Analyst Ratings January 30, 2026

Morgan Stanley lifts Western Digital target to $306, citing durable pricing support and margin upside

Bank raises FY2027 EPS and outlines a bullish scenario amid strong Q2 results and an extended SanDisk-KIOXIA pact

By Caleb Monroe WDC STX
Morgan Stanley lifts Western Digital target to $306, citing durable pricing support and margin upside
WDC STX

Morgan Stanley boosted its price target for Western Digital to $306 from $260 and kept an Overweight rating, saying sustainable pricing tailwinds should drive better margins and earnings. The firm raised its fiscal 2027 EPS estimate by 20% to $17 and set a bull case of $437. Those moves follow Western Digital's better-than-expected Q2 FY2026 results and an extension of the SanDisk joint venture agreement with KIOXIA.

Key Points

  • Morgan Stanley raised its Western Digital price target to $306 from $260 and kept an Overweight rating, citing sustained pricing tailwinds and expected margin and EPS flow-through.
  • The firm boosted its fiscal 2027 EPS estimate by 20% to $17 and outlined a bull case valuation of $437.
  • Western Digital reported Q2 FY2026 EPS of $2.13 on $3.1 billion in revenue, both beating consensus; Goldman Sachs separately lifted its price target to $220 from $165 while maintaining Neutral.

Analyst upgrade and rationale

Morgan Stanley has raised its price target on Western Digital Corp. (NASDAQ:WDC) to $306.00 from $260.00 while retaining an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm points to what it calls "sustainable pricing tailwinds" that it believes the market has not fully priced in, and it highlighted the expected pass-through of those pricing dynamics to margins and earnings per share.

Demand commentary and peer comparison

Analyst Erik Woodring said Western Digital "echoed very similar demand strength and visibility commentary as STX earlier this week," referencing commentary from competitor Seagate Technology. That comparison is central to Morgan Stanley's view that demand conditions are firmer than some market participants anticipate.

Financial forecasts and valuation scenarios

The investment bank increased its fiscal year 2027 earnings per share forecast by 20% to $17, and it cites that revision as the underpinning for the new $306 price target. Morgan Stanley also published an updated bull case for the stock of $437, indicating materially higher upside in an optimistic outcome.

Company results and other analyst activity

Western Digital reported a strong Q2 FY2026 quarter, posting earnings per share of $2.13 versus analysts' expectations of $1.91. Revenue for the period came in at $3.1 billion, which was 6.16% above estimates. Those results were specifically called out by other market participants: Goldman Sachs raised its price target on Western Digital to $220 from $165 while keeping a Neutral rating, citing the quarter and guidance that beat expectations.

Strategic arrangements and cash commitments

Separately, Western Digital's joint venture arrangements with KIOXIA through the SanDisk partnership have been extended, with the agreement now set to expire on December 31, 2034. As part of that extension, SanDisk will make aggregate payments totaling $1,165 million to KIOXIA, scheduled in installments from 2026 through 2029. The extension and scheduled payments were noted in the same set of developments that accompanied the quarterly results.


Note: This article presents the facts and analyst commentary as reported; it does not provide investment advice.

Risks

  • Market valuation may not yet reflect Morgan Stanley's view on pricing tailwinds, creating uncertainty about future stock performance - impacts the technology and storage sectors.
  • Continued demand strength and visibility remain a central assumption in analyst commentary; any change in that demand pattern could affect margins and earnings forecasts - impacts enterprise hardware and data storage markets.
  • The extended SanDisk-KIOXIA agreement includes scheduled payments totaling $1,165 million from 2026 through 2029, representing committed cash flows that could influence corporate finances and capital allocation.

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