Analyst Ratings January 26, 2026

Phillip Securities Raises Netflix Rating, Cites VOD Leadership and Pricing Power

Broker upgrades stock to Accumulate and lifts target to $100 as deal-related volatility and rival bids play out

By Jordan Park NFLX
Phillip Securities Raises Netflix Rating, Cites VOD Leadership and Pricing Power
NFLX

Phillip Securities moved Netflix (NFLX) from a Sell to an Accumulate rating and increased its price target to $100 from $95 after rolling valuations forward to fiscal 2026 while keeping key modeling assumptions intact. The firm highlighted Netflix's leadership in the video-on-demand market and pricing power, while noting potential short-term volatility tied to the proposed Warner Bros. deal and competing bids.

Key Points

  • Phillip Securities upgraded Netflix from Sell to Accumulate and raised its price target to $100 from $95 after rolling valuations to FY2026 while keeping FY26 forecast, terminal growth and WACC assumptions unchanged.
  • Netflix is trading at $86.12 with a market cap of $363.6 billion and a P/E of 34; analyst targets range from $79 to $151.40 and InvestingPro data indicates the stock is near Fair Value.
  • The upgrade rests on Netflix's "clear leadership in the VOD space and strong pricing power"; ongoing M&A activity involving Warner Bros. Discovery and a competing Paramount bid are key near-term market dynamics affecting the stock. Sectors impacted include media, streaming, and financial markets.

Phillip Securities has upgraded Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) from a Sell rating to Accumulate and raised its price target to $100 from $95. The brokerage's revision follows a rollover of its valuation framework to fiscal year 2026, while its FY26 forecast, terminal growth and WACC assumptions remain unchanged.

At the time of the update, Netflix shares are trading at $86.12, with a market capitalization of $363.6 billion and a reported price-to-earnings ratio of 34. According to InvestingPro data cited by the firm, Netflix is trading close to its Fair Value, and analyst price targets among the coverage cohort range from $79 to $151.40.

Phillip Securities pointed to Netflix's "clear leadership in the VOD space and strong pricing power" as the principal factors supporting a more constructive stance on the stock. The firm acknowledged the potential for near-term volatility tied to the proposed Warner Bros. Discovery transaction but expressed confidence in Netflix's structural and financial positioning over the longer term.

The broader corporate backdrop includes active developments around the proposed acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses. Federal Communications Commission Chairman Brendan Carr has raised concerns about the potential scale and consolidation effects of the $82.7 billion deal, flagging competition implications in the streaming market.

Netflix co-chief executive Greg Peters has signaled confidence in securing shareholder support for the acquisition. According to the reporting included in the update, only a minimal number of Warner Bros. Discovery shares have been tendered in response to Paramount's competing $108 billion offer.

Paramount has filed materials with the Securities and Exchange Commission opposing the Netflix-Warner Bros. proposal and has extended its own tender offer timeline to February 2026. These overlapping pursuits underline ongoing competitive dynamics in the media and streaming sectors.

On valuation and near-term guidance, Bernstein SocGen Group has recently lowered its price target for Netflix to $115, citing concerns about disappointing margin guidance despite what the firm described as solid performance in 2025. Bernstein SocGen Group retained an Outperform rating on the stock.

Phillip Securities concluded that, notwithstanding the potential for short-term market swings associated with the deal activity and bid competition, Netflix's market position supports its prospects for long-term growth.

Risks

  • Potential volatility related to the proposed Warner Bros. Discovery transaction - this affects media and streaming sector valuations and could lead to near-term stock swings.
  • Competitive pressure from Paramount's $108 billion competing offer and related legal and shareholder actions - this uncertainty impacts M&A outcomes and strategic positioning in the media industry.
  • Concerns about margin guidance highlighted by Bernstein SocGen Group despite solid 2025 performance - margin trajectory is a risk to near-term earnings expectations in the consumer media sector.

More from Analyst Ratings

Goldman Keeps OLN Neutral at $22 as Olin Signals Rough Q1, Cost Cuts to Cushion Results Feb 2, 2026 Aletheia Capital Starts Coverage on Teradyne With Buy Rating, $400 Target Feb 2, 2026 Needham Lifts Napco Security Price Target to $49 After Robust Q2 Results Feb 2, 2026 Evercore ISI Sticks with Outperform on Apple, Sets $330 Target Backed by App Store and Services Strength Feb 2, 2026 Deutsche Bank Says AppLovin Risk-Reward Looks Better After Google’s Project Genie Shock Feb 2, 2026