parallel strategic activity, the company has entered into an agreement with Stonepeak to sell its stake in the Australian gas network Allgas, with the deal expected to close by 2026. Allgas serves about 120,000 households and businesses in Queensland, Australia.

Analyst landscape

The stock has been the subject of multiple analyst moves. Wolfe Research cut its price target to $35 while maintaining an Outperform rating and citing the company’s undervaluation within the energy sector. William Blair began coverage with an Outperform rating and a $32 price target, pointing to APA’s sizable asset base. Raymond James reaffirmed an Outperform rating and referenced possible merger discussions with Repsol. Separately, a note in the recent coverage said RBC Capital increased its price target to $25, pointing to stronger free cash flow forecasts and a better production outlook.

Implications for investors

Taken together, these updates sketch a company that has improved operationally and is executing on cost reductions and asset sales while sitting near its 52-week high. Analysts remain varied in their assessments, with multiple Outperform ratings alongside RBC’s Sector Perform stance and the differing price targets reflected across the notes.


This article presents the analyst actions, financial metrics and company developments as reported in recent research and corporate disclosures.

Risks

  • Timing and market reaction to the fourth-quarter 2025 Permian inventory and economic update and exploration discussion could alter investor sentiment - this risk affects energy equities and related markets.
  • Execution risk tied to maintaining controllable spending and achieving projected run-rate savings of $350 million by end of 2025 - relevant to corporate finance and margin stability in the energy sector.
  • Uncertainty around international exploration outcomes, including Egyptian gas pricing and production, which could influence future revenue and valuation - impacts international upstream energy investments.

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