Analyst Ratings January 26, 2026

PTC Builds Momentum as Security Technology Sector Delivers Mixed Results

Channel checks show strong commercial activity for PTC ahead of earnings, while security vendors report divergent performance across product lines and verticals

By Marcus Reed PTC FTNT CHKP TENB
PTC Builds Momentum as Security Technology Sector Delivers Mixed Results
PTC FTNT CHKP TENB

Recent industry checks from Wolfe Research point to robust commercial momentum at PTC Inc ahead of its February 4 earnings release, with multiple analysts raising forecasts and company metrics reflecting solid profitability and revenue growth. The broader security technology market produced uneven outcomes in the quarter, with particular strength in SASE and microsegmentation, offset by federal procurement delays that pushed some deals into 2026.

Key Points

  • Wolfe Research channel checks describe PTC sentiment as "very positive" ahead of the company's February 4 earnings; nine analysts have raised earnings expectations and the stock trades below Fair Value.
  • PTC shows strong financial metrics with an 83.76% gross profit margin, 19.18% revenue growth over the past twelve months, and a Piotroski Score of 9.
  • Security sector results were mixed in the quarter: SASE and microsegmentation were bright spots, while federal procurement delays pushed some deals into 2026, affecting vendor performance.

Wolfe Research's recent channel checks indicate that PTC Inc is entering its next reporting period on the back of meaningful commercial momentum. Sources cited in Wolfe's review described feedback on the company as "very positive" ahead of PTC's earnings scheduled for February 4. That sentiment aligns with analyst activity: nine analysts have raised earnings expectations for the upcoming period, and the stock is trading below its assessed Fair Value.

The industrial software company is benefiting from a mix of better new business momentum, healthy renewal activity, strong expansions, and sizable sales pipelines, according to Wolfe's market checks. Those qualitative signals are reinforced by PTC's recent financial profile: an 83.76% gross profit margin and 19.18% revenue growth over the trailing twelve months.

Financial health metrics further support the upbeat view. PTC currently posts a Piotroski Score of 9, a score that reflects strong fundamentals across a range of profitability, leverage, liquidity, and operating efficiency measures. Independent data providers that track analyst revisions also highlight additional proprietary insights and research coverage for this company among a broad universe of U.S. equities.


While PTC appears to be strengthening its commercial stance, the security technology sector overall produced mixed results in the fourth quarter. Wolfe's industry checks found that channel partners performed in-line to slightly ahead, with both renewals and new business improving relative to the first half of the year. Two areas identified as particularly strong were Secure Access Service Edge, commonly known as SASE, and microsegmentation solutions.

Not all verticals shared in that improvement. The federal market was singled out as notably weak, with procurement delays following the government shutdown described bluntly as having "sucked." Those delays meant that a number of deals did not close in the fourth quarter and were instead deferred into 2026.

The checks also conveyed differentiated vendor performance. Fortinet registered a stable hardware business but lagged in next-generation offerings. Check Point Software showed solid results, aided by momentum from its P81 product and strength in its Harmony line. Tenable benefited from a large federal contract that contributed materially to meeting quarterly targets.


PTC's reported financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 were stronger than the expectations that had been set. The company recorded earnings per share of $3.47, above the $2.27 estimate, and revenue of $894 million, compared with consensus expectations of $750.87 million.

In the wake of these developments, Mizuho adjusted its price target for PTC to $180 from $220, while retaining a Neutral rating. The firm cited the company's divestiture plans as a factor in its reassessment of the target.

Corporate leadership changes were announced as well. PTC said Jennifer DiRico will become Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective January 1, 2026. DiRico will succeed Kristian Talvitie and joins PTC from her prior role at Commvault Systems, Inc.

On the product front, PTC introduced its Arena AI Engine aimed at enhancing product lifecycle management and quality management workflows by automating tasks such as document review and comparison. The new Arena AI Engine is built on Amazon Bedrock and includes capabilities marketed as AI File Summary and AI File Comparison.

Taken together, these operational, financial, and product developments portray a company that is strengthening its commercial pipeline and expanding its technology stack even as parts of the security market navigate uneven demand and federal procurement timing issues.

Risks

  • Federal procurement delays have caused deals to slip out of the fourth quarter into 2026, creating timing uncertainty for vendors reliant on government contracts - this particularly affects the federal technology and cybersecurity verticals.
  • Mizuho lowered its price target for PTC citing divestiture plans, reflecting execution or strategic-transaction risks that could influence investor sentiment in software and enterprise IT markets.
  • Vendor-level disparities in next-generation product performance versus established hardware offerings may create uneven revenue and margin trajectories across the security technology sector.

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